2014 JGP Estonia Men’s Preview

With only three events left this season, several skaters are looking to punch their tickets to the Junior Grand Prix Final.  Currently only Boyang Jin has qualified with 30 points while Alexander Samarin (24) and Dmitri Aliev (22) have to wait and see how the rest of the skaters do.

Alexander Petrov took home the silver medal from Slovenia.  He has the best short program score of the season for a junior so far but his free skate is 10 points below the best one recorded thus far this season and he has some room to improve.  His score of 216.33 from Slovenia is near the golden mark of 220 for juniors to be competitive at Junior Worlds and should put him in line for a gold medal here.  A gold medal will guarantee him a spot in the Final.  A silver will give him a strong chance but double silvers are a vulnerable place to be as those who win a gold and a bronze take precedence in the rankings.  A bronze medal here would leave him on the bubble for qualifying.

Sota Yamamoto also started his season with a silver medal.  In France he recorded the 8th best short program score, nearly 10 points less than that of Petrov.  His free skate score is the 5th best of the season and overall he currently ranks 5th.  However, he did not break the 200 point mark and will have to show a lot of improvement if he wants to catch Petrov.  He needs a gold medal to guarantee a spot in the Final.  A silver medal will give him a strong chance but put him in the same spot as Petrov.  A bronze will keep him in the running.

Andrew Torgashev had a solid debut outing at JGP Czech Republic, placing 4th.  He struggled with the short program but surged ahead with a strong free skate.  He has the 8th best free skate and 10th best total scores.  He needs a gold medal to stay in contention for the Final.

He Zhang is skating his first event of the season after winning two medals on the Junior Grand Prix last year.  He’s had some end of the season troubles and has continued to fall in the rankings at Junior Worlds over the last three years.  Even at his low points he can score in the 180s which makes him a strong contender for the podium here.  He’ll also be competing next week in Germany so if he wins a medal here, he’ll have a chance to compete for a spot in the Final next week.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Alexander Petrov

Silver: Sota Yamamoto

Bronze: He Zhang

 

Bios of the competitors:

Slavik Hayrapetyan, ARM: He placed 29th at Junior Worlds.  He finished 22nd at JGP Poland and 14th at JGP Czech Republic last season.  His personal best is 143.48.  He is 18 years old.

James Min, AUS: He placed 16th at JGP Japan.  His personal best is 129.29.  He is 14 years old.

Pavel Ignatenko, BLR: He finished both at Europeans and 20th at Junior Worlds.  He placed 8th at JGP Latvia and JGP Estonia last season.  His personal best is 172.08.  He is 19 years old.

Edrian Paul Celestino, CAN: This is his international debut.  He is 16 years old.

Bennet Toman, CAN: He placed 12th at JGP France.  His personal best is 133.87.  He is 17 years old.

He Zhang, CHN: He finished 11th at Junior Worlds.  He won silver at JGP Slovakia and bronze at JGP Poland last season.  His personal best is 193.97.  He is 17 years old.

Meng Ju Lee, TPE: He placed 16th at JGP France.  His personal best is 136.38.  He is 18 years old.

Matyas Belohradsky, CZE: He placed 11th at JGP Czech Republic.  His personal best is 140.52.  He is 13 years old.

Daniel Tsion, DEN: This is his international debut.  He is 15 years old.

Aleksandr Selevko, EST: He placed 18th at JGP Czech Republic.  His personal best is 106.12.  He is 13 years old.

Jegor Zelenjak, EST: This is his international debut.  He is 13 years old.

Daniil Zurav, EST: He placed 36th at Junior Worlds.  He finished 19th at JGP Estonia last season.  His personal best is 111.70.  He is 15 years old.

Roman Galay, FIN: He placed 17th at JGP Slovenia.  His personal best is 124.27.  He is 16 years old.

Daniel Albert Naurits, FRA: He plead 10th at JGP France.  His personal best is 150.88.  He is 18 years old.

Hugh Brabyn-Jones, GBR: This is his international debut.  He is 17 years old.

Sota Yamamoto, JPN: He won silver at JGP France.  His personal best is 195.80.  He is 14 years old.

Deniss Vasiljevs, LAT: He placed 8th at Junior Worlds.  He finished 4th at JGP France.  His personal best is 189.33.  He is 15 years old.

Sondre Oddvoll Boe, NOR: He placed 25th at Europeans and 24th at Junior Worlds.  He finished 23rd at JGP Latvia and 14th at JGP Poland last season.  His personal best is 141.32.  He is 16 years old.

Krzysztof Gala, POL: He finished 37th at Junior Worlds.  He placed 18th at JGP Latvia and 21st at JGP Poland last season.  His personal best is 128.81.  He is 18 years old.

Alexander Petrov, RUS: He placed 4th at Junior Worlds.  He won silver at JGP Slovenia.  His personal best is 216.33.  He is 15 years old.

Vladimir Samoilov, RUS: This is his international debut.  He is 15 years old.

Jakub Krsnak, SVK: He finished 18th at JGP Slovenia.  His personal best is 112.81.  He is 15 years old.

Nicky Obreykov, SWE: He placed 14th at JGP Czech Republic.  His personal best is 137.27.  He is 18 years old.

Tim Huber, SUI: This is his JGP debut.  He is 16 years old.

Ivan Pavlov, UKR: He finished 15th at Junior Worlds.  He placed 8th at JGP Slovakia and 7th at JGP Estonia last season.  His personal best is 171.04.  He is 16 years old.

Spencer Howe, USA: He finished 15th at JGP Belarus last season.  His personal best is 123.54.  He is 18 years old.

Andrew Torgashev, USA: He placed 4th at JGP Czech Republic.  His personal best is 182.57.  He is 13 years old.