2017 World Championships Dance Preview

In ice dance, all the teams are attempting the same elements, and what the scores come down to are levels, grades of execution and program components.  Teams are seeking to gain Level 4 for all of their elements, including the high value step sequences.  They are looking for all positive GOEs in the 2s and 3s.  And they are trying to achieve the highest program components possible.  No team has earned all Level 4s in either of their programs this season.  With a difference of 1.5 points between a Level 3 and a Level 4 step sequence and two in the short dance and two in the free dance, levels can make a huge difference in who ends up on the podium.

Virtue and Moir came back to competition this season in preparation for competing in next year’s Olympics.  They won two gold medals on the Grand Prix and won gold at the Grand Prix Final.  They are the reigning Four Continents Champions.  They were beat in the free dance at Skate Canada, but since then, they have been on a roll.  The coaching change they have made seems to agree with their style of movement as they have always been a more understated, lyrical team.  They have the top three technical scores in the short dance, program component scores in the short dance, and technical scores in the free dance.  They also have the top two program components scores in the free dance.  Their personal best came at the Grand Prix Final this season where they scored 197.22.  They earned nine 10.00 marks in their free dance at Four Continents.  They have the best short dance, best free dance, and best total scores.

Papadakis and Cizeron seemed untouchable until Virtue and Moir announced their return.  These two teams now train alongside one another.  They are the two time reigning World Champions and three time reigning European Champions.  They won gold at Trophee de France and lost to Virtue and Moir at both NHK Trophy and the Grand Prix Final.  They’ve been missing levels and that has cost them ground in their programs and they’ve been having to come back from behind.  Their personal best is 194.46, set at last year’s World Championships.  They earned five 10.00 marks in their free dance at Europeans.  They have the 2nd best short dance, 3rd best free dance, and 2nd best total scores.

The Shibutanis had their breakout season last year, landing on the World podium for the first time since 2011.  They are the reigning World Silver Medalists and reigning Four Continents Silver Medalists.  They won two gold medals on the Grand Prix and took home gold from the Final.  They have long been known as technical skaters, but were scoring in the 2s on some of their elements early in the season.  They have resolved many of these issues, but still haven’t hit all 4s.  Their free dance is a very subtle, artistic piece and contrasts their hip hop short program.  Their program components have come up significantly this season, as evidenced by their four 10.00 marks in the free dance at Four Continents.  Their personal best came at Four Continents, where they scored 191.85.  They have the 3rd best short dance, 2nd best free dance, and 3rd best total scores.

Cappellini and Lanotte failed to make the Grand Prix Final this year, after placing 4th at Skate Canada.  They turned their season around, winning the silver medal at Europeans.  Their personal best came at that event, where they scored 186.64.  They are capable of hitting top levels on all of their elements, but they haven’t been able to put together all of those elements in the same event.  They are also slightly behind on program components, and did not receive any 10.00s at Europeans.  They have the 7th best short dance, 6th best free dance, and 6th best total scores.

Bobrova and Soloviev are the reigning European Bronze Medalists.  They won a bronze at Skate America and gold at Rostlecom Cup to qualify for the Final where they placed 4th.  Their personal best was at Rostelecom Cup, where they scored 186.68.  At Europeans, they had a costly Level 2 on one of their step sequences and did not receive any 10.00 marks.  They have the 5th best short dance, 5th best free dance, and 5th best total scores.

Chock and Bates are the only team to beat Virtue and Moir this season, finishing ahead of them in the free dance at Skate Canada.  But their season has been uneven.  Their performance at Skate Canada was a personal best, scoring 188.24.  At the Grand Prix Final, they finished 6th and were beaten by Hubbell and Donohue for the first time.  They took home the bronze medal from Four Continents, but were over 6 points behind the Shibutanis.  Their scores at Skate Canada were so high because they received Level 4s on some of their step sequences, the first team to do so this season.  But they haven’t been able to replicate that since.  They did receive four 10.00 marks for their free dance at Four Continents.  They have the 4th best short dance, 4th best free dance, and 4th best total scores.

Weaver and Poje have found themselves slipping in the last few seasons.  They nearly won a World Championship in 2014 and medaled again in 2015.  But they finished 5th last season.  They won a silver and bronze on the Grand Prix, and failed to qualify for the Final this year.  They finished 5th at Four Continents, their worst performance ever at that event (tied with 2008 and 2009). At Four Continents they had some program component marks in the 8s, which will not be good enough to get onto the podium at Worlds.  Their levels are what’s giving them the biggest trouble this season.  They have not yet scored a 4 on either step sequence in their short dance or their twizzles.  They are the only top team not to receive a Level 4 on their twizzles this season, which costs them about 1 point per event.  Their personal best was set at the World Team Trophy in 2015 when they scored 182.93.  They have the 9th best short dance, 9th best free dance, and 9th best total scores.

Gilles and Poirier won two bronze medals on the Grand Prix this season.  They finished 6th at Four Continents last month and 8th at Worlds last season.  Their personal best came from Skate Canada this year, when they scored 182.57.  They have the 7th best free dance and 8th best total scores.

Hubbell and Donohue finished 4th at Four Continents, but they were 5 points from the podium.  They did set a personal best at that event, scoring 180.82.  They won a pair of silver medals on the Grand Prix to qualify for the Final where they finished 5th.  They placed 6th at Worlds last season.  They have the 8th best short dance and 10th best total scores.

Other teams looking to crack the top ten include Stepanova and Bukin and Guignard and Fabbri.

Virtue and Moir, the Shibutanis, Chock and Bates, Papadakis and Cizeron, and Cappellini and Lanotte have all scored above 40 points in the short program for their technical score.  Virtue and Moir hold the top mark of 42.16 with the Shibutanis the next closest at 40.85.

Virtue and Moir, Papadakis and Cizeron, the Shibutanis, and Bobrova and Soloviev have scored above 37 points in program components in the short dance.  The top mark was set by Virtue and Moir at 38.37 with Papadakis and Cizeron having the second highest score of 37.83.

For the free dance, Virtue and Moir, the Shibutanis, Papadakis and Cizeron, Chock and Bates, and Gilles and Poirier have scored above 56 points on the technical side.  Virtue and Moir again have the highest mark of 59.25 with the Shibutanis setting the second highest mark of 58.43.

In program components, Virtue and Moir, Papadakis and Cizeron, the Shibutanis, Bobrova and Soloviev, and Cappellini and Lanotte have all scored above 56 points in program components.  Virtue and Moir have the highest score of 58.14 with Papadakis and Cizeron setting the next highest mark of 57.61.

Virtue and Moir have a significant lead in all aspects of competition and that is without hitting the top levels on their step sequences.  Papadakis and Cizeron have the second highest artistic marks while the Shibutanis have the second highest technical marks.  What this podium is going to come down to is who can hit the Level 4s and how close will the gap on the artistic side be between the French and the Americans.

 

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Virtue/Moir

Silver: Papadakis/Cizeron

Bronze: Shibutani/Shibutani

2017 Bavarian Open Senior Dance Results

Short Dance

Pl. Name Club Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Deduction
StN.
1 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 76.06 39.18 36.88 9.00 9.05 9.35 9.35 9.35 0.00 #17
2 Olivia SMART / Adria DIAZ ESP 67.52 35.60 31.92 7.80 7.70 8.20 8.05 8.15 0.00 #6
3 Kavita LORENZ / Joti POLIZOAKIS ECO GER 63.18 34.90 28.28 7.00 6.90 7.20 7.15 7.10 0.00 #13
4 Cecilia TÖRN / Jussiville PARTANEN FIN 59.72 30.92 28.80 7.10 7.00 7.40 7.25 7.25 0.00 #10
5 Adelina GALAYAVIEVA / Laurent ABECASSIS FRA 58.26 32.10 26.16 6.50 6.40 6.80 6.55 6.45 0.00 #8
6 Lorenza ALESSANDRINI / Pierre SOUQUET FRA 54.62 28.46 26.16 6.40 6.30 6.70 6.70 6.60 0.00 #2
7 Celia ROBLEDO / Luis FENERO ESP 53.72 28.16 25.56 6.35 6.15 6.60 6.40 6.45 0.00 #15
8 Jasmine TESSARI / Francesco FIORETTI ITA 53.46 26.58 26.88 6.70 6.75 6.70 6.70 6.75 0.00 #3
9 Robynne TWEEDALE / Joseph BUCKLAND GBR 52.24 26.16 26.08 6.65 6.30 6.65 6.55 6.45 0.00 #12
10 Anna YANOVSKAYA / Adam LUKACS HUN 51.96 26.76 25.20 6.35 6.20 6.30 6.40 6.25 0.00 #9
11 Juulia TURKKILA / Matthias VERSLUIS FIN 49.86 26.46 23.40 5.80 5.65 6.10 5.95 5.75 0.00 #4
12 Yuliia ZHATA / Yan LUKOUSKI UKR 49.60 28.16 21.44 5.50 5.35 5.35 5.45 5.15 0.00 #5
13 Jennifer URBAN / Benjamin STEFFAN ECO GER 49.50 23.38 26.12 6.50 6.30 6.80 6.50 6.55 0.00 #16
14 Victoria MANNI / Carlo RÖTHLISBERGER SUI 47.58 23.86 23.72 5.90 5.80 6.05 6.00 5.90 0.00 #14
15 Aurelija IPOLITO / Malcolm JONES LAT 39.76 20.56 19.20 4.85 4.75 4.80 4.95 4.65 0.00 #7
16 Bailey Anne MELTON / Darian WEISS SUI 38.86 19.34 19.52 4.95 4.70 5.00 5.00 4.75 0.00 #1
17 Malin MALMBERG / Thomas NORDAHL SWE 33.18 18.14 16.04 4.10 3.95 3.95 4.15 3.90 1.00 #11

