2017 Internationaux de France Men’s Preview

With two events to go in the Grand Prix series, only Mikhail Kolyada has secured his place in the Final with 26 points.  Jason Brown has 22 points, and while it is unlikely, he still has a shot at the Final depending on how everyone else skates.  Six men at this event have a shot of making the Final, but most will need a gold medal to do so.

Shoma Uno is the only skater to score over 300 points this season and has done so twice, at Lombardia Trophy and Skate Canada.  He needs a gold, silver, or bronze medal to qualify for the Final, while a 4th place finish would still give him a strong chance.  At Lombardia Trophy he hit the quad flip and quad toe + triple toe, while at Skate Canada he only added a double to the combination.  He earned all positive GOEs in Canada, worth 10 points, and his program components were his highest of the season ranging from the low to mid 9s.  He even received three 10.00 marks, but they were all from the same judge.  He has been playing with the layout of his free skate and did not attempt the quad salchow at Skate Canada that he had landed at Lombardia Trophy.  He has three quads and a triple axel combination in the bonus, although his solo quad toe was under-rotated in Canada.  He completed four quads, and two of them had positive GOEs.  At Lombardia Trophy, he landed five quads, four with positive GOEs.  His biggest difference in scores between events, definitely has to be on the GOE side.  At Lombardia Trophy, he earned a whopping 23 points from GOEs in his free skate, while at Skate Canada, he only earned 6.  His program components were similar between events, in the high 8s to mid 9s.  He has the 2nd best short program, best free skate, and best total scores.

Javier Fernandez is out of the running for the Grand Prix Final after a 6th place finish at Cup of China, his worst finish since 2010.  His short program is intended to include a quad toe + double toe and a quad salchow.  However, in China he missed his opening quad.  At both events he earned all Level 4s, but he lost ground in China with a messy triple axel.  His program components were similar at both events, in the low to mid 9s.  His free skate is intended to have a quad toe and a quad salchow + triple toe.  He landed a quad salchow in his free skate in China, but tripled his opening quad, missed his triple axel combination, doubled a flip and earned negative GOEs on three of his jumps.  He did earn all Level 4s and had program components in the high 8s to low 9s.  He has the 4th best short program, 6th best free skate, and 5th best total scores, although they all came from the Autumn Classic International.

Max Aaron won the bronze medal at Cup of China with a personal best free skate score.  He needs a gold medal to guarantee a spot in the Final.  He landed a quad toe + double toe and a quad salchow in his short program, although the opening quad and his triple axel received negative GOEs.  Overall, he earned only tenths of a point from GOEs for this program.  His program components were better than earlier in the season, in the mid to high 7s.  In the free skate he landed a quad toe + double toe, quad salchow, and a quad toe in the bonus.  Both of his triple axels are in the bonus, along with a triple lutz + single loop + triple salchow combination.  He also earned Level 4 on his spins and his step sequence and only had two very slight negative GOEs.  His program components were some of his best, in the high 7s to low 8s.  He has the 9th best free skate and 8th best total scores.

Vincent Zhou finished 4th in his Grand Prix debut at Cup of China.  He needs a gold medal to keep himself in the running for the Final.  He started off with a bang with a clean quad lutz + triple toe worth 19.76 points.  However, he fell on a fully rotated quad flip and had his triple axel under-rotated and fell on it.  He also under-rotated the triple axel and his solo flip at Finlandia Trophy.  At both events, his GOEs actually lost him points on the technical score.  His program components were much better in China, scoring in the low to mid 7s.  His free skate had a quad lutz + triple toe that was again well done, earning him 19.90 points.  He also attempted a quad flip, quad salchow, quad lutz, and quad salchow + double toe.  The solo salchow and lutz were both under-rotated and he fell on the salchow.  He also has one triple axel in the bonus and a triple lutz + single loop + triple flip combination.  His program was a bit cleaner at Finlandia, but his jump content was a lot more difficult in China, and he did score over 100 points on the technical side.  His program components were all in the mid 7s.  He has the 10th best free skate score.

Alexei Bychenko won bronze at NHK Trophy last week.  His short program includes a quad toe and a triple lutz + triple toe.  He earned all positive GOEs and had program components in the mid 7s to low 8s.  His free skate has a quad toe + triple toe and a quad toe.  He doubled a loop and had a messy landing on a triple axel, but otherwise the program was fairly clean.  His program components were in the high 7s to low 8s.  He needs a gold medal to guarantee a spot in the Final.

Alexander Samarin won bronze in his Grand Prix debut at Skate Canada with personal best scores across the board.  He needs a gold medal to guarantee a spot in the Final.  His short program includes a quad lutz + triple toe and a quad toe, although neither are in the bonus.  His triple axel was under-rotated and earned negative GOEs.  His program components were on the lower side, in the low to high 7s.  His free skate includes a quad lutz and a quad toe.  His only errors were under-rotating his triple axel combination and a messy double axel at the end of the program.  He only earned Level 3 on his spins, so that is an area he could improve on.  His program components were slightly better, in the mid 7s to low 8s.

Misha Ge finished 4th at Rostelecom Cup with personal best scores across the board.  He hasn’t included a quad in his short program at either of his events this season, but he has landed his triple lutz + triple toe and triple flip.  He earned all positive GOEs at Rostelecom Cup and had program components in the low to mid 8s.  His free skate also does not include a quad and while he has five jumping passes in the bonus, two are his lower value double axels.  He earned all positive GOEs in Russia, worth 11 points, and had program components in the low to mid 8s.  He needs a gold medal to keep himself in the running for the Final.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Shoma Uno

Silver: Javier Fernandez

Bronze: Vincent Zhou

 

Bios of the competitors:

Kevin Aymoz, FRA: He placed 15th at Europeans and 7th at Junior Worlds.  He finished 4th at JGP France and 6th at JGP Slovenia last season.  This is his Grand Prix debut.  His personal best is 218.63.  He is 20 years old.

Romain Ponsart, FRA: His personal best is 184.12.  He is 25 years old.

Moris Kvitelashvili, GEO: He placed 13th at Worlds and 6th at Europeans.  He finished 5th at Rostelecom Cup last season.  His personal best is 250.26.  He is 22 years old.

Alexei Bychenko, ISR: He finished 10th at Worlds and 5th at Europeans.  He won bronze at NHK Trophy.  He is the 2016 European Silver Medalist.  His personal best is 255.52.  He is 29 years old.

Shoma Uno, JPN: He is the reigning World Silver Medalist and reigning Four Continents Bronze Medalist. He won gold at Skate Canada.  He is the 2015 World Junior Champion.  His personal best is 319.84.  He is 19 years old.

Denis Ten, KAZ: He finished 16th at Worlds.  He placed 9th at Rostelecom Cup.  He is the 2014 Olympic Bronze Medalist, 2013 World Silver Medalist, 2015 World Bronze Medalist, and 2015 Four Continents Champion.  His personal best is 289.46.  He is 24 years old.

Alexander Samarin, RUS: He placed 8th at Europeans and is the reigning World Junior Bronze Medalist.  He won bronze at Skate Canada.  His personal best is 250.06.  He is 19 years old.

Javier Fernandez, ESP: He finished 4th at Worlds and is the reigning European Champion.  He placed 6th at Cup of China.  He is the 2015 and 2016 World Champion; 2013 and 2014 World Bronze Medalist; and 2013, 2014, 2015, and 2016 European Champion.  His personal best is 314.93.  He is 26 years old.

Max Aaron, USA: He won bronze at Cup of China.  His personal best is 261.56.  He is 25 years old.

Vincent Zhou, USA: He is the reigning World Junior Champion.  He placed 4th at Cup of China.  His personal best is 258.11.  He is 17 years old.

Misha Ge, UZB: He placed 12th at Worlds and 7th at Four Continents.  He finished 4th at Rostelecom Cup.  His personal best is 255.33.  He is 26 years old.

