2017 Internationaux de France Ladies Preview

With two events to go in the Grand Prix series, Evgenia Medvedeva (30 points) and Carolina Kostner (26 points) have both qualified for the Final.  Wakaba Higuchi has 24 points and will have to await the outcome of the next few weeks.  Four ladies still have a chance of qualifying for the Final based on their performance here and all four of these ladies have scored over 200 points this season.

Alina Zagitova won gold in her Grand Prix debut at Cup of China.  She needs a gold, silver, or bronze medal to qualify for the Final, while a 4th place finish would still give her a strong chance.  Her short program has a triple lutz + triple loop and a triple flip with all the jumps in the bonus.  She fell on the combo at Cup of China but she did earn Level 4 for all of her elements.  Her program components in China were slightly lower than she received at Lombardia Trophy, and were in the mid 7s to low 8s.  Her free skate is completely backloaded, with all seven of her jumping passes in the bonus, including a double axel + triple toe and a triple lutz + triple loop.  Her only error was on an under-rotated triple lutz and she earned 12 points from GOEs.  She earned all Level 4s and had stronger program components, in the mid to high 8s.  She has the 5th best short program, 2nd best free skate, and 2nd best total scores.

Kaetlyn Osmond won gold at Skate Canada with a personal best short program score.  She needs a gold, silver, or bronze medal to qualify for the Final, while a 4th place finish would still give her a strong chance.  Her short program includes a triple flip + triple toe and a triple lutz.  She earned all positive GOEs, worth 9 points, and had program components in the high 8s to low 9s.  Her free skate featured a triple flip + triple toe and a double axel + triple toe.  She did pop a flip into a double and fell on her double axel at the end of the program.  At the Autumn Classic International, she earned almost all +3 GOEs for her opening combo for 11.56 points overall, but the jump was messy at Skate Canada, and she only earned 8.20 points.  Her program components were in the high 8s to low 9s.  She has the 2nd best short program, 4th best free skate, and 4th best total scores.

Mai Mihara placed 4th at Cup of China.  She needs a gold medal to give herself a chance at the Final.  At the Autumn Classic International, her short program included a triple lutz + triple toe and a triple flip, but she received an edge call.  However, in China, she did not even place in the top 6 with her short program effort.  Her program components were in the mid 7s to low 8s.  She has been changing her free skate layout around, but she landed at triple lutz + triple toe combo and a double axel + triple toe combo in China.  Her program was clean with only a tiny negative GOE on her double axel and all Level 4 elements.  In all she earned 11 points from GOEs and her program components were in the high 7s to mid 8s.  She has the 7th best free skate and 8th best total scores.

Maria Sotskova won silver at Skate Canada.  She needs a gold or silver medal to guarantee herself a spot in the Final.  She hit her triple lutz + triple toe and triple flip, but under-rotated her double axel.  Her program components were in the high 7s to low 8s, better than she received at Finlandia Trophy.  Her triple lutz + triple toe combination was under-rotated as was her triple flip + single loop + triple salchow, however, she landed both jumps cleanly at Finlandia.  She also under-rotated the last double axel in the program at both of her events.  Her program components were lower here than earlier in the season, and she received low 7s to mid 8s.  She has the 8th best free skate and 9th best total scores.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Alina Zagitova

Silver: Kaetlyn Osmond

Bronze: Mai Mihara

 

Bios of the competitors:

Kaetlyn Osmond, CAN: She is the reigning World Silver Medalist and placed 4th at Four Continents.  She won gold at Skate Canada.  Her personal best is 218.13.  She is 21 years old.

Laurine Lecavelier, FRA: She finished 18th at Worlds and 5th at Europeans.  She placed 8th at Rostelecom Cup.  Her personal best is 188.10.  She is 21 years old.

Mae Berenice Meite, FRA: She finished 16th at Europeans.  She placed 11th at Rostelecom Cup.  Her personal best is 174.53.  She is 23 years old.

Nicole Schott, GER: She placed 19th at Worlds and 10th at Europeans.  She finished 10th at Rostelecom Cup.  Her personal best is 168.72.  She is 21 years old.

Mai Mihara, JPN: She finished 5th at Worlds and is the reigning Four Continents Champion.  She placed 4th at Cup of China.  Her personal best is 218.27.  She is 18 years old.