Free Dance

Pl. Name Club Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Deduction
StN.
1 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 114.08 57.20 56.88 9.25 9.25 9.65 9.50 9.75 0.00 #17
2 Olivia SMART / Adria DIAZ ESP 104.18 55.40 48.78 8.00 7.75 8.35 8.20 8.35 0.00 #16
3 Kavita LORENZ / Joti POLIZOAKIS ECO GER 93.46 48.64 44.82 7.35 7.25 7.65 7.40 7.70 0.00 #15
4 Cecilia TÖRN / Jussiville PARTANEN FIN 90.48 47.10 43.38 7.20 7.10 7.45 7.25 7.15 0.00 #14
5 Lorenza ALESSANDRINI / Pierre SOUQUET FRA 88.38 44.82 43.56 7.20 7.10 7.40 7.25 7.35 0.00 #12
6 Celia ROBLEDO / Luis FENERO ESP 88.34 46.28 42.06 6.90 6.65 7.25 7.00 7.25 0.00 #11
7 Adelina GALAYAVIEVA / Laurent ABECASSIS FRA 87.22 46.58 41.64 6.65 6.70 7.10 7.20 7.05 1.00 #13
8 Robynne TWEEDALE / Joseph BUCKLAND GBR 87.06 47.26 40.80 6.75 6.55 7.00 6.85 6.85 1.00 #9
9 Jasmine TESSARI / Francesco FIORETTI ITA 84.64 42.16 42.48 6.95 6.85 7.20 7.10 7.30 0.00 #10
10 Jennifer URBAN / Benjamin STEFFAN ECO GER 81.74 44.36 37.38 6.25 6.05 6.30 6.20 6.35 0.00 #5
11 Juulia TURKKILA / Matthias VERSLUIS FIN 80.74 43.42 37.32 6.20 6.05 6.35 6.10 6.40 0.00 #7
12 Yuliia ZHATA / Yan LUKOUSKI UKR 73.26 38.34 34.92 5.95 5.65 5.75 5.95 5.80 0.00 #6
13 Anna YANOVSKAYA / Adam LUKACS HUN 72.92 35.40 38.52 6.55 6.30 6.35 6.60 6.30 1.00 #8
14 Victoria MANNI / Carlo RÖTHLISBERGER SUI 68.82 38.24 32.58 5.50 5.05 5.60 5.35 5.65 2.00 #4
15 Aurelija IPOLITO / Malcolm JONES LAT 63.66 36.06 27.60 4.85 4.40 4.55 4.60 4.60 0.00 #3
16 Malin MALMBERG / Thomas NORDAHL SWE 52.66 29.84 23.82 4.20 3.80 4.05 3.95 3.85 1.00 #1
17 Bailey Anne MELTON / Darian WEISS SUI 47.96 23.72 24.24 4.30 3.85 3.95 4.20 3.90 0.00 #2

Total

FPl. Name Club Nation Points SD FD
1 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 190.14 1 1
2 Olivia SMART / Adria DIAZ ESP 171.70 2 2
3 Kavita LORENZ / Joti POLIZOAKIS ECO GER 156.64 3 3
4 Cecilia TÖRN / Jussiville PARTANEN FIN 150.20 4 4
5 Adelina GALAYAVIEVA / Laurent ABECASSIS FRA 145.48 5 7
6 Lorenza ALESSANDRINI / Pierre SOUQUET FRA 143.00 6 5
7 Celia ROBLEDO / Luis FENERO ESP 142.06 7 6
8 Robynne TWEEDALE / Joseph BUCKLAND GBR 139.30 9 8
9 Jasmine TESSARI / Francesco FIORETTI ITA 138.10 8 9
10 Jennifer URBAN / Benjamin STEFFAN ECO GER 131.24 13 10
11 Juulia TURKKILA / Matthias VERSLUIS FIN 130.60 11 11
12 Anna YANOVSKAYA / Adam LUKACS HUN 124.88 10 13
13 Yuliia ZHATA / Yan LUKOUSKI UKR 122.86 12 12
14 Victoria MANNI / Carlo RÖTHLISBERGER SUI 116.40 14 14
15 Aurelija IPOLITO / Malcolm JONES LAT 103.42 15 15
16 Bailey Anne MELTON / Darian WEISS SUI 86.82 16 17
17 Malin MALMBERG / Thomas NORDAHL SWE 85.84 17 16

2017 European Championships Dance Results

Short Dance

Pl. Qual. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Q Ekaterina BOBROVA / Dmitri SOLOVIEV RUS 76.18 39.32 36.86 9.18 9.00 9.29 9.32 9.29 0.00 #30
2 Q Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 75.65 40.22 36.43 9.04 8.96 9.25 9.04 9.25 1.00 #29
3 Q Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON FRA 75.48 38.06 37.42 9.39 9.18 9.39 9.36 9.46 0.00 #26
4 Q Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI ITA 70.46 36.35 34.11 8.50 8.36 8.64 8.50 8.64 0.00 #28
5 Q Isabella TOBIAS / Ilia TKACHENKO ISR 69.35 36.58 32.77 8.21 8.04 8.29 8.21 8.21 0.00 #23
6 Q Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN RUS 68.17 33.72 34.45 8.57 8.39 8.75 8.68 8.68 0.00 #27
7 Q Laurence FOURNIER BEAUDRY / Nikolaj SORENSEN DEN 66.02 36.19 29.83 7.43 7.32 7.61 7.43 7.50 0.00 #24
8 Q Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV RUS 64.67 31.81 33.86 8.43 8.29 8.54 8.46 8.61 1.00 #16
9 Q Alexandra NAZAROVA / Maxim NIKITIN UKR 63.36 33.65 29.71 7.39 7.25 7.50 7.57 7.43 0.00 #21
10 Q Natalia KALISZEK / Maksym SPODYRIEV POL 63.35 32.90 30.45 7.50 7.43 7.68 7.71 7.75 0.00 #25
11 Q Alisa AGAFONOVA / Alper UCAR TUR 62.33 33.18 29.15 7.29 7.07 7.39 7.32 7.36 0.00 #22
12 Q Marie-Jade LAURIAULT / Romain LE GAC FRA 61.48 33.06 28.42 7.14 6.96 7.14 7.11 7.18 0.00 #19
13 Q Sara HURTADO / Kirill KHALIAVIN ESP 56.52 30.30 27.22 6.89 6.57 6.89 6.79 6.89 1.00 #2
14 Q Cecilia TÖRN / Jussiville PARTANEN FIN 54.99 28.85 27.14 6.71 6.54 6.93 6.89 6.86 1.00 #20
15 Q Kavita LORENZ / Joti POLIZOAKIS GER 54.63 26.59 28.04 7.00 6.86 7.07 7.07 7.04 0.00 #18
16 Q Tina GARABEDIAN / Simon PROULX-SENECAL ARM 53.00 27.66 25.34 6.32 6.11 6.43 6.39 6.43 0.00 #10
17 Q Lucie MYSLIVECKOVA / Lukas CSOLLEY SVK 52.84 26.10 26.74 6.75 6.50 6.71 6.82 6.64 0.00 #12
18 Q Viktoria KAVALIOVA / Yurii BIELIAIEV BLR 52.39 26.88 25.51 6.46 6.21 6.43 6.46 6.32 0.00 #17
19 Q Lilah FEAR / Lewis GIBSON GBR 50.75 26.06 24.69 6.14 6.11 6.21 6.29 6.11 0.00 #4
20 Q Taylor TRAN / Saulius AMBRULEVICIUS LTU 49.87 26.58 23.29 5.82 5.64 5.93 5.86 5.86 0.00 #15
21 Robynne TWEEDALE / Joseph BUCKLAND GBR 49.55 25.98 23.57 6.04 5.71 5.89 6.00 5.82 0.00 #1
22 Jasmine TESSARI / Francesco FIORETTI ITA 49.44 26.07 23.37 5.82 5.54 5.96 5.89 6.00 0.00 #5
23 Olga JAKUSHINA / Andrey NEVSKIY LAT 49.14 25.06 24.08 6.11 5.89 6.14 6.00 5.96 0.00 #6
24 Vavara OGLOBLINA / Mikhail ZHIRNOV AZE 48.45 25.07 23.38 5.86 5.61 6.00 5.86 5.89 0.00 #14
25 Victoria MANNI / Carlo RÖTHLISBERGER SUI 47.19 23.92 23.27 5.79 5.57 6.00 5.86 5.86 0.00 #13
26 Nicole KUZMICHOVA / Alexandr SINICYN CZE 47.16 23.07 24.09 6.21 5.93 6.00 6.11 5.86 0.00 #3
27 Tatiana KOZMAVA / Alexei SHUMSKI GEO 43.80 21.60 22.20 5.75 5.39 5.54 5.79 5.29 0.00 #7
28 Hanna JAKUCS / Daniel ILLES HUN 43.50 22.34 21.16 5.43 5.04 5.39 5.39 5.21 0.00 #11
29 Katerina BUNINA / German FROLOV EST 39.47 20.68 19.79 5.04 4.71 5.14 4.96 4.89 1.00 #8
30 Adel TANKOVA / Ronald ZILBERBERG ISR 38.49 19.20 20.29 5.11 5.00 5.00 5.32 4.93 1.00 #9