2017 NHK Trophy Men’s Results

Short Program

PL. Name Nation TSS TES PCS SS TR PE CO IN Deduction StN.
1 Sergei VORONOV  RUS 90.06 49.18 40.88 8.25 7.89 8.39 8.21 8.14 0.00 #6
2 Alexei BYCHENKO  ISR 85.52 45.84 39.68 7.93 7.57 8.11 8.07 8.00 0.00 #10
3 Jason BROWN  USA 85.36 40.58 44.78 8.82 8.82 8.93 9.07 9.14 0.00 #11
4 Adam RIPPON  USA 84.95 43.16 41.79 8.32 8.11 8.43 8.36 8.57 0.00 #9
5 Keegan MESSING  CAN 80.13 42.37 38.76 7.75 7.50 7.86 7.79 7.86 1.00 #3
6 Kazuki TOMONO  JPN 79.88 43.80 36.08 7.29 6.93 7.39 7.18 7.29 0.00 #2
7 Dmitri ALIEV  RUS 77.51 39.40 39.11 7.96 7.79 7.68 7.93 7.75 1.00 #8
8 Deniss VASILJEVS  LAT 76.51 38.54 38.97 7.86 7.54 7.82 7.82 7.93 1.00 #7
9 Michal BREZINA  CZE 76.24 37.28 39.96 8.07 7.61 8.07 8.00 8.21 1.00 #5
10 Hiroaki SATO  JPN 75.95 40.56 35.39 7.25 6.82 7.14 7.07 7.11 0.00 #1
11 Nam NGUYEN  CAN 65.82 32.76 35.06 7.14 6.75 6.96 7.25 6.96 2.00 #4

Free Skate

PL. Name Nation TSS TES PCS SS TR PE CO IN Deduction StN.
1 Sergei VORONOV  RUS 181.06 94.34 86.72 8.71 8.29 8.89 8.68 8.79 0.00 #9
2 Adam RIPPON  USA 177.04 91.46 85.58 8.54 8.29 8.75 8.46 8.75 0.00 #6
3 Alexei BYCHENKO  ISR 166.55 85.85 80.70 8.14 7.89 8.18 8.07 8.07 0.00 #10
4 Jason BROWN  USA 160.59 72.73 89.86 8.89 8.93 8.79 9.11 9.21 2.00 #11
5 Deniss VASILJEVS  LAT 158.29 76.43 81.86 8.11 7.89 8.21 8.29 8.43 0.00 #4
6 Keegan MESSING  CAN 155.67 74.59 81.08 8.18 7.86 8.18 8.11 8.21 0.00 #7
7 Kazuki TOMONO  JPN 152.05 75.69 77.36 7.71 7.46 7.79 7.86 7.86 1.00 #8
8 Nam NGUYEN  CAN 148.69 78.49 70.20 7.21 6.68 7.00 7.07 7.14 0.00 #1
9 Dmitri ALIEV  RUS 145.94 70.52 77.42 7.89 7.50 7.61 7.89 7.82 2.00 #3
10 Michal BREZINA  CZE 144.21 66.35 79.86 8.07 7.79 7.89 8.11 8.07 2.00 #5
11 Hiroaki SATO  JPN 123.25 55.67 68.58 7.04 6.54 6.75 7.00 6.96 1.00 #2

Total

PL Name Nation SP FS Points
1. Sergei VORONOV  RUS 1 1 271.12
2. Adam RIPPON  USA 4 2 261.99
3. Alexei BYCHENKO  ISR 2 3 252.07
4. Jason BROWN  USA 3 4 245.95
5. Keegan MESSING  CAN 5 6 235.80
6. Deniss VASILJEVS  LAT 8 5 234.80
7. Kazuki TOMONO  JPN 6 7 231.93
8. Dmitri ALIEV  RUS 7 9 223.45
9. Michal BREZINA  CZE 9 10 220.45
10. Nam NGUYEN  CAN 11 8 214.51
11. Hiroaki SATO  JPN 10 11 199.20
Withdrawn
Yuzuru HANYU  JPN

2017 World Championships Men’s Preview

It’s all about the quads, bout the quads, no triples should be the motto of the men’s event at the World Championships in Helsinki.  Nathan Chen made history at the US Championships and again at Four Continents when he became the first man to land five quads in a free program.  Several skaters are attempting quad lutzes and quad flips and even quad loops.

Javier Fernandez enters this event as the reigning two-time World Champion and five-time European Champion. He set a personal best defending his World title last season, scoring an impressive 314.93 points.  He has had a less than stellar season this year, placing 4th at the Grand Prix Final and failing to score over 300 points.  Most of this can be attributed to his technical performances which have not been clean this season.  His program components have been strong, with his best short program performance equal to that of Yuzuru Hanyu.  He has the highest program components score in the free skate this season, besting Hanyu.  In the short program he has a very slight technical disadvantage as he has the easier quad salchow and quad toe.  In the free skate, he only has three quads, putting him 10 or even 15 points behind the other top men in the field in planned jump content.  He has to skate perfectly clean if he wants to hold on to his World title.  He has the 2nd best short program, 3rd best free skate, and 3rd best total scores.

Yuzuru Hanyu is the two-time reigning World Silver Medalist.  He competed at Four Continents for the first time since 2013 and walked away with the silver medal.  He started his season with a silver medal at Skate Canada but was able to take home gold from the Grand Prix Final.  He was the first skater to score over 300 points and currently holds the record of 330.43.  However, he has not come close to that mark this season, scoring in the low 300s.  He is the first skater to land a quad loop and has it in both of his programs this season.  His short program includes a quad loop and a quad salchow.  He has five planned quads in his free skate, including the quad loop, two quad salchows, and two quad toes.  His jump content base value in the free skate is 90 points.  His biggest issue is skating his programs cleanly, and he hasn’t been able to skate a clean program, let alone two clean programs in competition this season.  He also has been bested on the program components this season by Patrick Chan and Fernandez.  He has the best short program, best free skate, and 2nd best total scores.

Shoma Uno is the reigning Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  He won a gold and silver on the Grand Prix circuit and took home bronze from the Grand Prix Final.  Last season, he finished a disappointing 7th at Worlds after he won bronze at the Grand Prix Final in his first senior season.  His personal best score is 288.05, set at Four Continents, however he crossed the 300 point threshold a few weeks ago at Coupe de Printemps, a senior B event.  These events are often overscored and thus do not count towards personal best scores, but it will be interesting to see how close he can get to that mark.  His short program includes a quad flip and a quad toe.  His free skate includes four quads, including a quad loop (new at Four Continents), quad flip, and two quad toes.  His planned base value of 84 for his jumps is well below the 90 point threshold that several other top competitors are aiming for, however, he has the best program components of any of the younger skaters.  For both of his programs, he is only within 3-4 points of the top program component scores handed out this season.  He has the 4th best short program, 5th best free skate, and 4th best total scores.

Nathan Chen is the reigning Four Continents Champion.  He won a silver medal at the NHK Trophy to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where he won the silver medal.  In just his first senior season, he has been setting record after record and making history with his programs.  His personal best was set at Four Continents and is 307.46, making him one of only three skaters to score above 300 points in major competition.  What is most impressive about him, is that he has the ability to land five quads in a program cleanly and receive positive GOEs on all of his elements.  He showed a bit of a crack in his armor at Four Continents but was still able to hold off some formidable competition to take home his first championship gold medal.  As expected, he has the best TES scores for the short program and free skate.  His short program includes a quad lutz and a quad flip, giving him the highest jump base value of the competition.  His free skate has a quad lutz, quad flip, two quad toes and a quad salchow.  His program components have been improving throughout the season, going from 40 points in the short program to 43 and from 79 to 88 in the free skate.  He has been working with Marina Zoueva this season, but he’s also a classically trained ballet dancer and it is likely that the increase in his scores is partially based on reputation as he’s made his mark in his first senior season.  His program components at Four Continents, were much higher than they were earlier in the season, and he admitted that he was focused on the technical elements and wasn’t able to put out as strong as an artistic performance as he has in the past.  He is definitely a sleeper for the gold medal, as he has the most difficult content and is the only one who’s been able to skate two clean programs this season, but the program components may hold him back if skaters like Hanyu are relatively clean and have a several point lead on him in that segment.  He has the 3rd best short program, 2nd best free skate, and best total scores.