Yuna Shiraiwa, JPN: She finished 5th at Junior Worlds.  She placed 8th at NHK Trophy.  Her personal best is 186.80.  She is 15 years old.

Elizabet Tursynbaeva, KAZ: She finished 9th at Worlds and 8th at Four Continents.  She placed 8th at Rostelecom Cup.  Her personal best is 191.99.  She is 17 years old.

Maria Sotskova, RUS: She placed 8th at Worlds and 4th at Europeans.  She won silver at Skate Canada.  She is the 2016 World Junior Silver Medalist.  Her personal best is 205.30.  She is 17 years old.

Elizaveta Tuktamysheva, RUS: She placed 7th at Cup of China.  She is the 2015 World Champion, 2015 European Champion, 2013 European Bronze Medalist, and 2011 World Junior Silver Medalist.  Her personal best is 210.40.  She is 20 years old.

Alina Zagitova, RUS: She is the reigning World Junior Champion.  She won gold at Cup of China.  Her personal best is 218.46.  She is 15 years old.

Polina Edmunds, USA: She is the 2015 World Junior Champion.  Her personal best is 187.50.  She is 19 years old.

2017 Skate Canada Ladies Results

Short Program

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 76.06 40.12 35.94 8.89 8.75 9.14 9.07 9.07 0.00 #12
2 Anna POGORILAYA RUS 69.05 35.98 33.07 8.36 8.00 8.36 8.29 8.32 0.00 #11
3 Maria SOTSKOVA RUS 66.10 34.39 31.71 7.93 7.75 8.07 7.93 7.96 0.00 #10
4 Courtney HICKS USA 64.06 35.38 28.68 7.21 6.89 7.18 7.25 7.32 0.00 #3
5 Karen CHEN USA 61.77 31.34 30.43 7.57 7.54 7.54 7.64 7.75 0.00 #8
6 Rika HONGO JPN 61.60 32.27 29.33 7.21 7.21 7.43 7.43 7.39 0.00 #7
7 Ashley WAGNER USA 61.57 28.10 33.47 8.18 8.18 8.39 8.43 8.68 0.00 #9
8 Laurine LECAVELIER FRA 59.08 31.49 27.59 6.89 6.64 6.93 7.00 7.04 0.00 #5
9 Kailani CRAINE AUS 54.96 28.17 26.79 6.57 6.39 6.89 6.75 6.89 0.00 #2
10 Marin HONDA JPN 52.60 24.77 28.83 7.29 7.07 7.04 7.25 7.39 1.00 #6
11 Alaine CHARTRAND CAN 46.51 21.34 26.17 6.75 6.46 6.11 6.71 6.68 1.00 #4
12 Larkyn AUSTMAN CAN 41.79 18.36 24.43 6.21 5.96 5.82 6.25 6.29 1.00 #1

Free Skate

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 136.85 65.95 71.90 8.96 8.82 8.86 9.11 9.18 1.00 #11
2 Maria SOTSKOVA RUS 126.42 61.34 65.08 7.96 7.89 8.29 8.25 8.29 0.00 #10
3 Marin HONDA JPN 125.64 64.73 60.91 7.64 7.18 7.89 7.50 7.86 0.00 #1
4 Ashley WAGNER USA 122.37 54.87 67.50 8.21 8.11 8.61 8.46 8.79 0.00 #6
5 Courtney HICKS USA 118.51 57.78 60.73 7.64 7.32 7.57 7.61 7.82 0.00 #9
6 Rika HONGO JPN 114.74 53.20 61.54 7.71 7.39 7.86 7.71 7.79 0.00 #8
7 Karen CHEN USA 108.63 46.64 61.99 7.82 7.46 7.75 7.71 8.00 0.00 #7
8 Laurine LECAVELIER FRA 107.35 53.25 54.10 6.96 6.36 6.96 6.64 6.89 0.00 #5
9 Kailani CRAINE AUS 88.07 37.37 50.70 6.36 5.93 6.54 6.32 6.54 0.00 #4
10 Anna POGORILAYA RUS 87.84 35.86 54.98 7.29 7.00 6.21 7.00 6.86 3.00 #12
11 Alaine CHARTRAND CAN 87.66 36.77 52.89 6.82 6.46 6.39 6.75 6.64 2.00 #2
12 Larkyn AUSTMAN CAN 81.77 35.45 47.32 6.18 5.64 5.68 6.04 6.04 1.00 #3