Free Dance

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON FRA 114.19 56.87 57.32 9.54 9.36 9.64 9.54 9.68 0.00 #20
2 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 110.99 54.69 56.30 9.21 9.11 9.46 9.50 9.64 0.00 #19
3 Ekaterina BOBROVA / Dmitri SOLOVIEV RUS 110.38 53.95 56.43 9.32 9.25 9.50 9.39 9.57 0.00 #18
4 Isabella TOBIAS / Ilia TKACHENKO ISR 99.94 49.17 50.77 8.36 8.21 8.61 8.57 8.57 0.00 #17
5 Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN RUS 98.76 47.54 51.22 8.46 8.29 8.57 8.68 8.68 0.00 #13
6 Laurence FOURNIER BEAUDRY / Nikolaj SORENSEN DEN 94.66 48.92 46.74 7.82 7.57 7.96 7.82 7.79 1.00 #15
7 Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI ITA 93.22 44.76 50.46 8.46 8.32 8.21 8.57 8.50 2.00 #16
8 Natalia KALISZEK / Maksym SPODYRIEV POL 92.67 45.78 46.89 7.64 7.61 7.89 7.89 8.04 0.00 #12
9 Alisa AGAFONOVA / Alper UCAR TUR 91.35 46.02 45.33 7.57 7.32 7.68 7.64 7.57 0.00 #10
10 Alexandra NAZAROVA / Maxim NIKITIN UKR 91.29 45.61 45.68 7.57 7.43 7.50 7.82 7.75 0.00 #11
11 Marie-Jade LAURIAULT / Romain LE GAC FRA 90.92 48.29 43.63 7.29 7.04 7.32 7.32 7.39 1.00 #6
12 Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV RUS 89.84 41.72 49.12 8.21 8.18 7.93 8.50 8.11 1.00 #14
13 Kavita LORENZ / Joti POLIZOAKIS GER 86.69 43.42 43.27 7.14 6.96 7.21 7.39 7.36 0.00 #9
14 Lilah FEAR / Lewis GIBSON GBR 86.24 45.43 40.81 6.64 6.43 6.93 6.93 7.07 0.00 #5
15 Sara HURTADO / Kirill KHALIAVIN ESP 84.84 41.15 43.69 7.39 6.93 7.29 7.36 7.43 0.00 #8
16 Lucie MYSLIVECKOVA / Lukas CSOLLEY SVK 83.80 41.78 42.02 7.04 6.68 7.11 7.04 7.14 0.00 #3
17 Taylor TRAN / Saulius AMBRULEVICIUS LTU 80.08 41.68 38.40 6.36 6.14 6.54 6.50 6.46 0.00 #2
18 Cecilia TÖRN / Jussiville PARTANEN FIN 76.12 37.56 40.56 6.86 6.50 6.79 6.86 6.79 2.00 #7
19 Tina GARABEDIAN / Simon PROULX-SENECAL ARM 75.05 36.51 38.54 6.43 6.25 6.46 6.54 6.43 0.00 #4
20 Viktoria KAVALIOVA / Yurii BIELIAIEV BLR 73.03 36.13 36.90 6.18 5.96 6.11 6.39 6.11 0.00 #1

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SD FD
1 Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON
FRA
189.67 3 1
2 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE
ITA
186.64 2 2
3 Ekaterina BOBROVA / Dmitri SOLOVIEV
RUS
186.56 1 3
4 Isabella TOBIAS / Ilia TKACHENKO
ISR
169.29 5 4
5 Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN
RUS
166.93 6 5
6 Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI
ITA
163.68 4 7
7 Laurence FOURNIER BEAUDRY / Nikolaj SORENSEN
DEN
160.68 7 6
8 Natalia KALISZEK / Maksym SPODYRIEV
POL
156.02 10 8
9 Alexandra NAZAROVA / Maxim NIKITIN
UKR
154.65 9 10
10 Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV
RUS
154.51 8 12
11 Alisa AGAFONOVA / Alper UCAR
TUR
153.68 11 9
12 Marie-Jade LAURIAULT / Romain LE GAC
FRA
152.40 12 11
13 Sara HURTADO / Kirill KHALIAVIN
ESP
141.36 13 15
14 Kavita LORENZ / Joti POLIZOAKIS
GER
141.32 15 13
15 Lilah FEAR / Lewis GIBSON
GBR
136.99 19 14
16 Lucie MYSLIVECKOVA / Lukas CSOLLEY
SVK
136.64 17 16
17 Cecilia TÖRN / Jussiville PARTANEN
FIN
131.11 14 18
18 Taylor TRAN / Saulius AMBRULEVICIUS
LTU
129.95 20 17
19 Tina GARABEDIAN / Simon PROULX-SENECAL
ARM
128.05 16 19
20 Viktoria KAVALIOVA / Yurii BIELIAIEV
BLR
125.42 18 20
Robynne TWEEDALE / Joseph BUCKLAND
GBR
FNR 21
Jasmine TESSARI / Francesco FIORETTI
ITA
FNR 22
Olga JAKUSHINA / Andrey NEVSKIY
LAT
FNR 23
Vavara OGLOBLINA / Mikhail ZHIRNOV
AZE
FNR 24
Victoria MANNI / Carlo RÖTHLISBERGER
SUI
FNR 25
Nicole KUZMICHOVA / Alexandr SINICYN
CZE
FNR 26
Tatiana KOZMAVA / Alexei SHUMSKI
GEO
FNR 27
Hanna JAKUCS / Daniel ILLES
HUN
FNR 28
Katerina BUNINA / German FROLOV
EST
FNR 29
Adel TANKOVA / Ronald ZILBERBERG
ISR
FNR 30

2016 NHK Trophy Dance Result

Short Dance

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Tessa VIRTUE / Scott MOIR CAN 79.47 41.58 37.89 9.36 9.25 9.68 9.46 9.61 0.00 #6
2 Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON FRA 75.60 37.98 37.62 9.39 9.25 9.43 9.46 9.50 0.00 #3
3 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 72.00 36.97 35.03 8.64 8.39 8.86 8.86 9.04 0.00 #9
4 Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV RUS 68.85 34.41 34.44 8.54 8.36 8.79 8.61 8.75 0.00 #4
5 Kaitlin HAWAYEK / Jean-Luc BAKER USA 65.41 34.35 31.06 7.75 7.57 7.86 7.75 7.89 0.00 #5
6 Natalia KALISZEK / Maksym SPODYRIEV POL 59.92 31.34 28.58 7.04 6.86 7.32 7.18 7.32 0.00 #10
7 Marie-Jade LAURIAULT / Romain LE GAC FRA 58.21 30.55 27.66 7.00 6.64 7.07 7.00 6.86 0.00 #2
8 Anastasia CANNUSCIO / Colin MCMANUS USA 52.66 25.28 27.38 6.86 6.57 7.04 6.89 6.86 0.00 #7
9 Emi HIRAI / Marien DE LA ASUNCION JPN 49.37 25.80 23.57 5.96 5.75 5.93 5.96 5.86 0.00 #8

