2011 JGP Estonia Ladies Preview

Last week Anna Shershak was making her international debut.  Now she holds a silver medal with a shot at making the Junior Grand Prix Final.  Risa Shoji of Japan earned a silver medal at JGP Australia and is hoping for a return trip to the Final.  Samantha Cesario took home a bronze medal from Poland and is looking for her second medal of the season.

There are lots of qualification scenarios for this event. Gerli Liinamae and Cesario must win gold to qualify, Shershak and Shoji must win gold or silver and for Cesario, Shershak and Shoji, medals of another color will qualify them if other circumstances are fulfilled.

If Cesario, Shoji, Shershak or Liinamae win they qualify.  If Cesario wins, Shoji and Shershak can qualify with a silver.  They can also qualify with a bronze if another competitor wins the silver.

If Shoji wins, Cesario can qualify with a silver medal if anyone but Shershak wins bronze.  Shershak can qualify with a silver medal or a bronze if anyone but Cesario wins silver.  If Cesario wins silver and Shershak wins bronze, they will go to a tie breaker for the final spot.

If Shershak wins, Cesario can qualify with a silver medal if anyone but Shoji wins bronze.  Shoji can qualify with a silver medal or a bronze if anyone but Cesario wins silver.  If Cesario wins silver and Shoji wins bronze, they will go to a tie breaker for the the final spot.

If Liinamae wins, Shoji and Shershak can qualify with a silver medal.  They can also qualify with a bronze medal if anyone but Cesario, Shoji or Shershak wins silver.  If Cesario wins silver and either Shoji or Shershak win bronze, they will go to a tie breaker for the final spot.

If someone else outside these four win, Cesario, Shershak and Shoji can qualify with a silver medal.  Shershak and Shoji can also qualify with a bronze.

Julia Lipnitskaia of Russia, Polina Shelepen of Russia, Vanessa Lam of the United States and Zijun Li of China have already secured spots in the Final.

Gracie Gold of the United States is making her international debut here.  She missed qualifying for nationals last season, but has been fantastic at her summer events, earning her assignment here.  She could very well be the spoiler that helps or hurts one of the four above skaters earn one of the two available spots in the Final.

My podium predictions:
Gold: Samantha Cesario
Silver: Gracie Gold
Bronze: Risa Shoji

Chantelle Kerry, AUS: She finished 13th in her JGP debut.  Her personal best is 103.05.  She is 15 years old.
Victoria Huebler, AUT: She placed 17th at Junior Worlds.  She finished 9th at JGP Australia.  Her personal best is 113.63.  She is 16 years old.

Nastassia Hrybko, BLR: She finished 12th in the preliminary round at Europeans and 27th in the preliminary round at Junior Worlds.  Her personal best is 64.66.  She is 17 years old.

Sindra Kriisa, EST: She placed 15th at JGP Australia.  Her personal best is 90.18.  She is 15 years old.

Svetlana Issakova, EST: She finished 18th at Europeans.  She placed 14th at JGP Austria.  Her personal best is 118.44.  She is 18 years old.
Gerli Liinamae, EST: She placed 13th at Europeans and 15th at Junior Worlds.  She finished 4th at JGP Latvia.  Her personal best is 136.58.  She is 16 years old.
Juulia Turkkila, FIN: She finished 20th at Worlds, 15th at Europeans and 16th at Junior Worlds.  She placed 13th at JGP Poland.  Her personal best is 136.68.  She is 16 years old.
Laurine Lecavalier, FRA: She finished 12th at her JGP debut in Italy.  Her personal best is 110.34.  She is 15 years old.

Katie Powell, GBR: She finished 13th in the preliminary round at Junior Worlds.  She placed 18th at JGP Great Britain and 14th at JGP Germany last season.  Her personal best is 106.13.  She is 19 years old.

Viktoria Chiappa, HUN

Heidbjort Arney Hoskuldsdottir, ISL: She finished 28th at her JGP debut in Latvia.  Her personal best is 75.94.  She is 16 years old.

Amelia Schwienbacher, ITA: This is her JGP debut.  She is 17 years old.

Yuki Nishino, JPN: She finished 12th at Junior Worlds.  She placed 4th at JGP Romania.  Her personal best is 149.42.  She is 18 years old.

 

Risa Shoji, JPN: She placed 5th at Junior Worlds.  She won silver at JGP Australia.  She won gold at JGP Japan and silver at JGP Czech Republic last season to qualify for the JGP Final where she placed 4th.  Her personal best is 155.23.  She is 15 years old.

Kristina Prilepko, KAZ: She finished 31st in the preliminary round at Junior Worlds.  She finished 13th at JGP Romania and 22nd at JGP Japan last season.  Her personal best is 102.27.  She is 17 years old.

Karina Rutlauka, LAT

Inga Januleviciute, LTU: This is her JGP debut.  She is 16 years old.

Maral-Erdene Gansukh, MGL: She finished 35th in the preliminary round at Junior Worlds.  She placed 25th at her JGP debut in Poland.  Her personal best is 54.52.  She is 15 years old.

Joyce den Hollander, NED: She finished 20th in the preliminary round at Junior Worlds.  She placed 24th at JGP Austria last season.  Her personal best is 93.26.  She is 17 years old.

Camilla Gjersem, NOR: She finished 15th at JGP Austria.  Her personal best is 95.35.  She is 17 years old.

Agata Kryger, POL

Anna Shershak, RUS: She won silver at her international debut in Italy.  Her personal best is 150.21.  She is 13 years old.

Maria Stavitskaia, RUS

Monika Simancikova, SVK: She finished 18th at Junior Worlds.  She placed 10th at JGP Poland.  Her personal best is 125.64.  She is 16 years old.

 

Isabelle Olsson, SWE: She finished 24th at Junior Worlds.  She placed 9th at JGP Italy.  Her personal best is 126.15.  She is 18 years old.
Natalia Popova, UKR: She finished 7th at JGP Romania.  Her personal best is 119.58.  She is 18 years old.

 

Samantha Cesario, USA: She won bronze at JGP Poland.  Her personal best is 153.84.  She is 18 years old.

Gracie Gold, USA