JGP Estonia Dance Preview

The teams here are very close in scores and the littlest bobble could make the difference between the gold medal and not making the podium.  Yankovskaia and Mozgov took home the bronze medal from Poland.  Kosigina and Moroshkin won the silver medal at the first event in Latvia.  Bent and MacKeen won bronze in Romania.  Papadakis and Cizeron finished just off the podium in 4th in Poland.

This is another event with multiple qualification scenarios for the Junior Grand Prix Final.  Papadakis/Cizeron, Kosigina/Moroshkin, Yankovskaia/Mozgov and Bent/MacKeen can all qualify with a gold medal.  Kosigina/Moroshkin can also qualify with a silver.  Any other color medal requires a set of circumstances to be met.

If Papadakis and Cizeron win, Kosigina/Moroshkin can qualify with a silver medal.  They can also qualify with a bronze medal if anyone besides Yankovskaia/Mozgov or Bent/Mackeen win silver AND they score above 135.80 points.  Yankovskaia/Mozgov can qualify with a silver medal AND a score above 133.32.  Bent/MacKeen can qualify with a silver medal AND a score above 134.35.

If Kosigina and Moroshkin win, Yankovskaia/Mozgov can qualify with a silver medal AND a score above 133.32.  Bent/MacKeen can qualify with a silver medal AND a score above 134.35.

If Yankovskaia and Mozgov win, Kosigina and Moroshkin can qualify with a silver medal.  Bent/MacKeen can qualify with a silver medal AND a score above 134.35.

If Bent and MacKeen win,  Kosigina and Moroshkin can qualify with a silver medal.  Bent/MacKeen can qualify with a silver medal AND a score above 134.35.

If someone else besides these four teams wins gold, Kosignina/Moroshkin can qualify with a silver medal.  They can also qualify with a bronze medal if anyone besides Yankovskaia/Mozgov or Bent/Mackeen win silver AND they score above 135.80 points.  Yankovskaia/Mozgov and Bent/MacKeen can both qualify with a silver.

Sinitsina and Zhiganshin of Russia, Stepanova and Bukin of Russia, Nosulia and Kholoniuk of Ukraine and Galyeta and Shumski of Ukraine have already qualified.  If one of the teams competing do not meet the point or medal requirements, Aldridge and Eaton of the United States will get the spot.

My podium predictions:
Gold: Yankovskaia/Mozgov
Silver: Papadakis/Cizeron
Bronze: Kosigina/Miroshkin

Bios of the competitors:

Kavaliova/Bieliaiev, BLR: They placed 23rd at Junior Worlds.  They finished 8th at JGP Poland.  Their personal best is 111.34.  She is 17 and he is 18.
 
Bent/MacKeen, CAN: They won bronze at their JGP debut in Romania.  Their personal best is 120.69.  She is 13 and he is 17.
Lohmus/Davodov, EST: They finished 20th at their JGP debut in Poland.  Their personal best is 69.70.  She is 14 and he is 17.
 
Shtork/Rand, EST: They finished 21st at Europeans and 10th at Junior Worlds.  They finished 7th at JGP Romania.  Their personal best is 117.50.  She is 18 and he is 19.

Tammo/Kapp, EST: 

Aghai/Partanen, FIN: They finished 6th at their international debut in Australia.  Their personal best is 95.88.  She is 16 and he is 20.

Boutary/Chantelauze, FRA: This is their JGP debut.  He is 19.

Papadakis/Cizeron, FRA: They finished 12th at Junior Worlds.  They placed 4th at JGP Poland.  Their personal best is 120.82.  She is 16 and he is 16.
 

Schiffner/Salatzki, GER: This is their JGP debut.  

Smart/Buckland, GBR: They finished 13th at their international debut in Austria.  Their personal best is 92.64.  She is 14 and he is 18.

Szemes/Szenasi, HUN

Mansour/Zhunussov, KAZ: They finished 14th at their international debut in Italy.  Their personal best is 81.69.  She is 16 and he is 20.
Jakushina/Grishins, LAT: They finished 17th at their JGP debut in Latvia.  Their personal best is 72.67.  She is 14 and he is 17.  
 
Birgelaite/Starvinskas, LTU: They finished 21st at their international debut in Poland.  Their personal best is 68.78.  She is 15 and he is 15.
 
Kaliszek/Kaliszek, POL: They finished 11th at JGP Poland.  Their personal best is 96.27.  She is 15 and he is 20.
 
Kosigina/Moroshkin, RUS: They finished 6th at Junior Worlds.  They won silver at JGP Latvia.  They won bronze at JGP France and gold at JGP Germany last season to qualify for the JGPF where they finished 6th.  Their personal best is 126.92.  She is 16 and he is 17.  
 
Yankovskaia/Mozgov, RUS: They won bronze in their international debut in Poland.  Their personal best is 121.72.  She is 14 and he is 16.
Jancosek/Seknicka, SVK: They finished 8th at their international debut in Australia.  Their personal best is 67.76.  She is 14 and he is 20.
Bausback/Rokachev, SUI: They finished 14th at their international debut in Austria.  Their personal best is 92.39.  She is 18.
 
Yermak/Liubchenko, UKR: They finished 6th at JGP Italy.  Their personal best is 110.75.  She is 15 and he is 19.
Hawayek/Bramante, USA: They finished 4th at their international debut in Romania.  Their personal best is 115.12.  She is 14 and he is 19.
 
Nagornyuk/Kovalenko, UZB: They finished 8th at their international debut in Romania.  Their personal best is 103.73.  She is 15 and he is 20.

Comments

  1. Anonymous says:

    By my reckoning, with 7 teams already having 24 points or more before this competition, the only way Papadakis/Cizeron can make the final, is by coming 1st.
    The 9 points from their 4th place + 15 points for a 1st place would give them 24 points. The 1st place would then ensure a win in the tie-break against the other couples on 24 points.

  2. You’re absolutely correct. I misread my notes and will update this right now. Thanks!

  3. Anonymous says:

    I’ll be very surprised if Y/M beat Kosigina/Miroshkin. Currently Y/M are ahead in the PB rankings but K/M have had a lot of time to iron out their problems since they competed in the first event of the season. I’m betting they’ll come back much stronger. Mozgov by the way is the partner who dumped Kosigina so it should be a fun battle!
    Anyway, since I want both P/C and K/M to qualify, I hope it’s:
    1)Papadakis/Cizeron
    2)Kosigina/Miroshkin
    3)Yanovskaia/Mozgov