Free Dance

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Tessa VIRTUE / Scott MOIR CAN 116.37 58.77 57.60 9.50 9.43 9.75 9.61 9.71 0.00 #8
2 Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON FRA 111.06 54.40 56.66 9.39 9.29 9.43 9.46 9.64 0.00 #7
3 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 108.42 55.35 53.07 8.71 8.54 9.04 8.89 9.04 0.00 #9
4 Kaitlin HAWAYEK / Jean-Luc BAKER USA 104.34 54.66 49.68 8.11 8.07 8.43 8.36 8.43 0.00 #6
5 Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV RUS 100.77 48.85 51.92 8.64 8.46 8.71 8.75 8.71 0.00 #5
6 Marie-Jade LAURIAULT / Romain LE GAC FRA 91.78 47.77 44.01 7.36 7.04 7.46 7.36 7.46 0.00 #3
7 Natalia KALISZEK / Maksym SPODYRIEV POL 88.01 45.70 42.31 6.93 6.82 7.14 7.18 7.18 0.00 #4
8 Anastasia CANNUSCIO / Colin MCMANUS USA 86.81 45.11 41.70 6.93 6.57 7.18 6.86 7.21 0.00 #1
9 Emi HIRAI / Marien DE LA ASUNCION JPN 70.98 36.78 34.20 5.75 5.61 5.79 5.71 5.64 0.00 #2

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SD FD
1 Tessa VIRTUE / Scott MOIR
CAN
195.84 1 1
2 Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON
FRA
186.66 2 2
3 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE
ITA
180.42 3 3
4 Kaitlin HAWAYEK / Jean-Luc BAKER
USA
169.75 5 4
5 Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV
RUS
169.62 4 5
6 Marie-Jade LAURIAULT / Romain LE GAC
FRA
149.99 7 6
7 Natalia KALISZEK / Maksym SPODYRIEV
POL
147.93 6 7
8 Anastasia CANNUSCIO / Colin MCMANUS
USA
139.47 8 8
9 Emi HIRAI / Marien DE LA ASUNCION
JPN
120.35 9 9
WD Kana MURAMOTO / Chris REED
JPN

2016 Skate Canada Free Dance Results

Free Dance

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES USA 112.03 57.44 54.59 8.96 8.96 9.14 9.25 9.18 0.00 #10
2 Tessa VIRTUE / Scott MOIR CAN 111.83 55.21 56.62 9.39 9.29 9.46 9.50 9.54 0.00 #8
3 Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER CAN 110.45 56.15 54.30 8.86 8.89 9.14 9.11 9.25 0.00 #9
4 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 109.27 54.70 54.57 9.00 8.82 9.18 9.18 9.29 0.00 #7
5 Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN RUS 99.98 48.68 51.30 8.50 8.54 8.46 8.71 8.54 0.00 #6
6 Kaitlin HAWAYEK / Jean-Luc BAKER USA 97.18 48.77 48.41 8.04 7.89 8.04 8.18 8.18 0.00 #5
7 Laurence FOURNIER BEAUDRY / Nikolaj SORENSEN DEN 94.08 48.66 45.42 7.43 7.39 7.50 7.82 7.71 0.00 #3
8 Shiyue WANG / Xinyu LIU CHN 86.30 46.10 40.20 6.82 6.43 6.86 6.75 6.64 0.00 #1
9 Alexandra PAUL / Mitchell ISLAM CAN 86.02 42.53 43.49 7.32 7.14 7.18 7.39 7.21 0.00 #4
10 Cecilia TÖRN / Jussiville PARTANEN FIN 82.16 42.82 39.34 6.68 6.46 6.54 6.64 6.46 0.00 #2

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SD FD
1 Tessa VIRTUE / Scott MOIR
CAN
189.06 1 2
2 Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES
USA
188.24 2 1
3 Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER
CAN
182.57 3 3
4 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE
ITA
180.35 4 4
5 Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN
RUS
168.10 5 5
6 Kaitlin HAWAYEK / Jean-Luc BAKER
USA
162.19 6 6
7 Laurence FOURNIER BEAUDRY / Nikolaj SORENSEN
DEN
156.71 7 7
8 Alexandra PAUL / Mitchell ISLAM
CAN
144.85 8 9
9 Shiyue WANG / Xinyu LIU
CHN
144.16 9 8
10 Cecilia TÖRN / Jussiville PARTANEN
FIN
139.14 10 10

2016 Skate Canada Short Dance Results

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Tessa VIRTUE / Scott MOIR CAN 77.23 39.57 37.66 9.32 9.18 9.50 9.50 9.57 0.00 #7
2 Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES USA 76.21 40.61 35.60 8.86 8.71 8.93 9.00 9.00 0.00 #1
3 Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER CAN 72.12 37.58 34.54 8.46 8.43 8.71 8.82 8.75 0.00 #2
4 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 71.08 35.01 36.07 8.96 8.86 9.07 9.07 9.11 0.00 #5
5 Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN RUS 68.12 34.44 33.68 8.46 8.25 8.43 8.54 8.43 0.00 #10
6 Kaitlin HAWAYEK / Jean-Luc BAKER USA 65.01 33.97 31.04 7.64 7.64 7.64 8.00 7.89 0.00 #6
7 Laurence FOURNIER BEAUDRY / Nikolaj SORENSEN DEN 62.63 32.60 30.03 7.50 7.32 7.50 7.57 7.64 0.00 #8
8 Alexandra PAUL / Mitchell ISLAM CAN 58.83 29.05 29.78 7.36 7.29 7.32 7.64 7.61 0.00 #3
9 Shiyue WANG / Xinyu LIU CHN 57.86 31.92 26.94 6.68 6.54 6.82 6.89 6.75 1.00 #4
10 Cecilia TÖRN / Jussiville PARTANEN FIN 56.98 30.63 26.35 6.61 6.46 6.57 6.71 6.57 0.00 #9

2016 Skate Canada Dance Preview

Virtue and Moir decided to come back to competition this season and have a new coaching staff behind them.  They won gold at the Autumn Classic International to start their season.  They received Level 4 on all of their elements except for the spin in their free dance.  They received a time deduction and an extended lift deduction.  They have the best short dance, 2nd best free dance and best total scores.

Chock and Bates faced a disappointing season last year, being surpassed at US Nationals and Worlds by the Shibutanis.  They won silver at Nebelhorn Trophy and silver at Ondrej Nepela Memorial to kick of their season.  They received Level 4 on everything except their step sequences in the free dance at the Nebelhorn Trophy.  They had all positive GOEs and program components in the 8s and 9s.  They have the 3rd best short dance, 4th best free dance and 4th best total scores.

Cappellini and Lanotte won gold at Nebelhorn Trophy to kick off their season.  They also received Level 4s on everything except for their steps in the free dance.  They only had one program component in the 8s with the rest in the 9s.  They have the 4th best short dance, 3rd best free dance and 3rd best total scores.

Gilles and Poirier started their season with a bronze at Nebelhorn Trophy.  They had the same levels as Chock and Bates and Cappellini and Lanotte but their program components were in the 8s with one in the 9 range.  They have the 6th best short dance, 7th best free dance and 6th best total scores.

Stepanova and Bukin won gold at Finlandia Trophy.  They received a Level 2 on one of their step sequences in the free dance.  They have the 7th best short dance, 8th best free dance and 8th best total scores.

The top short dance score of the season is 77.72 with the top 10 scoring above 66 points.  The top free dance score is 112.71 with the top 10 all scoring above 98.  The best total score is 189.20 with the top 10 scoring above 165.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Virtue/Moir

Silver: Chock/Bates

Bronze: Cappellini/Lanotte

 

Bios of the competitors:

Gilles/Poirier, CAN: They finished 8th at Worlds and placed 5th at Four Continents .  They won bronze at Skate America and silver at Trophee Eric Bompard last season.  They are the 2014 Four Continents Silver Medalists.  Their personal best is 176.84.  She is 24 and he is 24.

Paul/Islam, CAN: They placed 6th at Skate Canada last season.  They are the 2010 World Junior Silver Medalists.  Their personal best is 152.59.  She is 25 and he is 26.

Virtue/Moir, CAN: They are the 2010 Olympic Champions; 2014 Olympic Silver Medalists; 2010 and 2012 World Champions; 2008, 2011, and 2013 World Silver Medalists; 2009 World Bronze Medalists; 2008 and 2012 Four Continents Champions; 2009 and 2013 Four Continents Silver Medalists; 2006 and 2007 Four Continents Bronze Medalists; 2006 World Junior Champions; and 2005 World Junior Silver Medalists.  Their personal best is 190.99.  She is 27 and he is 29.