Boyang Jin was the surprise bronze medalist at last year’s World Championships.  He was the first man to land a quad lutz+triple toe combination in competition.  He won a silver medal at Cup of China this season, but failed to qualify for the Grand Prix Final and he finished off the podium at Four Continents.  He has made strides in the performance quality of his skating, but he’s still behind the rest of the top men in this field.  His other main issue has been landing his jumps and completing them cleanly.  He gives a lot of points away with negative grades of execution.  His personal best came at last year’s Four Continents, where he scored 289.83.  His short program includes a quad lutz and a quad toe, while his free skate has a quad lutz, quad loop, quad salchow and two quad toes.  He has the most difficult free skate planned with the base value for the jumps over 95 points.  However, at Four Continents, where he first debuted his new free skate layout, his TES was only 100 points.  With missed jumps and negative GOEs he lost enough points that he was only able to gain 5 points over his planned jump base value with GOEs, three spins, a step sequence and a choreographic sequence.  And his program components really cost him points, as he’s scoring 10 points behind Nathan Chen in that segment.  Unfortunately, even if he landed a perfectly clean program, he might not have enough technical value to offset the deficits on the artistic side.  He has the 6th best short program, 7th best free skate, and 6th best total scores.

Patrick Chan finished 5th at Worlds last year and 4th at Four Continents last month.  He qualified for the Grand Prix Final after winning a pair of gold medals, but only finished 5th overall.  He takes a calculated risk with his short program, only going for one quad toe, which gives him a base value for his jumps 10 points less than Nathan Chen.  That’s a large gap to overcome, but he’s banking on a clean program and strong program components to make up the gap.  Unfortunately, Hanyu, Fernandez, Uno, and Chan can all put out clean short programs with two quads with strong program components.  This strategy works if other’s falter, but if they hit their jumps he might be out of contention for the podium before the free skate even begins.  He only plans two quads in his free skate, both quad toes.  His jump base value is 77 points, just below Fernandez, but nearly 15 points lower than Hanyu and Chen.  Between two programs he has 25 points to make up just in jumps to try and catch Hanyu and Chen.  His skating is effortless and he earns the high program components and GOEs he receives.  His personal best is just under 300 at 295.27 but that was set way back in 2013.  He has the 5th best short program, 4th best free skate, and 5th best total scores.

Jason Brown is in a similar boat to Patrick Chan.  He doesn’t have the technical firepower to compete with the top skaters, but is relying on superior spins, step sequences, and skating skills to push him into contention.  He suffered an injury that kept him out of US Nationals and didn’t allow him to attempt a single quad at Four Continents where he finished 6th.  His personal best is 268.38, set at Skate America this year where he landed a quad in competition for the first time.  His most difficult layout was at Skate America, where he attempted one quad toe in each program.  By pushing his combination to the second half of the short program, he has a slight technical advantage on Patrick Chan, but is still well below the rest of the field. Even with all of his gifts, his free skate planned jump content is 10 points less than Chan’s, 25 points less than Hanyu and Chen.  To try and make it to the podium he needs to find 35 points these skaters don’t have, or he needs a lot of mistakes at the top.  Plus, he’s losing ground in his sweet spot, the program component marks, with Chen beating him on program components in the short program.  Brown is still one of the few skaters to score above 90 in PCS in the free skate.  He has the 6th best free skate and 8th best total scores.

Denis Ten has missed a good chunk of the season due to injury.  He only was able to compete at one Grand Prix event, Trophee de France, where he won silver.  He wasn’t able to compete at Four Continents and he finished just 10th at the Asian Winter Games.  He was 11th at Worlds last season, his worst finish since 2011.  He has one quad toe in his short program and one quad toe in his free skate.  His personal best was set at Four Continents in 2015 when he scored 289.46.  He had the 9th best short program, 9th best free skate, and 7th best total scores.

Maxim Kovtun is the reigning European Silver Medalist.  He finished 18th at Worlds last season.  He finished 7th at his two Grand Prix assignments this season.  His personal best came at Europeans, where he scored 266.80.  He has two quads in each program, one toe and one salchow.  However, the rest of his free skate content is just not strong enough to compete with the top men, and he very rarely puts two clean programs together.  He has the 7th best short program, 10th best free skate, and 10th best total scores.

Mikhail Kolyada is the reigning European Bronze Medalist.  His personal best is 267.97, set at Worlds last year where he placed 4th.  He has a quad toe in his short program and a quad lutz and quad toe in his free skate.  He has the 8th best short program score.

Other skaters looking to crack the top ten at Worlds include Misha Ge (7th at Four Continents), Kevin Reynolds (3rd at Skate Canada), Alexei Bychenko (3rd at Rostelecom Cup), Jorik Hendrickx (4th at Europeans), and Keiji Tanaka (3rd at NHK Trophy).

Adam Rippon currently has the 10th best short program, 8th best free skate and 9th best total scores for the season and placed 6th at the Grand Prix Final, however, suffered an injury that took him out of US Nationals and the rest of this season.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Yuzuru Hanyu

Silver: Nathan Chen

Bronze: Javier Fernandez

 

The competitors:

Slavik Hayrapetyan, ARM:

Brendan Kerry, AUS:

Larry Loupolover, AZE:

Jorik Hendrickx, BEL:

Patrick Chan, CAN:

Kevin Reynolds, CAN:

Boyang Jin, CHN:

Chih-I Tsao, TPE:

Nicholas Vrdoljak, CRO:

Michal Brezina, CZE:

Valtter Virtanen, FIN:

Chafik Besseghier, FRA:

Moris Kvitelashvili, GEO:

Paul Fentz, GER:

Graham Newberry, GBR:

Alexei Bychenko, ISR:

Matteo Rizzo, ITA:

Yuzuru Hanyu, JPN:

Keiji Tanaka, JPN:

Shoma Uno, JPN:

Denis Ten, KAZ:

Deniss Vasiljevs, LAT:

Julian Zhi Jie Yee, MAS:

Michael Christian Martinez, PHI:

Igor Reznichenko, POL:

Jinseo Kim, KOR:

Mikhail Kolyada, RUS:

Maxim Kovtun, RUS:

Javier Fernandez, ESP:

Javier Raya, ESP:

Alexander Majorov, SWE:

Stephane Walker, SUI:

Ivan Pavlov, UKR:

Jason Brown, USA:

Nathan Chen, USA:

Misha Ge, UZB:

2016 Golden Spin of Zagreb Men’s Results

Short Program

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Deduction
StN.
1 Daniel SAMOHIN ISR 82.35 46.35 38.00 7.65 7.25 7.70 7.60 7.80 2.00 #7
2 Keegan MESSING CAN 76.39 38.89 37.50 7.55 7.40 7.50 7.35 7.70 0.00 #10
3 Brendan KERRY AUS 76.36 41.01 35.35 7.20 6.85 7.10 7.10 7.10 0.00 #1
4 Alexei BYCHENKO ISR 76.18 39.48 36.70 7.45 6.90 7.40 7.35 7.60 0.00 #6
5 Timothy DOLENSKY USA 75.36 38.86 37.50 7.55 7.35 7.35 7.60 7.65 1.00 #2
6 Roman SADOVSKY CAN 74.66 38.31 36.35 7.30 7.15 7.20 7.25 7.45 0.00 #15
7 Denis TEN KAZ 73.35 32.15 41.20 8.30 7.95 8.10 8.35 8.50 0.00 #20
8 Javier RAYA ESP 72.46 37.16 35.30 7.25 6.75 7.05 7.05 7.20 0.00 #18
9 Artur DMITRIEV RUS 71.71 38.41 34.30 7.00 6.75 6.75 6.90 6.90 1.00 #17
10 Anton SHULEPOV RUS 67.55 34.45 34.10 7.10 6.50 6.85 6.90 6.75 1.00 #21
11 Alexander PETROV RUS 66.63 31.88 35.75 7.25 7.10 6.90 7.25 7.25 1.00 #12
12 Vincent ZHOU USA 64.61 30.26 35.35 7.15 7.05 6.95 7.00 7.20 1.00 #11
13 Nicolas NADEAU CAN 64.00 26.75 37.25 7.45 7.15 7.55 7.50 7.60 0.00 #19
14 Yaroslav PANIOT UKR 61.94 32.99 29.95 6.25 5.70 5.85 6.20 5.95 1.00 #14
15 Slavik HAYRAPETYAN ARM 61.70 33.10 28.60 6.00 5.70 5.65 5.75 5.50 0.00 #16
16 Michael Christian MARTINEZ PHI 61.27 31.47 30.80 6.35 5.75 6.30 6.10 6.30 1.00 #4
17 Nicholas VRDOLJAK CRO 55.83 29.73 26.10 5.40 4.95 5.15 5.20 5.40 0.00 #13
18 Anton KEMPF GER 50.99 23.84 28.15 5.80 5.45 5.65 5.60 5.65 1.00 #3
19 Patrick MYZYK POL 50.95 25.25 26.70 5.50 5.00 5.40 5.30 5.50 1.00 #9
20 Petr KOTLARIK CZE 49.58 23.53 28.05 5.90 5.40 5.55 5.55 5.65 2.00 #8