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Kaetlyn OSMOND
CAN
212.91 1 1
2 Maria SOTSKOVA
RUS
192.52 3 2
3 Ashley WAGNER
USA
183.94 7 4
4 Courtney HICKS
USA
182.57 4 5
5 Marin HONDA
JPN
178.24 10 3
6 Rika HONGO
JPN
176.34 6 6
7 Karen CHEN
USA
170.40 5 7
8 Laurine LECAVELIER
FRA
166.43 8 8
9 Anna POGORILAYA
RUS
156.89 2 10
10 Kailani CRAINE
AUS
143.03 9 9
11 Alaine CHARTRAND
CAN
134.17 11 11
12 Larkyn AUSTMAN
CAN
123.56 12 12

2017 Skate Canada Ladies Preview

Three of last season’s Grand Prix Final qualifiers are competing at this event while three ladies are making their Grand Prix debut, including World Junior Silver Medalist Marin Honda.  Honda is the youngest lady in the field at 16 years old, while Ashley Wagner is the oldest at 26.  Five of these ladies have scored over 200 points while two additional competitors have hit 199.

Interestingly enough, this event looks like a battle between Swan Lakes and Moulin Rouges.  Maria Sotskova is skating to Swan Lake for her short program, while Kaetlyn Osmond and Anna Pogorilaya are using Swan Lake for their free skate.  Karen Chen is using Moulin Rouge for her short program and Ashley Wagner and Kailani Craine are using Moulin Rouge for their free skate.

Kaetlyn Osmond has had a bit of an uneven career plagued with injuries.  She won a gold medal at her Grand Prix debut at this event in 2012, but did not compete on the Grand Prix again until 2015.  She has won three medals and qualified for the Grand Prix Final for the first time last season.  She won gold at the Autumn Classic International to start her season.  Her short program includes a triple flip + triple toe and a triple lutz.  She had all positive GOEs, earning her 8 points, and her program components were in the high 8s and low 9s.  Her free skate was largely clean with a triple flip + triple toe and a double axel + triple toe.  Her opening combination almost earned all positive +3 GOEs and netted her 11.56 points overall.  She only has four jumping passes planned in the bonus and she singled an axel at the end of her program.  She again earned all positive GOEs, earning 14 points and had PCS marks in the high 8s and low 9s.  She did lose a point for a fall outside of her required elements.  Her biggest issue in the past was skating a clean free skate, and skating two clean programs in the same event, so this was a big step for her coming off of her World medal, to be able to skate such solid programs at the beginning of the season.  She has the 2nd best short program, 4th best free skate, and 4th best total scores.

Maria Sotskova is starting her sophomore season on the Grand Prix, after winning two medals last season and qualifying for the Grand Prix Final.  She won gold at Finlandia Trophy with personal best free skate and total scores to kick off her season.  Her short program includes a triple lutz + triple toe and a triple flip.  She earned all positive GOEs and had program components in the mid 7s to low 8s.  She lost one point for going over time.  Her free skate includes a triple lutz + triple toe and a triple flip + single loop + triple salchow with five jumping passes in the bonus.  Her only error was under-rotating the double axel at the end of the program.  Her program components were better, in the mid 8s.  She has the 9th best short program, 6th best free skate, and 6th best total scores.

Marin Honda is making her Grand Prix debut after winning a World Junior Championship and the World Junior Silver Medal last season.  In her two seasons on the Junior Grand Prix, she won three silver medals and one gold, and qualified for the Final twice, winning bronze in 2015 and withdrawing last season due to illness.  She started her senior career with a gold medal at the US International Figure Skating Classic.  She landed a triple flip + triple toe and a triple loop in her short program with all positive GOEs and program components in the mid 7s.  Her free skate includes a triple flip + triple toe and a double axel + triple toe with five jumping passes in the bonus.  Her only major error was doubling a salchow near the end of the program.  She had all positive GOEs and her program components were stronger, ranging from 7.85 to 8.20.  She has the 10th best short program, 9th best free skate, and 8th best total scores.

Karen Chen will be competing for the third season on the Grand Prix, but she has never finished higher than 5th place.  She won a bronze at the US International Figure Skating Classic to start her season.  Her short program had an under-rotated triple lutz + triple toe and a triple loop.  Her program components were slightly better than Honda, who beat her at this event, in the high 7s and low 8s.  Her triple lutz + triple toe was again under-rotated in the free skate as was her triple flip (edge call), triple salchow at the end of her three jump combo and her triple lutz.  However, she has since scrapped this program and has a brand new free skate that she choreographed herself and has only been working on for two weeks.  In fact, this will be her third free skate program of the season.