Wang/Liu, CHN: They placed 22nd at Worlds and 9th at Four Continents.  They placed 8th at Skate America and 6th at Cup of China last season.  Their personal best is 142.31.  She is 22 and he is 22.

Fournier Beaudry/Sorensen, DEN: They placed 13th at Worlds and 9th at Europeans.  They placed 7th at Skate Canada and 5th at Trophee Eric Bompard last season.  Their personal best is 156.23.  She is 24 and he is 27.

Torn/Partanen, FIN: They placed 18th at Worlds and 15th at Europeans.  Their personal best is 142.90.  She is 22 and he is 25.

Cappellini/Lanotte, ITA: They finished 4th at Worlds and are the reigning European Silver Medalists.  They won gold at Cup of China and silver at Rostelecom Cup last season to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where they won bronze.  They are the 2014 World Champions, 2014 European Champions, 2015 European Silver Medalists, and 2013 European Bronze Medalists.  Their personal best is 182.72.  She is 29 and he is 31.

Stepanova/Bukin, RUS: They placed 11th at Worlds and 5th at Europeans.  They won bronze at Trophee Eric Bompard and placed 4th at NHK Trophy last season.  They are the 2015 European Bronze Medalists, 2013 World Junior Champions and 2012 World Junior Silver Medalists.  Their personal best is 172.83.  She is 21 and he is 23.

Chock/Bates, USA: They are the reigning World Bronze Medalists and Four Continents Silver Medalists.  They won gold at Skate America and silver at Cup of China last season to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where they won silver.  They are the 2015 World Silver Medalists, 2015 Four Continents Silver Medalists and 2013 Four Continents Bronze Medalists.  Their personal best is 185.77.  She is 24 and he is 27.

Hawayek/Baker, USA: They placed 4th at Skate Canada last season.  They are the 2014 World Junior Champions.  Their personal best is 160.50.  She is 19 and he is 23.

 

 

 

2016 Nebelhorn Trophy Dance Results

Short Dance

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Deduction
StN.
1 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 71.42 36.22 35.20 8.85 8.55 8.85 8.85 8.90 0.00 #5
2 Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES USA 70.78 35.30 35.48 8.85 8.70 8.90 8.95 8.95 0.00 #1
3 Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER CAN 70.32 35.68 34.64 8.65 8.40 8.55 8.80 8.90 0.00 #4
4 Elliana POGREBINSKY / Alex BENOIT USA 63.06 33.74 29.32 7.25 7.15 7.45 7.40 7.40 0.00 #7
5 Kavita LORENZ / Joti POLIZOAKIS GER 59.18 31.34 27.84 6.90 6.80 7.00 7.10 7.00 0.00 #10
6 Yura MIN / Alexander GAMELIN KOR 55.38 29.54 25.84 6.60 6.20 6.45 6.60 6.45 0.00 #3
7 Katharina MÜLLER / Tim DIECK GER 53.60 28.68 24.92 6.35 6.00 6.25 6.25 6.30 0.00 #8
8 Lorenza ALESSANDRINI / Pierre SOUQUET FRA 51.22 26.62 24.60 6.15 5.95 6.20 6.25 6.20 0.00 #6
9 Viktoria KAVALIOVA / Yurii BIELIAIEV BLR 49.88 25.40 24.48 6.30 6.15 6.00 6.20 5.95 0.00 #2
10 Ekaterina FEDYUSHCHENKO / Lucas KITTERIDGE GBR 42.26 22.10 20.16 5.00 5.00 4.95 5.35 4.90 0.00 #9

Free Dance

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Deduction
StN.
1 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 109.08 54.60 54.48 9.05 8.80 9.05 9.30 9.20 0.00 #10
2 Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES USA 108.40 54.52 53.88 9.00 8.80 8.95 9.15 9.00 0.00 #9
3 Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER CAN 106.52 53.78 52.74 8.70 8.60 8.70 9.05 8.90 0.00 #8
4 Elliana POGREBINSKY / Alex BENOIT USA 92.14 48.34 43.80 7.40 7.20 7.30 7.45 7.15 0.00 #7
5 Yura MIN / Alexander GAMELIN KOR 83.88 44.22 39.66 6.65 6.30 6.80 6.65 6.65 0.00 #5
6 Kavita LORENZ / Joti POLIZOAKIS GER 80.76 40.72 41.04 6.85 6.80 6.60 7.10 6.85 1.00 #6
7 Lorenza ALESSANDRINI / Pierre SOUQUET FRA 80.56 41.86 38.70 6.35 6.10 6.55 6.70 6.55 0.00 #3
8 Viktoria KAVALIOVA / Yurii BIELIAIEV BLR 77.40 40.68 36.72 6.10 5.95 6.15 6.25 6.15 0.00 #2
9 Katharina MÜLLER / Tim DIECK GER 72.28 34.88 38.40 6.30 6.35 6.30 6.70 6.35 1.00 #4
10 Ekaterina FEDYUSHCHENKO / Lucas KITTERIDGE GBR 68.64 38.28 30.36 5.15 4.95 5.10 5.25 4.85 0.00 #1

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SD FD
1 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 180.50 1 1
2 Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES USA 179.18 2 2
3 Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER CAN 176.84 3 3
4 Elliana POGREBINSKY / Alex BENOIT USA 155.20 4 4
5 Kavita LORENZ / Joti POLIZOAKIS GER 139.94 5 6
6 Yura MIN / Alexander GAMELIN KOR 139.26 6 5
7 Lorenza ALESSANDRINI / Pierre SOUQUET FRA 131.78 8 7
8 Viktoria KAVALIOVA / Yurii BIELIAIEV BLR 127.28 9 8
9 Katharina MÜLLER / Tim DIECK GER 125.88 7 9
10 Ekaterina FEDYUSHCHENKO / Lucas KITTERIDGE GBR 110.90 10 10

2016 World Championships Free Dance Review

This was truly an incredible event with any of the top teams worthy of taking home the World title, and team after team living up to their best potential with personal best scores.  On the technical side, five of the top six teams received all Level 4s on their elements, an impressive feat showing how far the sport of ice dance has come.

Papadakis and Cizeron dominated this event to take home their second consecutive World title with a moving performance to music by the Cinematic Orchestra.  They received Level 4 on all of their elements, earning mostly +3 GOE from the judges.  They earned 19 10.00 marks on program components and received nothing lower than a 9.50 en route to a new world record in the free dance, beating the mark set by Davis and White at the 2014 Olympics.

The Shibutanis also earned all Level 4s on their elements in their program to “Fix You” by Coldplay.  They received all +2 and +3 GOEs on their elements, but still finished 1.5 points behind the French on the technical score, as their GOEs were slightly lower overall.  Their program components were some of their strongest this season and they received three 10.o0 marks.

Chock and Bates finished just behind the Shibutanis in the free skate, but had lower marks on both the program components and the technical score.  They achieved Level 4 on all of their elements for the first time this season, but their GOEs were .33 behind their US teammates.  They received two 10.00 marks on program components, finishing just .09 points behind the Shibutanis on that mark.

Cappellini and Lanotte skated in the second to last group, but proved the night was going to be special when they set the highest score of the season to that point.  They were able to pull up to 4th place from 6th with all Level 4 elements.

Grand Prix Final Champions Weaver and Poje dropped to 5th overall after their twizzles only earned a Level 2, costing them two points in their technical mark.

Hubbell and Donohue skated their best program of the season to round out the top 6, earning all Level 4s.

Papadakis/Cizeron, FRA: 59.38 TES + 58.79 PCS = 118.17 Total: 194.46

Gorgeous opening rotational lift with her parallel to the ice, with a seamless entry into it.  She had a tiny balance check on the first set of twizzles, but it didn’t effect the speed, timing or rotation so at most they might get a tiny GOE penalty.  Their choreography is so detailed and the elements seem to come out of nowhere and the lifts truly take on an effortless quality.  I love how the lyrics come in as the song is building just as they reach their second step sequence.  What I really appreciate is that they take the time to luxuriate in certain movements and don’t make any effort to rush anything in their program or try to fit in extra steps.  Absolutely gorgeous and stunning.  You know a program is truly special when you immediately want to hit rewind and watch it again.

Shibutani/Shibutani, USA: 57.55 TES + 56.18 PCS = 113.73 Total: 188.43

What I love best about this program for them is that they retain all of the technical ability and precision that they are known for, but they are able to let go and really let the performance shine through.  This program so expertly puts their best elements in the exact right moments with the music to get the crowd to fully invest.  Such a gorgeous elegant program and what an emotional journey that they take the audience on.  This is a special program and will be remembered beyond what the scores and placements end up with tonight.