Free Skate

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Deduction
StN.
1 Alexander PETROV RUS 156.29 79.69 76.60 7.60 7.50 7.70 7.75 7.75 0.00 #9
2 Alexei BYCHENKO ISR 151.90 76.00 76.90 7.85 7.40 7.75 7.70 7.75 1.00 #17
3 Anton SHULEPOV RUS 148.04 75.14 73.90 7.45 7.25 7.40 7.40 7.45 1.00 #11
4 Keegan MESSING CAN 146.91 69.51 78.40 7.90 7.75 7.80 7.80 7.95 1.00 #20
5 Brendan KERRY AUS 145.58 72.78 72.80 7.40 7.20 7.30 7.30 7.20 0.00 #18
6 Timothy DOLENSKY USA 144.06 68.96 76.10 7.70 7.35 7.70 7.60 7.70 1.00 #16
7 Daniel SAMOHIN ISR 143.77 67.57 78.20 7.90 7.65 7.85 7.70 8.00 2.00 #19
8 Roman SADOVSKY CAN 143.28 68.28 75.00 7.55 7.30 7.50 7.55 7.60 0.00 #13
9 Artur DMITRIEV RUS 142.90 73.90 69.00 7.20 6.45 6.90 7.00 6.95 0.00 #12
10 Nicolas NADEAU CAN 129.75 57.75 72.00 7.25 7.00 7.10 7.35 7.30 0.00 #8
11 Javier RAYA ESP 127.53 57.63 71.90 7.30 7.00 7.25 7.15 7.25 2.00 #14
12 Yaroslav PANIOT UKR 124.42 59.62 64.80 6.75 6.10 6.55 6.50 6.50 0.00 #10
13 Nicholas VRDOLJAK CRO 116.47 64.67 52.80 5.55 5.15 5.15 5.30 5.25 1.00 #2
14 Petr KOTLARIK CZE 112.03 54.93 57.10 5.90 5.60 5.70 5.60 5.75 0.00 #1
15 Slavik HAYRAPETYAN ARM 109.40 53.20 57.20 6.00 5.40 5.90 5.60 5.70 1.00 #6
16 Anton KEMPF GER 106.80 51.00 56.80 5.60 5.45 5.75 5.65 5.95 1.00 #5
17 Patrick MYZYK POL 90.31 39.91 51.40 5.55 4.80 5.10 5.05 5.20 1.00 #3

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Alexei BYCHENKO ISR 228.08 4 2
2 Daniel SAMOHIN ISR 226.12 1 7
3 Keegan MESSING CAN 223.30 2 4
4 Alexander PETROV RUS 222.92 11 1
5 Brendan KERRY AUS 221.94 3 5
6 Timothy DOLENSKY USA 219.42 5 6
7 Roman SADOVSKY CAN 217.94 6 8
8 Anton SHULEPOV RUS 215.59 10 3
9 Artur DMITRIEV RUS 214.61 9 9
10 Javier RAYA ESP 199.99 8 11
11 Nicolas NADEAU CAN 193.75 13 10
12 Yaroslav PANIOT UKR 186.36 14 12
13 Nicholas VRDOLJAK CRO 172.30 17 13
14 Slavik HAYRAPETYAN ARM 171.10 15 15
15 Petr KOTLARIK CZE 161.61 20 14
16 Anton KEMPF GER 157.79 18 16
17 Patrick MYZYK POL 141.26 19 17
WD Denis TEN KAZ
WD Vincent ZHOU USA
WD Michael Christian MARTINEZ PHI

2017 European Championships Men’s Results

Short Program

 Pl. Qual. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Q Javier FERNANDEZ ESP 104.25 56.93 47.32 9.32 9.32 9.54 9.50 9.64 0.00 #36
2 Q Maxim KOVTUN RUS 94.53 52.97 41.56 8.39 8.11 8.46 8.39 8.21 0.00 #31
3 Q Alexei BYCHENKO ISR 86.68 47.00 39.68 8.04 7.57 8.07 7.89 8.11 0.00 #34
4 Q Mikhail KOLYADA RUS 83.96 41.89 42.07 8.43 8.14 8.50 8.46 8.54 0.00 #26
5 Q Jorik HENDRICKX BEL 82.50 43.07 39.43 7.93 7.68 8.00 7.82 8.00 0.00 #28
6 Q Deniss VASILJEVS LAT 79.87 42.30 37.57 7.46 7.43 7.54 7.50 7.64 0.00 #25
7 Q Alexander MAJOROV SWE 78.87 41.05 37.82 7.54 7.32 7.64 7.61 7.71 0.00 #29
8 Q Michal BREZINA CZE 78.61 39.11 40.50 8.18 7.96 8.11 8.14 8.11 1.00 #33
9 Q Alexander SAMARIN RUS 77.26 40.62 37.64 7.82 7.39 7.43 7.54 7.46 1.00 #35
10 Q Moris KVITELASHVILI GEO 76.85 43.70 33.15 6.82 6.29 6.75 6.68 6.61 0.00 #18
11 Q Chafik BESSEGHIER FRA 76.19 39.18 37.01 7.54 7.18 7.39 7.36 7.54 0.00 #27
12 Q Paul FENTZ GER 72.68 39.47 34.21 6.89 6.61 6.86 6.89 6.96 1.00 #23
13 Q Kevin AYMOZ FRA 71.26 37.48 33.78 6.82 6.43 6.96 6.75 6.82 0.00 #19
14 Q Ivan RIGHINI ITA 69.96 34.45 37.51 7.54 7.36 7.43 7.54 7.64 2.00 #30
15 Q Ivan PAVLOV UKR 68.94 36.47 32.47 6.50 6.18 6.64 6.54 6.61 0.00 #22
16 Q Graham NEWBERRY GBR 67.79 36.43 31.36 6.43 6.07 6.32 6.29 6.25 0.00 #20
17 Q Javier RAYA ESP 66.67 35.21 31.46 6.25 6.00 6.43 6.32 6.46 0.00 #9
18 Q Maurizio ZANDRON ITA 63.79 32.40 31.39 6.25 6.00 6.39 6.32 6.43 0.00 #24
19 Q Stephane WALKER SUI 62.86 31.12 31.74 6.39 6.07 6.46 6.36 6.46 0.00 #21
20 Q Jiri BELOHRADSKY CZE 60.99 32.28 28.71 5.86 5.50 5.89 5.71 5.75 0.00 #13
21 Q Slavik HAYRAPETYAN ARM 60.69 34.51 26.18 5.50 4.86 5.39 5.29 5.14 0.00 #6
22 Q Valtter VIRTANEN FIN 56.52 28.34 29.18 6.07 5.61 5.86 5.82 5.82 1.00 #15
23 Q Sondre ODDVOLL BOE NOR 55.24 25.63 29.61 5.86 5.64 6.00 6.00 6.11 0.00 #17
24 Q Daniel Albert NAURITS EST 55.14 26.71 28.43 5.89 5.29 5.86 5.68 5.71 0.00 #8
25 Igor REZNICHENKO POL 54.81 30.10 26.71 5.71 5.04 5.18 5.46 5.32 2.00 #12
26 Nicholas VRDOLJAK CRO 53.45 27.13 26.32 5.46 5.11 5.21 5.25 5.29 0.00 #16
27 Alexander BOROVOJ HUN 53.02 27.73 25.29 5.07 4.75 5.18 5.11 5.18 0.00 #2
28 Thomas KENNES NED 52.95 26.99 25.96 5.32 4.96 5.18 5.29 5.21 0.00 #11
29 Anton KARPUK BLR 52.26 27.24 25.02 5.04 4.79 5.04 5.04 5.11 0.00 #4
30 Mark GORODNITSKY ISR 51.72 25.73 25.99 5.46 5.07 5.14 5.21 5.11 0.00 #10
31 Larry LOUPOLOVER AZE 51.30 25.87 25.43 5.36 4.50 5.25 5.07 5.25 0.00 #7
32 Engin Ali ARTAN TUR 50.38 27.95 22.43 4.68 4.25 4.57 4.50 4.43 0.00 #3
33 Daniel SAMOHIN ISR 50.33 14.93 35.40 7.32 6.93 6.79 7.25 7.11 0.00 #32
34 Michael NEUMAN SVK 47.67 24.49 24.18 5.00 4.64 4.79 4.79 4.96 1.00 #1
35 Nicky OBREYKOV BUL 44.83 19.50 25.33 5.29 4.86 4.93 5.18 5.07 0.00 #14
36 Mario-Rafael IONIAN AUT 42.62 19.52 23.10 4.71 4.39 4.61 4.71 4.68 0.00 #5