Anna Pogorilaya will compete on the Grand Prix for her 5th season, where she has 6 total medals, and has qualified for the Final three times, winning the bronze medal last year.  She sat in 4th place at the World Championships after the short program but a 15th place free skate dropped her to 13th overall.  One of the most consistent Russian ladies since the last Olympics, she has been reportedly struggling with her performance at that event and hasn’t competed since.

Ashley Wagner is starting her 11th season on the Grand Prix, where she has won 13 medals, but she had her worst ever finish last year, placing 6th at Cup of China.  She has qualified for the Grand Prix Final five times, and had a four year streak which was broken last year.  She had a free skate to La La Land planned for this season, but decided to scrap it and go back to the Moulin Rouge program that won her a silver medal at the World Championships.  This will be her third time using this program in the last four years, but it is undeniably a signature piece and suits her style and personality like nothing she has skated before or since.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Kaetlyn Osmond

Silver: Ashley Wagner

Bronze: Maria Sotskova

 

Bios of the competitors:

Kailani Craine, AUS: She finished 24th at Worlds and 16th at Four Continents.  This is her Grand Prix debut.  Her personal best is 167.45.  She is 19 years old.

Larkyn Austman, CAN: This is her Grand Prix debut.  Her personal best is 136.82.  She is 19 years old.

Alaine Chartrand, CAN: She placed 11th at Four Continents.  She finished 5th at Skate Canada and 10th at NHK Trophy last season.  Her personal best is 186.11.  She is 21 years old.

Kaetlyn Osmond, CAN: She is the reigning World Silver Medalist and placed 4th at Four Continents.  She won silver at Skate Canada and silver at Cup of China last season to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she finished 4th.  Her personal best is 218.13.  She is 21 years old.

Laurine Lecavelier, FRA: She finished 18th at Worlds and 5th at Europeans.  She placed 6th at Trophee de France last season.  Her personal best is 188.10.  She is 21 years old.

Marin Honda, JPN: She is the reigning World Junior Silver Medalist.  She won silver at JGP Japan and silver at JGP Slovenia last season to qualify for the Junior Grand Prix Final.  This is her Grand Prix debut.  She is the 2016 World Junior Champion.  Her personal best is 201.61.  She is 16 years old.

Rika Hongo, JPN: She placed 16th at Worlds and 10th at Four Continents.  She finished 6th at Skate Canada and 5th at Cup of China last season.  She is the 2015 and 2016 Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 199.15.  She is 21 years old.

Anna Pogorilaya, RUS: She finished 13th at Worlds and is the reigning European Silver Medalist.  She won gold at Rostelecom Cup and gold at NHK Trophy last season to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she won bronze.  She is the 2016 World Bronze Medalist, 2015 and 2016 European Bronze Medalist, and 2013 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 216.47.  She is 19 years old.

Maria Sotskova, RUS: She placed 8th at Worlds and 4th at Europeans.  She won silver at Trophee de France and bronze at NHK Trophy last season to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she finished 5th.  She is the 2016 World Junior Silver Medalist.  Her personal best is 205.30.  She is 17 years old.

Karen Chen, USA: She finished 4th at Worlds and 12th at Four Continents.  She placed 7th at Cup of China and 6th at NHK Trophy last season.  Her personal best is 199.29.  She is 18 years old.

Courtney Hicks, USA: She won bronze at Rostelecom Cup and placed 9th at Cup of China last season.  Her personal best is 183.12.  She is 21 years old.

Ashley Wagner, USA: She placed 7th at Worlds.  She won gold at Skate Canada and finished 6th at Cup of China last season.  She is the 2016 World Silver Medalist, 2012 Four Continents Champion, and 2007 and 2009 World Junior Bronze Medalist. Her personal best is 215.39.  She is 26 years old.