Chock/Bates, USA: 57.22 TES + 56.09 PCS = 113.31 Total: 185.77

She gets great positions in her arabesques and has great flexibility in her back, but her arms are often stiff and she doesn’t find the softness and flow through her arms.  One of my favorite moments in the program is the high rotational lift in the middle that is perfectly accented on the music change.  While this is a solid program overall, you don’t watch it and immediately think that is a World Championship program.  Everything is done very well, there’s just that little something missing to truly set them apart.

Cappellini/Lanotte, ITA: 56.48 TES + 55.59 PCS = 112.07 Total: 182.72

She is absolutely stunning and her entire look from the black sparkly dress to the red lipstick make it impossible to look away from her.  Their opening lift is truly unique with him holding her by the foot up at his shoulder and she’s in a split position.  The lift is even more impressive as he skates it backward on one foot.  What truly sets this team apart is how well matched they are.  She gives tons of expression and is very playful throughout the program, but he keeps pace with her the whole time and neither overshadows the other.  This was a gorgeous, energetic, thoroughly entertaining program from start to finish.

Weaver/Poje, CAN: 54.16 TES + 56.02 PCS = 110.18 Total: 182.01

I was spellbound for this entire performance and especially loved their final choreographic lift with her upside down as he was rotating.  They had a few tiny transitional movements I didn’t care for like an assisted pike jump and their performance felt more internal to the two of them and didn’t seem to truly include the whole audience, but those are small nitpicky details.  This was truly a world class performance.

Hubbell/Donohue, USA: 55.96 TES + 52.41 PCS = 108.37 Total: 176.81

This is a much better dress for her than she’s worn all season, with a high-low skirt that hombres from black to a dark red and finally white.  I really love the softness and articulation that she has in her hands and it adds such a nice finishing detail to all of her movements.  This program has really grown throughout the season and the immense detail and layers in the program are becoming more apparent.  What really draws my focus is the little touches such as their hands coming together in the camel spin position in the dance spin.  A very well skated, beautiful program from them and it left an impression in a way it hasn’t before this season.

Coomes/Buckland, GBR: 54.12 TES + 50.82 PCS = 104.94 Total: 173.17

Great choreographic moment to open the program with her floating over the ice as he holds her wrist and foot.  I love the slow motion entry and exit to their first lift, really showing off their strength, control and quality of the positions.  One area for them to work on would be the use of their arms in the step sequence, finding more fluidity and really finishing off the lines and losing some of the stiffness and awkward positions.  They have a great rotational lift with a very difficult one arm exit behind his back.  This program is a great vehicle for them as it’s mostly about the dynamic music and the power which allows them to execute these impressive, acrobatic lifts that might look out of place in a program with a more emotional storyline.  They finish with a great choreographic spin with her changing positions from front to back in the middle as he holds on to her wrist and ankle.

Gilles/Poirier, CAN: 50.50 TES + 51.87 PCS = 102.37  Total: 173.07

They have such interesting, unique choreography and aren’t afraid to take risks and push the boundaries of the sport.  Gorgeous choreographic elements for them including a stationary rotational lift with her in a  full split suspended over the ice.  What I love about their performance is that they truly look to the rafters and keep their focus up throughout the program, where some teams look down during some of the more difficult elements.  They truly are a special team with a unique voice in the world of ice dance.

Sinitsina/Katsalapov, RUS: 50.44 TES + 51.85 PCS -1.00 = 101.29 Total: 168.97

They just fly out of the gate to start this program, and he really has to struggle to hold on to the control in the twizzles.  I love the little details in their step sequence, such as gently touching their heads together to establish the connection between them.  Great highlight lift in the middle with him in a lunge and her in a bent leg position reaching oppositionally, with a unique exit with her almost doing a pirouette on his leg before coming down.

Guignard/Fabbri, ITA: 52.37 TES + 49.58 PCS = 101.95 Total: 167.91

I love their speed and the change in direction of the pattern in the first step sequence.  They skated to Schindler’s List and do a great job of carrying the emotion through and making all the elements make sense with the story, instead of detracting from it.  This program is choreographed so well and builds in the intensity throughout.  I was truly mesmerized watching them skate and thoroughly enjoyed the program.

Stepanova/Bukin, RUS: 51.33 TES + 48.13 PCS = 99.46  Total: 163.30

The free dance is truly where this team shines and they seem most at ease in their own style.  They have great transitional moments in and out of their elements and their choreography showcases their strengths such as their long, elegant lines.  I found their lifts to be very creative and nicely executed to highlight the music.  One lift in particular went over the head and switched sides before settling down into a sit position. This team has all the right pieces and just need a bit more speed and power and the right vehicle to really set themselves apart and climb the ranks to be with the top teams.

Tobias/Tkachenko, ISR: 45.90 TES + 47.54 PCS = 93.44 Total: 154.41

They had a very difficult lift near the beginning of the program with her upside down and him skating on one leg, timed well to highlight the music.  I like the contrast they have in this program, showing off their power and speed but also finding the softer moments and really showing off the details with their hands and arms.  Their step sequences are very smooth and flow effortlessly across the ice.  They had a little bobble on their final choreographic lift, almost losing their balance, but they held it together and it didn’t detract from the program as a whole.

Fournier Beaudry/Sorensen, DEN: 46.80 TES + 45.12 PCS = 91.92 Total: 151.67

They started off their program with a wonderful stationary rotational lift with several effective changes in position.  While they have nice speed and edges in their step sequence, some of the turns are a bit choppy and could be cleaned up a bit.  I really love this team and everything about this program is done with such quality.  They are definitely an up and coming team and one to watch in the future.  They have great choreography and pick memorable programs to help them really stand out.

Testa/Csolley, SVK: 43.72 TES + 45.36 PCS -2.00 = 87.08 Total: 148.83

I love her dress: it’s reminiscent of a little black dress, with some lovely ruffles on the edging along the back opening.  I’d like to see them skate a little closer in the changes of holds in the step sequence and to be a little smoother in some of the turns.  They have really great expression throughout the program and their emotion feels very genuine and authentic.  They had a bit of a bobble going into their hydroblade lift and she hit the ice on the entrance and may cost them some points.  This is another very strong up and coming team to look for in the future.

Muramoto/Reed, JPN: 46.63 TES + 42.27 PCS = 88.90 Total: 147.90

Kaliszek/Spodirev, POL: 43.77 TES + 42.77 PCS = 86.54 Total: 146.42

I love their speed and power and think that this music really plays to their strengths.  He has the better lines of the two and really makes great use of his height and stretches through his legs.  A standout moment for them was their dance spin position in which she was down in a sit spin with her blade hooked on his and leaning away.  She really struggled with her twizzles and had to put her foot down and stop the rotation on the second set.  I would also like to see her work on stretching through her lines in the step sequence to more closely match him.  They had a very difficult, effective lift near the end of their program with him holding her around the waist parallel over the ice and rotating.    Overall it was a very uneven performance, but there were lots of good moments.

Lorenz/Polizoakis, POL: 44.87 TES + 39.99 PCS = 83.86 Total: 138.66

Torn/Partanen, FIN: 40.53 TES + 36.81 PCS = 76.34 Total: 132.85

Nazarova/Nikitin, UKR: 39.53 TES + 38.22 PCS = 77.75 Total: 131.39

Silna/Kurakin, AUT: 39.44 TES + 36.81 PCS = 76.25  Total: 130.88

This team was a bit slow, especially in the step sequences, but they were really working to show off their edges.  They also lacked unison in their twizzles.  What they’re lacking is a sense of seamlessness with their elements flowing in and out of the choreography to create a cohesive program.  Another area they could really improve is in the holds and creating more ease in the change in arm positions and finishing off the lines.  They had a few touches here and there to give their program the Lawrence of Arabia feel but most of the choreography could have been put to any music.