Free Skate

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Javier FERNANDEZ ESP 190.59 98.29 93.30 9.29 9.18 9.21 9.43 9.54 1.00 #22
2 Maxim KOVTUN RUS 172.27 87.77 84.50 8.61 8.21 8.54 8.39 8.50 0.00 #23
3 Mikhail KOLYADA RUS 166.22 82.78 84.44 8.57 8.18 8.43 8.43 8.61 1.00 #20
4 Moris KVITELASHVILI GEO 161.35 89.77 71.58 7.25 6.93 7.14 7.18 7.29 0.00 #13
5 Jorik HENDRICKX BEL 160.06 79.48 80.58 8.04 7.89 8.14 8.04 8.18 0.00 #21
6 Deniss VASILJEVS LAT 155.33 76.19 79.14 8.00 7.57 8.00 8.00 8.00 0.00 #19
7 Alexander SAMARIN RUS 153.61 83.05 72.56 7.61 6.82 7.25 7.21 7.39 2.00 #17
8 Paul FENTZ GER 153.17 82.53 70.64 7.21 6.79 7.07 7.14 7.11 0.00 #15
9 Alexei BYCHENKO ISR 152.56 76.26 77.30 8.00 7.54 7.79 7.68 7.64 1.00 #24
10 Chafik BESSEGHIER FRA 151.40 79.28 72.12 7.36 6.96 7.32 7.21 7.21 0.00 #14
11 Ivan RIGHINI ITA 140.19 71.19 71.00 6.96 6.71 7.11 7.29 7.43 2.00 #11
12 Alexander MAJOROV SWE 139.11 65.39 73.72 7.50 7.11 7.25 7.43 7.57 0.00 #18
13 Michal BREZINA CZE 136.91 62.71 76.20 7.93 7.46 7.39 7.61 7.71 2.00 #16
14 Ivan PAVLOV UKR 133.93 69.07 64.86 6.86 6.36 6.32 6.43 6.46 0.00 #12
15 Stephane WALKER SUI 133.88 72.16 61.72 6.32 5.82 6.36 6.11 6.25 0.00 #1
16 Graham NEWBERRY GBR 130.27 67.99 62.28 6.43 5.89 6.21 6.25 6.36 0.00 #7
17 Javier RAYA ESP 128.87 63.81 66.06 6.71 6.32 6.54 6.75 6.71 1.00 #9
18 Kevin AYMOZ FRA 128.21 62.73 66.48 6.86 6.21 6.71 6.64 6.82 1.00 #8
19 Maurizio ZANDRON ITA 122.61 60.39 63.22 6.29 6.25 6.00 6.50 6.57 1.00 #10
20 Daniel Albert NAURITS EST 120.96 61.38 59.58 6.18 5.68 5.89 6.04 6.00 0.00 #6
21 Jiri BELOHRADSKY CZE 120.63 62.21 59.42 6.07 5.64 6.00 5.96 6.04 1.00 #5
22 Slavik HAYRAPETYAN ARM 120.09 64.11 55.98 5.89 5.21 5.75 5.64 5.50 0.00 #3
23 Sondre ODDVOLL BOE NOR 107.61 47.47 61.14 6.07 5.79 6.14 6.18 6.39 1.00 #2
24 Valtter VIRTANEN FIN 107.57 50.07 58.50 6.14 5.61 5.75 5.96 5.79 1.00 #4

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Javier FERNANDEZ
ESP
294.84 1 1
2 Maxim KOVTUN
RUS
266.80 2 2
3 Mikhail KOLYADA
RUS
250.18 4 3
4 Jorik HENDRICKX
BEL
242.56 5 5
5 Alexei BYCHENKO
ISR
239.24 3 9
6 Moris KVITELASHVILI
GEO
238.20 10 4
7 Deniss VASILJEVS
LAT
235.20 6 6
8 Alexander SAMARIN
RUS
230.87 9 7
9 Chafik BESSEGHIER
FRA
227.59 11 10
10 Paul FENTZ
GER
225.85 12 8
11 Alexander MAJOROV
SWE
217.98 7 12
12 Michal BREZINA
CZE
215.52 8 13
13 Ivan RIGHINI
ITA
210.15 14 11
14 Ivan PAVLOV
UKR
202.87 15 14
15 Kevin AYMOZ
FRA
199.47 13 18
16 Graham NEWBERRY
GBR
198.06 16 16
17 Stephane WALKER
SUI
196.74 19 15
18 Javier RAYA
ESP
195.54 17 17
19 Maurizio ZANDRON
ITA
186.40 18 19
20 Jiri BELOHRADSKY
CZE
181.62 20 21
21 Slavik HAYRAPETYAN
ARM
180.78 21 22
22 Daniel Albert NAURITS
EST
176.10 24 20
23 Valtter VIRTANEN
FIN
164.09 22 24
24 Sondre ODDVOLL BOE
NOR
162.85 23 23
Igor REZNICHENKO
POL
FNR 25
Nicholas VRDOLJAK
CRO
FNR 26
Alexander BOROVOJ
HUN
FNR 27
Thomas KENNES
NED
FNR 28
Anton KARPUK
BLR
FNR 29
Mark GORODNITSKY
ISR
FNR 30
Larry LOUPOLOVER
AZE
FNR 31
Engin Ali ARTAN
TUR
FNR 32
Daniel SAMOHIN
ISR
FNR 33
Michael NEUMAN
SVK
FNR 34
Nicky OBREYKOV
BUL
FNR 35
Mario-Rafael IONIAN
AUT
FNR 36

2016 NHK Trophy Men’s Results

Short Program

  Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Yuzuru HANYU JPN 103.89 57.35 46.54 9.39 9.04 9.29 9.36 9.46 0.00 #9
2 Nathan CHEN USA 87.94 48.55 40.39 8.18 8.04 7.89 8.14 8.14 1.00 #3
3 Keiji TANAKA JPN 80.49 42.14 38.35 7.75 7.50 7.64 7.71 7.75 0.00 #4
4 Mikhail KOLYADA RUS 78.18 37.63 40.55 8.21 7.96 7.96 8.21 8.21 0.00 #1
5 Elladj BALDE CAN 76.29 38.18 38.11 7.57 7.36 7.68 7.61 7.89 0.00 #8
6 Nam NGUYEN CAN 75.33 40.04 36.29 7.21 7.07 7.29 7.29 7.43 1.00 #11
7 Alexei BYCHENKO ISR 75.13 35.81 39.32 7.93 7.54 7.93 7.96 7.96 0.00 #6
8 Jason BROWN USA 74.33 31.80 42.53 8.36 8.54 8.21 8.71 8.71 0.00 #5
9 Ryuju HINO JPN 72.50 37.82 34.68 7.11 6.71 7.04 7.00 6.82 0.00 #7
10 Deniss VASILJEVS LAT 70.50 33.82 36.68 7.32 7.14 7.50 7.36 7.36 0.00 #2
11 Grant HOCHSTEIN USA 68.31 33.64 35.67 7.14 7.07 7.07 7.14 7.25 1.00 #10

Free Skate

Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Yuzuru HANYU JPN 197.58 106.06 92.52 9.36 9.07 9.18 9.29 9.36 1.00 #10
2 Nathan CHEN USA 180.97 97.91 84.06 8.54 8.32 8.25 8.46 8.46 1.00 #11
3 Keiji TANAKA JPN 167.95 87.79 80.16 8.04 7.71 8.11 8.04 8.18 0.00 #9
4 Alexei BYCHENKO ISR 154.74 78.26 76.48 7.89 7.46 7.79 7.64 7.46 0.00 #5
5 Deniss VASILJEVS LAT 153.23 79.09 74.14 7.54 6.96 7.57 7.50 7.50 0.00 #2
6 Mikhail KOLYADA RUS 147.51 67.99 81.52 8.32 7.79 8.04 8.25 8.36 2.00 #6
7 Jason BROWN USA 144.14 62.44 82.70 8.07 8.39 8.00 8.43 8.46 1.00 #3
8 Nam NGUYEN CAN 137.10 64.40 73.70 7.39 7.25 7.29 7.46 7.46 1.00 #8
9 Ryuju HINO JPN 134.65 66.37 69.28 7.32 6.64 6.86 6.93 6.89 1.00 #4
10 Grant HOCHSTEIN USA 123.09 54.07 70.02 7.04 6.79 6.79 7.07 7.32 1.00 #1
11 Elladj BALDE CAN 119.03 45.89 74.14 7.57 7.36 7.14 7.54 7.46 1.00 #7