2017 World Championships Ladies Results

Short Program

Pl. Qual. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Q Evgenia MEDVEDEVA RUS 79.01 42.10 36.91 9.11 9.04 9.39 9.21 9.39 0.00 #32
2 Q Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 75.98 41.23 34.75 8.61 8.43 8.86 8.71 8.82 0.00 #26
3 Q Gabrielle DALEMAN CAN 72.19 39.19 33.00 8.32 8.04 8.46 8.29 8.14 0.00 #33
4 Q Anna POGORILAYA RUS 71.52 37.21 34.31 8.54 8.36 8.64 8.64 8.71 0.00 #37
5 Q Karen CHEN USA 69.98 38.35 31.63 7.82 7.64 8.11 7.96 8.00 0.00 #28
6 Q Maria SOTSKOVA RUS 69.76 38.14 31.62 8.00 7.75 7.93 7.96 7.89 0.00 #35
7 Q Ashley WAGNER USA 69.04 35.27 33.77 8.50 8.14 8.61 8.39 8.57 0.00 #34
8 Q Carolina KOSTNER ITA 66.33 32.44 33.89 8.54 8.32 8.21 8.61 8.68 0.00 #8
9 Q Wakaba HIGUCHI JPN 65.87 36.84 29.03 7.39 6.96 7.36 7.21 7.36 0.00 #23
10 Q Elizabet TURSYNBAEVA KAZ 65.48 36.65 28.83 7.14 7.07 7.29 7.25 7.29 0.00 #31
11 Q Dabin CHOI KOR 62.66 35.46 27.20 6.89 6.64 6.86 6.86 6.75 0.00 #27
12 Q Rika HONGO JPN 62.55 31.45 31.10 7.82 7.61 7.75 7.86 7.82 0.00 #36
13 Q Mariah BELL USA 61.02 32.16 28.86 7.11 6.96 7.25 7.25 7.50 0.00 #19
14 Q Ivett TOTH HUN 61.00 33.60 27.40 6.79 6.54 7.00 6.93 7.00 0.00 #22
15 Q Mai MIHARA JPN 59.59 30.88 29.71 7.50 7.25 7.39 7.46 7.54 1.00 #24
16 Q Xiangning LI CHN 58.28 33.49 24.79 6.36 5.89 6.43 6.18 6.14 0.00 #10
17 Q Loena HENDRICKX BEL 57.54 30.71 26.83 6.71 6.43 6.86 6.68 6.86 0.00 #17
18 Q Nicole RAJICOVA SVK 57.08 29.93 27.15 6.79 6.54 6.86 6.79 6.96 0.00 #30
19 Q Kailani CRAINE AUS 56.97 31.54 25.43 6.29 5.96 6.64 6.36 6.54 0.00 #13
20 Q Zijun LI CHN 56.30 29.73 26.57 6.79 6.43 6.71 6.68 6.61 0.00 #21
21 Q Angelina KUCHVALSKA LAT 55.92 28.24 27.68 6.89 6.75 6.96 7.07 6.93 0.00 #29
22 Q Laurine LECAVELIER FRA 55.49 29.77 26.72 6.75 6.43 6.57 6.79 6.86 1.00 #20
23 Q Anastasia GALUSTYAN ARM 55.20 30.63 24.57 6.21 5.89 6.21 6.11 6.29 0.00 #5
24 Q Nicole SCHOTT GER 54.83 29.64 26.19 6.71 6.39 6.50 6.50 6.64 1.00 #25
25 Shuran YU SGP 52.87 30.31 22.56 5.89 5.25 5.68 5.68 5.71 0.00 #7
26 Joshi HELGESSON SWE 52.07 27.85 25.22 6.39 5.89 6.32 6.39 6.54 1.00 #2
27 Helery HÄLVIN EST 51.94 28.21 23.73 6.14 5.64 5.96 5.96 5.96 0.00 #14
28 Amy LIN TPE 51.86 28.03 23.83 6.04 5.64 6.04 6.00 6.07 0.00 #12
29 Emmi PELTONEN FIN 50.74 25.18 25.56 6.61 6.11 6.25 6.36 6.61 0.00 #6
30 Isadora WILLIAMS BRA 50.65 27.79 22.86 5.75 5.54 5.75 5.82 5.71 0.00 #18
31 Kerstin FRANK AUT 50.54 27.83 22.71 6.07 5.25 5.71 5.71 5.64 0.00 #16
32 Natasha MCKAY GBR 50.10 25.58 24.52 6.04 5.82 6.32 6.14 6.32 0.00 #15
33 Yasmine Kimiko YAMADA SUI 47.86 26.57 21.29 5.46 5.18 5.29 5.36 5.32 0.00 #11
34 Anne Line GJERSEM NOR 46.99 25.30 21.69 5.50 5.21 5.32 5.54 5.54 0.00 #1
35 Anna KHNYCHENKOVA UKR 46.98 26.30 21.68 5.64 5.07 5.39 5.50 5.50 1.00 #3
36 Dasa GRM SLO 46.63 25.03 22.60 5.79 5.39 5.61 5.68 5.79 1.00 #4
37 Michaela-Lucie HANZLIKOVA CZE 32.21 16.55 19.66 5.21 4.79 4.57 5.14 4.86 4.00 #9