 

 

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CC IT Ded.
StN.
1 Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON FRA 118.17 59.38 58.79 9.64 9.57 9.93 9.89 9.96 0.00 #19
2 Maia SHIBUTANI / Alex SHIBUTANI USA 113.73 57.55 56.18 9.25 9.11 9.46 9.46 9.54 0.00 #20
3 Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES USA 113.31 57.22 56.09 9.21 9.14 9.50 9.43 9.46 0.00 #18
4 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE ITA 112.07 56.48 55.59 9.00 9.14 9.36 9.43 9.39 0.00 #12
5 Kaitlyn WEAVER / Andrew POJE CAN 110.18 54.16 56.02 9.25 9.25 9.36 9.39 9.43 0.00 #17
6 Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE USA 108.37 55.96 52.41 8.68 8.50 8.82 8.82 8.86 0.00 #15
7 Penny COOMES / Nicholas BUCKLAND GBR 104.94 54.12 50.82 8.36 8.32 8.57 8.57 8.54 0.00 #13
8 Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER CAN 102.37 50.50 51.87 8.43 8.54 8.68 8.71 8.86 0.00 #16
9 Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI ITA 101.95 52.37 49.58 8.07 8.14 8.36 8.36 8.39 0.00 #11
10 Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV RUS 101.29 50.44 51.85 8.71 8.32 8.68 8.68 8.82 1.00 #14
11 Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN RUS 99.46 51.33 48.13 8.00 7.79 8.07 8.04 8.21 0.00 #7
12 Isabella TOBIAS / Ilia TKACHENKO ISR 93.44 45.90 47.54 7.89 7.75 7.89 8.04 8.04 0.00 #10
13 Laurence FOURNIER BEAUDRY / Nikolaj SORENSEN DEN 91.92 46.80 45.12 7.57 7.32 7.61 7.61 7.50 0.00 #8
14 Kana MURAMOTO / Chris REED JPN 88.90 46.63 42.27 6.71 6.79 7.18 7.29 7.25 0.00 #3
15 Federica TESTA / Lukas CSOLLEY SVK 87.08 43.72 45.36 7.39 7.50 7.54 7.68 7.68 2.00 #9
16 Natalia KALISZEK / Maksim SPODIREV POL 86.54 43.77 42.77 7.04 7.00 7.14 7.21 7.25 0.00 #6
17 Kavita LORENZ / Panagiotis POLIZOAKIS GER 83.86 44.87 39.99 6.71 6.39 6.68 6.79 6.75 1.00 #4
18 Alexandra NAZAROVA / Maxim NIKITIN UKR 77.75 39.53 38.22 6.32 6.25 6.36 6.61 6.32 0.00 #1
19 Cecilia TÖRN / Jussiville PARTANEN FIN 76.34 40.53 36.81 6.07 6.11 5.93 6.32 6.25 1.00 #2
20 Barbora SILNA / Juri KURAKIN AUT 76.25 39.44 36.81 6.07 6.07 6.07 6.29 6.18 0.00 #5

 

Pl. Name Nation Points SD FD
1 Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON
FRA
194.46 1 1
2 Maia SHIBUTANI / Alex SHIBUTANI
USA
188.43 2 2
3 Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES
USA
185.77 3 3
4 Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE
ITA
182.72 6 4
5 Kaitlyn WEAVER / Andrew POJE
CAN
182.01 4 5
6 Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE
USA
176.81 7 6
7 Penny COOMES / Nicholas BUCKLAND
GBR
173.17 8 7
8 Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER
CAN
173.07 5 8
9 Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV
RUS
168.97 9 10
10 Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI
ITA
167.91 10 9
11 Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN
RUS
163.30 11 11
12 Isabella TOBIAS / Ilia TKACHENKO
ISR
154.41 13 12
13 Laurence FOURNIER BEAUDRY / Nikolaj SORENSEN
DEN
151.67 15 13
14 Federica TESTA / Lukas CSOLLEY
SVK
148.83 12 15
15 Kana MURAMOTO / Chris REED
JPN
147.90 16 14
16 Natalia KALISZEK / Maksim SPODIREV
POL
146.42 14 16
17 Kavita LORENZ / Panagiotis POLIZOAKIS
GER
138.66 18 17
18 Cecilia TÖRN / Jussiville PARTANEN
FIN
132.85 17 19
19 Alexandra NAZAROVA / Maxim NIKITIN
UKR
131.39 20 18
20 Barbora SILNA / Juri KURAKIN
AUT
130.88 19 20

2016 World Championships Dance Preview

This promises to be one of the most competitive events at this World Championships, with the top three scores of the season within one point of each other.  The top short dance scores are only fractions of a point apart.  It is going to be the small details that are going to set these teams apart and determine who ends up on top of the podium, but it could truly be anyone’s game.

Papadakis and Cizeron were sidelined most of the season with a concussion but were able to make it back in time for Europeans.  They won that event with the best scores of the season, proving they are fit and ready to defend their World title, even with less mileage on their programs.  While there was nothing glaringly wrong with their short dance (all but one Level 4 element, all positive GOEs, strong program components) they are just in the top 5 in terms of scores because of how close everyone is ranked.  Their free dance is their biggest strength and they received Level 4 on both step sequences at Europeans and even a 10.00 on their performance.  They have the 5th best short dance, best free dance and best total scores.

Cappellini and Lanotte have had a hard time living up to the World title they won in 2014.  They failed to make the podium at Worlds at all last season and they won bronze at the Grand Prix Final (an event that Papadakis and Cizeron did not attend).  They did win the silver at Europeans, but were over 4 points behind Papadakis and Cizeron.  They had about a 1.5 point lead after the short program after setting higher TES and PCS, but they received Level 3 on both step sequences in their free dance along with one lift and even had some program components in the 8s.  They have the 3rd best short dance, 6th best free dance and 4th best total scores.

Weaver and Poje looked to be regaining the form that had made them the favorites for the World title last season, winning every event they entered through the first half of the season.  However, they ran into trouble at Four Continents, where they dropped to a disappointing third place.  Their short dance was fairly solid at that event, but they received Level 3 on one pattern of the Ravensberger Waltz and their partial step sequence.  Their free dance was full of technical errors with two Level 2 elements, but they did have the highest program components in the event.  They have have the 2nd best short dance, 2nd best free dance and 2nd best total scores.

Chock and Bates have had troubles with their programs this season, scrapping a few and making major changes to others along the way.  They now seem comfortable with the content, but they aren’t getting the results they were hoping for and they are being passed up both at home and abroad.  While their programs are well executed, they aren’t necessarily memorable.  They have had Level issues all season, and this problem continued at Four Continents.  Their short dance had Level 2 twizzles and they received Level 3 on both sections of the Waltz.  Their free dance was mostly better with only Level 3 on the step sequences and program components mostly in the low 9s.  They have the 4th best short dance, 5th best free dance and 5th best total scores.

The Shibutanis have had a resurgence this season after winning a Worlds medal way back in 2011.  They won their first US title and their first Four Continents title, leapfrogging several teams who defeated them earlier in the season.  Their Coppelia short dance is charming and everything from the costuming to the music and the choreography work together to tell the story.  But by far what sets them apart is their free dance.  They’ve been receiving standing ovations all season and are really connecting with the audience.  They received all Level 4s on the short dance at Four Continents, but their program components were lower, even receiving some scores in the 7s.  They received Level 4s on all but one step sequence in the free dance and even received +3 GOE from all but one judge on their twizzles.  The program components were lower again than the top competitors, but were stronger than the short dance.  They have the best short dance, 3rd best free dance, and 3rd best total scores.

Sinitsina and Katsalapov finished just off the podium in 4th at Europeans, but with Bobrova and Solovjev unable to compete, they are the top ranked Russian team at this event.  They won two medals on the Grand Prix but didn’t score quite well enough to qualify for the Final.  Their short dance received two Level 3s at Europeans, and they also received lower GOEs and program components.   Their free dance was stronger, but they received Level 4 on both their step sequences.  They have 9th best short dance, 8th best free dance and 8th best total scores.

Hubbell and Donohue have really come into their own this season and their new coaches seem to have found a style that suits them perfectly.  Their programs are expertly choreographed and the elements flow seamlessly into the program.  Their short program to Hallelujah is one of the more gorgeous programs being competed this season.  They have the 7th best short dance, 10th best free dance and 9th best total scores.

Guignard and Fabbri looked to be joining the top ranks after two solid back to back performances in the Challenger Series late this fall.  However, they dropped a place at Europeans and finished 10 points lower than their personal best.  They have the 10th best short dance, 9th best free dance and 10th best total scores.

Other teams looking to be in the top 10 include Stepanova and Bukin, Coomes and Buckland and Gilles and Poirier.

Not competing in this event but holding top ten scores are two Russian teams: Ilinykh and Zhiganshin (6th) and Bobrova and Soloviev (7th).

The key to this event is going to be levels.  The Shibutanis received all Level 4s on their short dance, earning them a base value of 29.70.  Earning a Level 3 on the Waltz drops your base value by .6 while a Level 3 on the partial step sequence costs you 1.5 points base value.  Chock and Bates dropped two levels on the twizzle, costing them 2 full points.  In an event where the top teams may be within a point of each other, losing 1.5 points can be deadly.  In the free dance, Papadakis and Cizeron earned almost all Level 4s, earning them 43.00 points in base value.  Dropping a level on a lift will cost you .5 points base value, while losing a level on a step sequence will cost you 1.5 points.  However, the levels are the easiest piece of the puzzle to fix.  While you can’t control how strict a controller is going to be at calling the levels and watching the edges, the teams know exactly how to achieve each level and will be working in practice every day to make sure they can maximize their point values.