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Yuzuru HANYU
JPN
301.47 1 1
2 Nathan CHEN
USA
268.91 2 2
3 Keiji TANAKA
JPN
248.44 3 3
4 Alexei BYCHENKO
ISR
229.87 7 4
5 Mikhail KOLYADA
RUS
225.69 4 6
6 Deniss VASILJEVS
LAT
223.73 10 5
7 Jason BROWN
USA
218.47 8 7
8 Nam NGUYEN
CAN
212.43 6 8
9 Ryuju HINO
JPN
207.15 9 9
10 Elladj BALDE
CAN
195.32 5 11
11 Grant HOCHSTEIN
USA
191.40 11 10

2016 NHK Trophy Men’s Preview

This is the final stop on the Grand Prix series and will decide the last three qualifiers to make it to the Grand Prix Final.  Already qualified are Javier Fernandez (30 points), Patrick Chan (30), and Shoma Uno (28).

Waiting in 4th-6th positions are Adam Rippon (22 points), Boyang Jin (20) and Sergei Voronov (20).  Five skaters have the chance to qualify at this event.

Jason Brown took home a silver medal from Skater America where he set new personal best free skate and total scores and landed the first clean quad of his career.  He needs a gold, silver or bronze medal to qualify for the Final.  He has the 5th best free skate and 6th best total scores.

Yuzuru Hanyu had a very disappointing showing at Skate Canada where he won the silver.  He had a similar first outing last year before eclipsing the 300 point mark in his second event.  He is more than capable of blowing away the field here and has a quad loop in his arsenal this season.  He needs a gold, silver or bronze medal to qualify for the Final.  He has the 8th best short program, 4th best free skate and 9th best total scores.

Alexei Bychenko won the bronze medal at Rostelecom Cup where he set new personal best scores across the board.  He can qualify for the Final with a gold or silver medal here.  He has the 10th best total scores.

Mikhail Kolyada finished 4th at Rostelecom Cup where he set a new personal best short program score.  He needs gold medal to qualify for the Final.  He has the 6th best short program score.

Nathan Chen is the only man in the world attempting five quads in his free skate and he has the most difficult short program attempted with a quad lutz + triple toe combination and a quad flip.  He has yet to hit everything at a competition but when he does, his TES will be through the roof.  He finished 4th at his Grand Prix debut in Trophee de France and needs a gold medal to qualify for the Final.  He has the 4th best short program, 9th best free skate and 8th best total scores.

The best short program score of the season is 98.59 with the top 10 all scoring above 87 points.  The best free skate score is 201.43 with the top 10 scoring above 170.  The best total score is 292.98 with the top 10 scoring above 255.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Yuzuru Hanyu

Silver: Nathan Chen

Bronze: Jason Brown

 

The competitors:

Elladj Balde, CAN:

Nam Nguyen, CAN:

Alexei Bychenko, ISR:

Yuzuru Hanyu, JPN:

Ryuju Hino, JPN:

Keiji Tanaka, JPN:

Deniss Vasiljevs, LAT:

Mikhail Kolyada, RUS:

Jason Brown, USA:

Nathan Chen, USA:

Grant Hochstein, USA:

2016 Rostelecom Cup Men’s Results

Short Program

  Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Shoma UNO JPN 98.59 54.28 44.31 8.96 8.64 8.75 8.96 9.00 0.00 #6
2 Javier FERNANDEZ ESP 91.55 45.47 46.08 9.14 9.11 9.11 9.36 9.36 0.00 #7
3 Mikhail KOLYADA RUS 90.28 48.56 41.72 8.36 8.04 8.50 8.36 8.46 0.00 #2
4 Alexei BYCHENKO ISR 86.81 46.74 40.07 7.89 7.68 8.18 8.07 8.25 0.00 #10
5 Chafik BESSEGHIER FRA 80.68 44.50 36.18 7.36 6.89 7.39 7.25 7.29 0.00 #5
6 Elladj BALDE CAN 76.36 39.18 37.18 7.43 7.14 7.54 7.43 7.64 0.00 #1
7 Artur DMITRIEV RUS 76.06 40.67 36.39 7.46 6.96 7.29 7.32 7.36 1.00 #9
8 Max AARON USA 73.64 37.14 37.50 7.71 7.21 7.43 7.61 7.54 1.00 #8
9 Gordei GORSHKOV RUS 73.37 37.94 35.43 7.18 6.86 7.04 7.21 7.14 0.00 #4
10 Keiji TANAKA JPN 69.13 32.49 36.64 7.43 7.18 7.21 7.50 7.32 0.00 #11
11 Alexander MAJOROV SWE 67.80 33.51 35.29 7.07 6.86 6.86 7.14 7.36 1.00 #12
12 Deniss VASILJEVS LAT 62.40 28.15 35.25 7.14 6.75 6.86 7.21 7.29 1.00 #3

 

Free Skate

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Javier FERNANDEZ ESP 201.43 105.73 95.70 9.36 9.39 9.68 9.71 9.71 0.00 #12
2 Shoma UNO JPN 186.48 96.12 91.36 9.21 8.82 9.04 9.32 9.29 1.00 #11
3 Alexei BYCHENKO ISR 168.71 88.57 80.14 8.00 7.71 8.18 8.04 8.14 0.00 #8
4 Max AARON USA 161.94 85.18 76.76 7.82 7.39 7.82 7.64 7.71 0.00 #6
5 Keiji TANAKA JPN 155.78 83.14 72.64 7.39 6.96 7.36 7.32 7.29 0.00 #2
6 Mikhail KOLYADA RUS 155.02 72.04 83.98 8.61 8.14 8.21 8.57 8.46 1.00 #10
7 Gordei GORSHKOV RUS 150.14 76.70 73.44 7.43 7.07 7.43 7.43 7.36 0.00 #5
8 Elladj BALDE CAN 149.09 71.67 77.42 7.75 7.39 7.89 7.79 7.89 0.00 #7
9 Artur DMITRIEV RUS 145.46 75.16 71.30 7.29 6.82 7.11 7.29 7.14 1.00 #4
10 Chafik BESSEGHIER FRA 143.30 70.16 73.14 7.39 7.00 7.29 7.46 7.43 0.00 #9
11 Deniss VASILJEVS LAT 141.37 68.65 72.72 7.18 6.93 7.43 7.39 7.43 0.00 #3
12 Alexander MAJOROV SWE 124.34 60.78 64.56 6.89 6.39 6.11 6.68 6.21 1.00 #1

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Javier FERNANDEZ
ESP
292.98 2 1
2 Shoma UNO
JPN
285.07 1 2
3 Alexei BYCHENKO
ISR
255.52 4 3
4 Mikhail KOLYADA
RUS
245.30 3 6
5 Max AARON
USA
235.58 8 4
6 Elladj BALDE
CAN
225.45 6 8
7 Keiji TANAKA
JPN
224.91 10 5
8 Chafik BESSEGHIER
FRA
223.98 5 10
9 Gordei GORSHKOV
RUS
223.51 9 7
10 Artur DMITRIEV
RUS
221.52 7 9
11 Deniss VASILJEVS
LAT
203.77 12 11
12 Alexander MAJOROV
SWE
192.14 11 12

2016 Rostelecom Cup Men’s Preview

Javier Fernandez put together two solid performances to win his second World Championship, defeating his training mate and gold medal favorite Yuzuru Hanyu.  He proves that you can combine the quads with artistry and is one of only two skaters to surpass the 300 point mark in competition.  He only had one loss last season, and that was at the Grand Prix Final.  His personal best is about 35 points higher than the next closest competitor.  He has yet to compete this season.

Shoma Uno won Skate America earlier this season with a new personal best total score.  He showed off his quad flip in both programs, the only skater in the world attempting this jump. He has the 2nd best short program, best free skate and best total scores.