Free Skate

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Evgenia MEDVEDEVA RUS 154.40 78.27 76.13 9.43 9.25 9.68 9.54 9.68 0.00 #22
2 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 142.15 70.21 71.94 8.93 8.68 9.14 9.00 9.21 0.00 #24
3 Gabrielle DALEMAN CAN 141.33 71.73 69.60 8.71 8.32 9.00 8.68 8.79 0.00 #23
4 Mai MIHARA JPN 138.29 74.40 63.89 8.18 7.46 8.29 8.00 8.00 0.00 #12
5 Carolina KOSTNER ITA 130.50 59.47 71.03 8.82 8.68 8.71 9.00 9.18 0.00 #17
6 Karen CHEN USA 129.31 65.98 64.33 8.25 7.64 8.21 8.04 8.07 1.00 #20
7 Dabin CHOI KOR 128.45 69.72 58.73 7.50 7.07 7.46 7.39 7.29 0.00 #13
8 Elizabet TURSYNBAEVA KAZ 126.51 68.36 58.15 7.39 6.89 7.32 7.39 7.36 0.00 #15
9 Mariah BELL USA 126.21 65.29 60.92 7.68 7.39 7.68 7.61 7.71 0.00 #11
10 Ashley WAGNER USA 124.50 56.33 68.17 8.54 8.32 8.43 8.57 8.75 0.00 #16
11 Maria SOTSKOVA RUS 122.44 58.65 64.79 8.29 7.89 8.00 8.18 8.14 1.00 #19
12 Wakaba HIGUCHI JPN 122.18 59.47 63.71 8.14 7.57 8.04 8.04 8.04 1.00 #18
13 Xiangning LI CHN 117.09 62.69 54.40 7.00 6.39 6.93 6.75 6.93 0.00 #9
14 Loena HENDRICKX BEL 115.28 58.65 56.63 7.11 6.71 7.32 7.07 7.18 0.00 #8
15 Anna POGORILAYA RUS 111.85 53.00 62.85 8.21 7.79 7.25 8.07 7.96 4.00 #21
16 Nicole RAJICOVA SVK 108.47 55.67 52.80 6.86 6.25 6.68 6.57 6.64 0.00 #7
17 Laurine LECAVELIER FRA 107.50 55.18 53.32 6.86 6.21 6.71 6.79 6.75 1.00 #2
18 Rika HONGO JPN 107.28 50.96 57.32 7.39 6.75 7.04 7.36 7.29 1.00 #14
19 Nicole SCHOTT GER 106.58 51.66 54.92 6.82 6.54 6.93 7.00 7.04 0.00 #5
20 Zijun LI CHN 103.50 53.96 49.54 6.46 5.93 6.18 6.14 6.25 0.00 #1
21 Ivett TOTH HUN 99.77 47.10 53.67 6.86 6.46 6.50 6.93 6.79 1.00 #10
22 Angelina KUCHVALSKA LAT 99.10 49.08 50.02 6.54 5.93 6.36 6.25 6.18 0.00 #4
23 Anastasia GALUSTYAN ARM 98.27 49.82 48.45 6.21 5.75 6.07 6.07 6.18 0.00 #6
24 Kailani CRAINE AUS 95.97 47.93 49.04 6.36 5.79 6.18 6.07 6.25 1.00 #3