The troubling thing for the Shibutanis is going to be the program components.  While they have the technical edge over all the teams (except for perhaps Papadakis and Cizeron), their program components are significantly lower (and I find them to be under marked).  While there are clear guidelines for program components, most of these come down to a gut judgement for the judges and are not as easy for teams to address.  Here’s how the top 5 teams fared in the short dance and the free dance at Four Continents and Europeans.

Weaver/Poje: 37.06

Cappellini/Lanotte: 36.28

Shibutani/Shibutani: 35.66

Chock/Bates: 35.48

Papadakis/Cizeron: 35.47

 

Papadakis/Cizeron: 55.73

Weaver/Poje: 55.54

Cappellini/Lanotte: 55.42

Chock/Bates: 55.10

Shibutani/Shibutani: 54.84

 

Weaver and Poje earned the highest total of 92.60 just from program components.  The Shibutanis are the lowest of the top five teams with 90.50 points.  Weaver and Poje won the bronze medal behind the Shibutanis at Four Continents but that was due to levels.  If they can bring a few of their levels up, they had a nearly 2 point advantage in program components.  However, I think that performing Fix You in front of a home crowd (a crowd that gave them a standing ovation before their program even ended at US Nationals), may be enough to boost their weaker program components in the free dance.  However, with more mileage on the more technical difficult short dance, I think Papadakis and Cizeron will also see their weaker program components increase and with their technical skills and program component lead in the free dance they are going to be tough to beat.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Papadakis/Cizeron

Silver: Shibutani/Shibutani

Bronze: Chock/Bates

 

Bios of the competitors:

Garabdedian/Proulx-Senecal, ARM: They finished 18th at Europeans.  Their personal best is 127.92.  She is 18 and he is 24.

Silna/Kurakin, AUT: They finished 21st at Worlds last season.  They placed 17th at Europeans.  Their personal best is 129.87.  She is 27 and he is 28.

Kavaliova/Bieliaiev, BLR: They finished 28th at Worlds last season.  They placed 16th at Europeans.  They finished 7th at Rostelecom Cup.  Their personal best is 148.08.  She is 21 and he is 23.

Gilles/Poirier, CAN: They finished 6th at Worlds last season.  They placed 5th at Four Continents .  They won bronze at Skate America and silver at Trophee Eric Bompard.  They are the 2014 Four Continents Silver Medalists.  Their personal best is 165.22.  She is 24 and he is 24.

Paradis/Ouellette, CAN: They finished 6th at Four Continents.  They placed 8th at Skate Canada.  Their personal best is 146.94.  She is 23 and he is 24.

Weaver/Poje, CAN: They are the reigning World Bronze Medalists and Four Continents Bronze Medalists.  They won gold at Skate Canada and gold at Rostelecom Cup to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where they won gold.  They are the 2014 World Silver Medalists, 2010 and 2015 Four Continents Champions, 2012 Four Continents Bronze Medalists, and 2007 World Junior Bronze Medalists.  Their personal best is 182.93.  She is 26 and he is 29.

Wang/Liu, CHN: They placed 19th at Worlds last season.  They finished 9th at Four Continents.  They placed 8th at Skate America and 6th at Cup of China.  Their personal best is 142.31.  She is 21 and he is 21.

Mansour/Ceska, CZE: They placed 13th at Europeans.  Their personal best is 141.36.  She is 21 and he is 23.

Fournier Beaudry/Sorensen, DEN: They placed 11th at Worlds last season.  They finished 9th at Europeans.  They placed 7th at Skate Canada and 5th at Trophee Eric Bompard.  Their personal best is 156.23.  She is 23 and he is 27.

Torn/Partanen, FIN: They placed 25th at Worlds last season.  They finished 15th at Europeans.  Their personal best is 142.90.  She is 22 and he is 24.

Papadakis/Cizeron, FRA: They are the reigning World and European Champions.  They are the 2015 European Champions and 2013 World Junior Silver Medalists.  Their personal best is 184.28.  She is 20 and he is 21.

Lorenz/Polizakis, GER: They finished 14th at Europeans.  Their personal best is 137.99.  She is 20 and he is 20.

Coomes/Buckland, GBR: They finished 6th at Europeans.  They placed 4th at Trophee Eric Bompard and 5th at Rostelecom Cup.  They are the 2014 European Silver Medalists.  Their personal best is 162.75.  She is 26 and he is 26.

Tobias/Tkachenko, ISR: They finished 10th at Europeans.  Their personal best is 160.98.  She is 24 and he is 29.

Cappellini/Lanotte, ITA: They finished 4th at Worlds last season and are the reigning European Silver Medalists.  They won gold at Cup of China and silver at Rostelecom Cup to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where they won bronze.  They are the 2014 World Champions, 2014 European Champions, 2015 European Silver Medalists, and 2013 European Bronze Medalists.  Their personal best is 178.01.  She is 29 and he is 30.

Guignard/Fabbri, ITA: They placed 12th at Worlds last season.  They finished 7th at Europeans.  They finished 4th at Skate Canada and 4th at Rostelecom Cup.  Their personal best is 172.28.  She is 26 and he is 28.

Muramoto/Reed, JPN: They placed 7th at Four Continents.  They finished 7th at NHK Trophy.  Their personal best is 145.83.  She is 23 and he is 26.

Khromova/Zhunussov, KAZ: They finished 14th at Four Continents.  Their personal best is 114.20.  She is 18 and he is 24.

Jakushina/Nevskiy, LAT: They finished 29th at Worlds last season.  They placed 22nd at Europeans.  Their personal best is 120.86.  She is 18 and he is 23.

Kaliszek/Spodirev, POL: They finished 24th at Worlds last season.  They placed 11th at Europeans.  Their personal best is 150.60.  She is 19 and he is 22.

Kim/Minov, KOR: They finished 26th at Worlds last season.  They placed 11th at Four Continents.  They placed 6th at Rostelecom Cup.  Their personal best is 137.28.  She is 18 and he is 23.

Sinitsina/Katsalapov, RUS: They finished 4th at Europeans.  They won silver at Skate America and bronze at Rostelecom Cup.  Their personal best is 172.65.  She is 20 and he is 24.

Stepanova/Bukin, RUS: They placed 9th at Worlds last season.  They finished 5th at Europeans.  They won bronze at Trophee Eric Bompard and placed 4th at NHK Trophy.  They are the 2015 European Bronze Medalists, 2013 World Junior Champions and 2012 World Junior Silver Medalists.  Their personal best is 165.55.  She is 20 and he is 22.

Testa/Csolley, SVK: They finished 15th at Worlds last season.  They placed 8th at Europeans.  They placed 4th at Cup of China.  Their personal best is 158.05.  She is 22 and he is 25.

Robledo/Fenero, ESP: They finished 19th at Europeans.  Their personal best is 122.81.  She is 21 and he is 23.

Agafonova/Ucar, TUR: They placed 16th at Worlds last season.  They placed 12th at Europeans.  They finished 7th at Trophee Eric Bompard.  Their personal best is 151.74.  She is 25 and he is 31.

Nazarova/Nikitin, UKR: They finished 17th at Worlds last season.  They placed 7th at Skate America.  They are the 2015 World Junior Bronze Medalists.  Their personal best is 148.48.  She is 19 and he is 21.

Chock/Bates, USA: They are the reigning World Silver Medalists and Four Continents Silver Medalists.  They won gold at Skate America and silver at Cup of China to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where they won silver.  They are the 2015 Four Continents Silver Medalists and 2013 Four Continents Bronze Medalists.  Their personal best is 181.34.  She is 23 and he is 27.

Hubbell/Donohue, USA: They finished 10th at Worlds last season.  They placed 4th at Four Continents.  They won gold at Trophee Eric Bompard and bronze at NHK Trophy to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where they finished 6th.  They are the 2014 Four Continents Champions.  Their personal best is 172.29.  She is 25 and he is 25.

Shibutani/Shibutani, USA: They placed 5th at Worlds last season and are the reigning Four Continents Champions.  They won silver at Skate Canada and gold at NHK Trophy to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where they finished 4th.  They are the 2011 World Bronze Medalists, 2011 Four Continents Silver Medalists, 2015 Four Continents Bronze Medalists and 2009 World Junior Silver Medalists.  Their personal best is 181.62.  She is 21 and he is 24.