After these two skaters, the picture gets a bit muddy as the rest of the skaters are bunched up together but very far away from the top and haven’t had the best starts to their seasons.

Chafik Besseghier leads the pack with his Challenger Series performance, winning gold at Cup of Nice.  His best finish on the Grand Prix was a 5th place showing at Trophee Eric Bompard back in 2010.

Max Aaron is coming off an 8th place showing at Worlds and a season committed to improving his artistry to match the jumps he has been known for.  However, he only won bronze at Lombardia Trophy and bronze at the Autumn Classic International and does not have any top 10 scores.

Mikhail Kolyada came off an impressive 4th place finish at Worlds last season in his first trip to the event.  He started his season finishing 4th at Finlandia Trophy and also does not currently have any top 10 scores.

Alexei Bychenko had the performance of his career last year to win the silver medal at the European Championships.  He went on to finish 13th at Worlds and was surpassed by skaters who finished below him at Europeans.  He finished just 7th at Finlandia Trophy earlier this season.

The best short program score of the season so far is 90.56 with the top 10 all scoring above 80 points.  The best free skate score is 190.19 with the top 10 all scoring above 164.  The best total score is 279.34 with the top 10 all scoring above 239.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Javier Fernandez

Silver: Shoma Uno

Bronze: Mikhail Kolyada

 

Bios of the competitors:

Elladj Balde, CAN: He placed 11th at Cup of China and 11th at NHK Trophy last season.  His personal best is 242.36.  He is 25 years old.

Chafik Besseghier, FRA: He placed 20th at Worlds.  He finished 10th at Trophee Eric Bompard and 9th at NHK Trophy last season.  His personal best is 224.19.  He is 27 years old.

Alexei Bychenko, ISR: He placed 13th at Worlds and is the reigning European Silver Medalist.  He placed 12th at Skate America and 10th at Rostelecom Cup last season.  His personal best is 242.56.  He is 28 years old.

Keiji Tanaka, JPN: He placed 6th at Four Continents.  He finished 5th at NHK Trophy last season.  He is the 2011 World Junior Silver Medalist.  His personal best is 234.90.  He is 21 years old.

Shoma Uno, JPN: He placed 7th at Worlds and 4th at Four Continents. He won gold at Skate America.  He is the 2015 World Junior Champion.  His personal best is 279.34.  He is 18 years old.

Deniss Vasiljevs, LAT: He finished 14th at Worlds, 12th at Europeans, and 8th at Junior Worlds.  He won silver at JGP Latvia and silver at JGP Poland last season.  This is his Grand Prix debut.  His personal best is 224.54.  He is 17 years old.

Artur Dmitriev, RUS: This is his Grand Prix debut.  His personal best is 247.57.  He is 24 years old.

Gordei Gorshkov, RUS: This is his Grand Prix debut.  His personal best is 223.25.  He is 23 years old.

Mikhail Kolyada, RUS: He finished 4th at Worlds and 5th at Europeans.  He placed 5th at Rostelecom Cup last season.  His personal best is 267.97.  He is 22 years old.

Javier Fernandez, ESP: He is the reigning World and European Champion.  He won gold at Cup of China and gold at Rostelecom Cup last season to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where he won silver.  He is the 2015 World Champion, 2013 and 2014 World Bronze Medalist; and 2013, 2014 and 2015 European Champion.  His personal best is 314.93.  He is 25 years old.

Alexander Majorov, SWE: He placed 11th at Europeans.  He is the 2011 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  His personal best is 224.86.  He is 25 years old.

Max Aaron, USA: He placed 8th at Worlds and 7th at Four Continents.  He won gold at Skate America and placed 7th at Trophee Eric Bompard last season.  His personal best is 258.95.  He is 24 years old.

2016 World Championships Men’s Preview

This has truly been an exciting season in men’s figure skating with the limits of the sport being pushed.  It is not uncommon to see two quads in the short program and three or four in the free skate.  But more importantly, these difficult jumps are being combined with the artistic side of skating to truly complete the whole package.  There is already talk of revamping the scoring system for next year as the program components can no longer keep up with the technical scores these men are achieving, even when they are virtually perfect.

Since 2011, Patrick Chan, Yuzuru Hanyu or Javier Fernandez have won the World title, and it is fitting that these three are the top contenders going into these Championships.  Despite how gifted all these skaters are, there has still been a clear delineation between them and a good separation between them and the rest of the pack.

No skater had ever passed the 300 point mark in international competition until Yuzuru Hanyu did this season.  Not only did he pass it, he smashed it, twice, setting an astonishing 330 points at the Grand Prix Final.  He hit all of his difficult elements with positive GOEs and nearly perfect program components and truly showed what perfection can look like in an often imperfect sport.  He has scored over 100 in the short program and over 200 in the free skate with over 100 on the technical side.  If he can come even close to the last two marks he set in competition, this should be a cakewalk for him.  However, he did win the silver at Skate Canada with a score of 259 proving that he is indeed human.  He has the best short program, best free skate and best total scores.

Javier Fernandez trains alongside Hanyu and he made history last season when he became the first Spanish skater to win a World title.  He has long been known for his jumps but is really starting to show off the finer side to his skating.  His Guys and Dolls free skate in particular plays into his wheel house and when he’s on with his jumps, the crowd really gets into the program.  He enters this event as the four time reigning European Champion and he crossed the 300 point mark at this years Championships, becoming only the 2nd skater to do so.  Like Hanyu, he can score over 100 in the short program and over 200 in the free skate with over 100 points on the technical side.  He has the 2nd best short program, 3rd best free skate and 2nd best total scores.

Patrick Chan considered retiring after his 4th place finish at the Grand Prix Final, but stuck with it and won the title at Four Continents last month.  His short program has been his nemesis this season and he’s had to dig himself out of a hole in the free skate to try and make it on to the podium.  Even after a stellar overall performance at Four Continents, he still does not have a short program score that even ranks in the top 10.  This could be very dangerous for him, as he’ll want to be in the final warmup group at Worlds and not competing earlier in the free skate.  He is capable of scoring over 200 points in the free skate with 100 on the technical side, and is one of only three skaters this season to do so.  However, his personal best is still a whopping 7 points lower than Chan’s and 35 points below Hanyu.  He has the 2nd best free skate and 3rd best total scores.

Outside of these three veterans, there are several youngsters knocking on the door and hoping to land their way on the podium.

Boyang Jin has some of the most impressive jumps in skating, landing quad lutz + triple toe combinations with ease, something no other man has done before.  He’s also one of only two skaters attempting four quads in his free skate (the other is Nathan Chen who is out for the rest of the season).  His short program has a quad lutz + triple toe plus a quad toe in the bonus.  His free skate has four quads, including two in the bonus.  His focus is mostly on the jumps and he needs to work on developing transitions, choreography and a connection with his music and the audience.  He made up some ground at Four Continents, setting new personal bests in all segments of competition and nearing the 290 mark, putting him within 5 points of Chan.   He can easily score over 100 points on the TES in his free skate, but it’s the program components that are holding him back from reaching the 200 point mark for the program as a whole.  He has the 3rd best short program, 4th best free skate and 4th best total scores.

Shoma Uno had a great start to his senior debut season, winning the bronze medal at the Grand Prix Final, ahead of Patrick Chan.  While he has yet to score 200 points for his free skate, he has scored over 100 on the technical side.  His short program includes a quad toe in the bonus and his free skate includes two quads, one in combination and one in the bonus.  What Uno does really well, especially for a young skater, is balance the artistry with his technical performance.  He’s already shown signs of the dynamic performance style that the Japanese are becoming known for.  He had a bit of a meltdown at Four Continents, finishing 4th, however, he wasn’t far off of his personal best.  He has the 5th best short program, 5th best free skate and 5th best total scores.

Han Yan is in his third senior season, but has experienced some ups and downs in his career.  He had a solid if unimpressive Grand Prix campaign, finishing 4th and winning bronze.  He was a surprise bronze medal finisher at Four Continents where he set new personal bests in the free skate and total score.  He still has a ways to go to catch the top tier of men at this event, but he could put out another set of strong performances to finish in the top 6 here.  He has the 6th best short program, 7th best free skate and 7th best total scores.

Two Americans will be looking to hold on to the US’s three spots at Worlds for next season in front of their home crowd.