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Evgenia MEDVEDEVA
RUS
233.41 1 1
2 Kaetlyn OSMOND
CAN
218.13 2 2
3 Gabrielle DALEMAN
CAN
213.52 3 3
4 Karen CHEN
USA
199.29 5 6
5 Mai MIHARA
JPN
197.88 15 4
6 Carolina KOSTNER
ITA
196.83 8 5
7 Ashley WAGNER
USA
193.54 7 10
8 Maria SOTSKOVA
RUS
192.20 6 11
9 Elizabet TURSYNBAEVA
KAZ
191.99 10 8
10 Dabin CHOI
KOR
191.11 11 7
11 Wakaba HIGUCHI
JPN
188.05 9 12
12 Mariah BELL
USA
187.23 13 9
13 Anna POGORILAYA
RUS
183.37 4 15
14 Xiangning LI
CHN
175.37 16 13
15 Loena HENDRICKX
BEL
172.82 17 14
16 Rika HONGO
JPN
169.83 12 18
17 Nicole RAJICOVA
SVK
165.55 18 16
18 Laurine LECAVELIER
FRA
162.99 22 17
19 Nicole SCHOTT
GER
161.41 24 19
20 Ivett TOTH
HUN
160.77 14 21
21 Zijun LI
CHN
159.80 20 20
22 Angelina KUCHVALSKA
LAT
155.02 21 22
23 Anastasia GALUSTYAN
ARM
153.47 23 23
24 Kailani CRAINE
AUS
152.94 19 24
Shuran YU
SGP
FNR 25
Joshi HELGESSON
SWE
FNR 26
Helery HÄLVIN
EST
FNR 27
Amy LIN
TPE
FNR 28
Emmi PELTONEN
FIN
FNR 29
Isadora WILLIAMS
BRA
FNR 30
Kerstin FRANK
AUT
FNR 31
Natasha MCKAY
GBR
FNR 32
Yasmine Kimiko YAMADA
SUI
FNR 33
Anne Line GJERSEM
NOR
FNR 34
Anna KHNYCHENKOVA
UKR
FNR 35
Dasa GRM
SLO
FNR 36
Michaela-Lucie HANZLIKOVA
CZE
FNR 37

2017 World Championships Ladies Preview

Evgenia Medvedeva has not lost an event since Rostelecom Cup in 2015.  She is the reigning World Champion, two-time European Champion and two-time Grand Prix Final Champion.  She holds world record scores for the short program, free skate and total.  Her personal best was set at Europeans where she scored 229.71.  She’s as close to a shoe-in as there is at these World Championships.  She has the top four total element scores in the short program, top three program component scores, top two total element scores in the free skate, and top two program component scores.  She is truly the complete package, with top levels, positive Grades of Execution, difficult jumps and top program component scores.  She backloads her short program, putting all the jumps in the bonus.  And while her free skate is not the most difficult technically being attempted at this event, she is so consistent and so good at all of her jumps that she is able to achieve top technical scores.  She has the best short program, best free skate, and best total scores.

Anna Pogorilaya entered this season with a new surge of confidence from her World Bronze medal last season.  She is the reigning European Silver Medalist.  She qualified for the Grand Prix Final with two gold medals and won bronze at the Final.  Her personal best came at the Final this year when she scored 216.47.  What is most striking is how she has developed as an artist this season.  She’s always been known as a strong jumper and flew a bit under the radar in a crowded Russian field.  But she used her consistency to consistently make World and European teams.  But this season, she’s really seen growth in her program component scores as she’s found her voice in her programs and learned to bring an audience in to the performance.  Her free program is slightly more difficult than Medvedeva’s but she isn’t as clean in her jumps and her progam components are still around 4 points less than what Medvedeva is receiving.  She has the 4th best short program, 3rd best free skate, and 3rd best total scores.

Carolina Kostner returned to competition after taking some time off after Sochi and then serving a suspension for her role in her former boyfriend’s doping case.  She is the reigning European Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best was sent in Sochi, where she scored 216.73.   Kostner has always been known for her strong artistic presence on the ice, and that hasn’t been lost in her time away.  In her first major competition back, she was keeping pace with Medvedeva on the program components side.  Where Kostner loses ground is on her jump content.  Her short program is worth about two points less than the other top ladies as she attempts the less difficult triple toe + triple toe combination.  She only has one triple+triple in the free skate, no lutz, and only one flip.  Because she is not doing the harder jumps, she’s starting off 5-6 points behind the rest of the top ladies.  She has the 7th best short program, 4th best free skate, and 5th best total scores.