Max Aaron put out two relatively clean programs at US nationals but still settled for a silver medal.  He showed at Skate America that he has all the goods to be a top contender with lightning speed, great jumps and a focus on artistry and performance.  However, he has been chasing that performance all season and hasn’t quite lived up to it again.  He has the 10th best short program, 9th best free skate and 9th best total scores.

Adam Rippon is all artistry all the time and his spins and edges along with his choreography and well renowned in the sport.  However, he took home the US title in January despite not attempting a quad in the short program and botching the quad attempt in his free skate.  He is capable of landing a quad lutz, but it is wildly inconsistent and in his case, not worth the risk.  He doesn’t attempt any other quad jump so he’s banking on that one jump going well to get the points he needs.  His triple axel can also be a bit shaky but he is known for his signature Rippon triple lutz.

The wild card in this event is Denis Ten.  He is the skater most often counted out, but who comes through at the end of the season. He is on the season’s best list, although these scores come from a Challenger Series event which are often slightly overscored.  He withdrew from Four Continents and had a disappointing showing at a Senior B last week.  While it’s hard to count him out, since he’s pulled through so many times in the past, I think this might be the year that he can’t rebound in time to be in top shape for Worlds.  He has the 4th best short program, 6th best free skate and 6th best total scores.

Other skaters looking to factor into the top 10 are European medalists Alexei Bychenko and Maxim Kovtun (who also has the 8th best short program score).  Nam Nguyen was 5th at this event last season, but hasn’t been able to have the same results this year.  He didn’t even qualify to compete here, but another Canadian skater turned down his spot in favor of Nguyen in hopes of Canada being able to earn three spots for next year’s Worlds.

With only two spots available for the Japanese men at this event, two top ten finishers are staying at home. Takahito Mura has the 8th best score of the season, while Daisuke Murakami currently holds the 10th best score of the season.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Yuzuru Hanyu

Silver: Javier Fernandez

Bronze: Patrick Chan

 

Bios of the competitors:

Denis Margalik, ARG: He finished 17th at Four Continents.  He won bronze at JGP Slovakia and placed 8th at JGP Spain.  His personal best is 193.44.  He is 18 years old.

Slavik Hayrapetyan, ARM: He finished 31st at Europeans.  His personal best is 164.03.  He is 20 years old.

Brendan Kerry, AUS: He finished 20th at Worlds last season.  He placed 19th at Four Continents.  He finished 8th at Skate America and 12th at NHK Trophy.  His personal best is 203.48.  He is 21 years old.

Jorik Hendrickx, BEL: He finished 9th at Europeans.  His personal best is 233.47.  He is 23 years old.

Patrick Chan, CAN: He is the reigning Four Continents Champion.  He won gold at Skate Canada and placed 5th at Trophee Eric Bompard to qualify for the Grand Prix Final were he finished 4th.  He is the 2014 Olympic Silver Medalist; 2011, 2012 and 2013 World Champion; 2009 and 2010 World silver medalist; 2009 and 2012 Four Continents Champion and 2007 World Junior silver medalist.  His personal best is 295.27.  He is 25 years old.

Nam Nguyen, CAN: He placed 5th at Worlds last season.  He placed 5th at Skate Canada and 7th at Rostelecom Cup.  He is the 2014 World Junior Champion.  His personal best is 242.59.  He is 17 years old.

Boyang Jin, CHN: He is the reigning Four Continents Silver Medalist.  He won silver at Cup of China and silver at NHK Trophy to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where he placed 5th.  He is the 2015 World Junior Silver Medalist.  His personal best is 289.83.  He is 18 years old.

Han Yan, CHN: He finished 10th at Worlds last season.  He is the reigning Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  He placed 4th at Skate America and won bronze at Cup of China.  He is the 2013 and 2015 Four Continents Bronze Medalist and 2012 World Junior Champion.  His personal best is 271.55.  He is 20 years old.

Michal Brezina, CZE: He placed 15th at Worlds last season.  He placed 10th at Europeans.   He placed 7th at Skate Canada and won bronze at Rostelecom last season.  He is the 2013 European Bronze Medalist and 2009 World Junior Silver Medalist.  His personal best is 243.52.  He is 25 years old.

Chafik Besseghier, FRA: He placed 18th at Worlds last season.  He finished 10th at Trophee Eric Bompard and 9th at NHK Trophy.  His personal best is 224.19.  He is 26 years old.

Franz Streubel, GER: He finished 14th at Europeans.  His personal best is 196.17.  He is 24 years old.

Phillip Harris, GBR: He placed 18th at Europeans.  His personal best is 184.51.  He is 26 years old.

Alexei Bychenko, ISR: He placed 17th at Worlds last season.  He is the reigning European Silver Medalist.  He placed 12th at Skate America and 10th at Rostelecom Cup.  His personal best is 242.56.  He is 28 years old.

Ivan Righini, ITA: He placed 25th at Worlds last season.  He placed 6th at Europeans.  He finished 10th at Cup of China and 8th at Rostelcom Cup.  His personal best is 236.36.  He is 24 years old.

Yuzuru Hanyu, JPN: He is the reigning World Silver Medalist.  He won silver at Skate Canada and gold at NHK Trophy to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where he won gold.  He is the 2014 Olympic Champion, 2014 World Champion, 2012 World Bronze Medalist, 2011 and 2013 Four Continents Silver Medalist and 2010 World Junior Champion.  His personal best is 330.43.  He is 21 years old.

Shoma Uno, JPN: He placed 4th at Four Continents. He won silver at Skate America and gold at Trophee Eric Bompard to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where he won bronze.  He is the 2015 World Junior Champion.  His personal best is 276.79.  He is 18 years old.

Denis Ten, KAZ: He is the reigning World Bronze Medalist.  He placed 9th at Skate America and 4th at Trophee Eric Bompard.  He is the 2014 Olympic Bronze Medalist, 2013 World Silver Medalist and 2015 Four Continents Champion.  His personal best is 289.46.  He is 22 years old.

Deniss Vasiljevs, LAT: He finished 12th at Europeans and 8th at Junior Worlds.  He won silver at JGP Latvia and silver at JGP Poland.  His personal best is 214.43.  He is 16 years old.

Julian Zhi Jie Yee, MAS: He placed 15th at Four Continents.  He finished 7th at JGP Latvia and 4th at JGP Spain.  His personal best is 197.42.  He is 18 years old.

Michael Christian Martinez, PHI: He placed 21st at Worlds last season.  He finished 9th at Four Continents.  He placed 6th at Cup of China.  His personal best is 220.36.  He is 19 years old.

June Hyoung Lee, KOR: He placed 19th at Worlds last season.  He finished 16th at Four Continents.  He placed 12th at Skate Canada.  His personal best is 203.92.  He is 19 years old.

Mikhail Kolyada, RUS: He finished 5th at Europeans.  He placed 5th at Rostelecom Cup.  His personal best is 247.97.  He is 21 years old.

Maxim Kovtun, RUS: He placed 7th at Worlds last season and is the reigning European Bronze Medalist.  He won silver at Trophee Eric Bompard and placed 10th at NHK Trophy.  He is the 2015 European Silver Medalist.  His personal best is 247.37.  He is 20 years old.

Javier Fernandez, ESP: He is the reigning World and European Champion.  He won gold at Cup of China and gold at Rostelecom Cup to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where he won silver.  He is the 2013 and 2014 World Bronze Medalist; and 2013, 2014 and 2015 European Champion.  His personal best is 302.77.  He is 24 years old.

Javier Raya, ESP: His personal best is 179.37.  He is 24 years old.

Ivan Pavlov, UKR: He placed 15th at Europeans.  He placed 8th at JGP Slovakia and won bronze at JGP Austria.  His personal best is 202.32.  He is 17 years old.

Max Aaron, USA: He placed 7th at Four Continents.  He won gold at Skate America and placed 7th at Trophee Eric Bompard.  His personal best is 258.95.  He is 24 years old.

Grant Hochstein, USA: He placed 8th at Four Continents.  He placed 4th at Cup of China and 4th at NHK Trophy.  His personal best is 235.63.  He is 25 years old.

Adam Rippon, USA: He placed 8th at Worlds last season.  He placed 4th at Skate Canada and 4th at Rostelecom Cup.  He is the 2010 Four Continents Champion and 2008 and 2009 World Junior Champion.  His personal best is 248.63.  He is 26 years old.

Misha Ge, UZB: He finished 8th at Cup of China.  His personal best is 238.05.  He is 24 years old.