Kaetlyn Osmond is having the best season of her career, winning two silver medals on the Grand Prix and placing 4th at the Grand Prix Final.  She finished 4th at Four Continents, her best career placement.  Her personal best came at the Grand Prix Final, where she scored 212.45.  She credits her success this season, to finally being healthy.  However, she hasn’t been able to put two clean programs together at an event.  She’s a very strong short program skater, and is often near the top of the leaderboard after that segment of competition.  But often she makes a mistake in the free skate and can’t quite seem to recover.  The layout of her programs gives her the technical ability to compete for the podium, it’s just the execution that’s holding her back.  She also has the capability to earn high program components, but when she makes mistakes, the performance side slips as well, so she gives up points on both sides.  She has the 2nd best short program, 5th best free skate, and 4th best total scores.

Maria Sotskova is in her first senior season.  She won a silver and bronze on the Grand Prix to qualify for the Final where she finished 5th.  Her personal best came at Trophee Eric Bompard where she scored 200.35.  She finished 4th at Europeans.  As deep as the Russian field is, just making the team is a huge accomplishment.  With Medvedeva and Pogorilaya the three spots for the next Olympics should be safe, so she’ll just be skating for herself to prove she can handle the pressure and try to secure her place in what is only going to be a deeper Russian pool next season.  Her scores have been bouncing back and forth throughout the season and her outing at Europeans was not the best.  She has a triple lutz + triple toe, giving her a bit of a technical advantage on paper.  She has the 8th best short program, 8th best free skate, and 8th best total scores.

Mai Mihara is also in her first senior season.  She won a bronze medal at Skate America and is the reigning Four Continents Champion.  Her personal best came at Four Continents, where she scored 200.85.  Unlike Sotskova, Mihara still skates very juniorish and her free program and costuming don’t do much to help that image.  In the short program, she’s scoring about 5 points less than Medvedeva in program components and between 10-12 points in the free skate.  She gives up a lot of points on the technical side in the grade of execution as well.  She has very difficult programs, but with the gap on the artistic side she can’t afford to be giving up any points technically with less than perfect landings.  With the withdrawal of Satoko Miyahara, she is the top ranked Japanese lady at this event, and the pressure is on her to place as high as she can to give Japan a chance at keeping three spots at next year’s Olympics.  She has the 7th best free skate and 7th best total scores.

Ashley Wagner ended the US ladies medal drought last season by winning the silver medal at Worlds.  She started her season with a gold medal at Skate America and had a pretty low bar to meet to qualify for the Grand Prix Final for the 5th consecutive season, but she had two disastrous programs and finished 6th overall and had to sit at home come December.  She had decent outings at US Nationals to win the silver medal and chose to sit out of Four Continents.  This is the spot she likes to be in though, coming in as an underdog and having to fight to prove she belongs with the top ladies.  Her personal best is 215.39, which she set last year at Worlds.  Her programs are very different from each other but really showcase her maturity and artistry.  Even in her tough outing at Cup of China, she was still receiving top program component marks.  Exogenesis is such a difficult piece of music to skate to and it almost demands perfection.  If she can skate a clean free skate, I expect her program components to go through the roof.  What you have to watch for with Ashley is two-footing and under-rotating jumps and little mistakes she’ll make toward the end of programs that just give points away here and there.  She has the 10th best short program and 10th best total scores.

Gabrielle Daleman is the reigning Four Continents Silver Medalist.  She set her personal best at that event, scoring 196.91.  She has slightly easier technical content, since she only does a triple toe + triple toe, however, her jump is good that she routinely receives +3 GOE from all the judges, making it worth as much as some of the more difficult combinations.  She has the 6th best short program and 9th best total scores.

Mariah Bell was the surprise silver medalist at Skate America.  She finished 6th at Four Continents.  She has such a sparkling, infectious personality on the ice and it’s hard not to fall in love with her.  Her short program to music from Chicago is absolutely perfect for her, however, where she really shines is in the free skate.  She tends to perform better when she competes alongside her training mate, Wagner, so I expect that this will be a good event for her.  She doesn’t have much international experience and almost no Championship experience.  She has the 10th best free skate score.

Other ladies in contention for the top 10 include Wakaba Higuchi (3rd at Trophee de France), Rika Hongo (10th at Four Continents), Karen Chen (US Champion), Laurine Lecavelier (5th at Europeans), Elizabet Tursynbaeva (8th at Four Continents), Da Bin Choi (5th at Four Continents), and Nicole Rajicova (6th at Europeans).

Those with top 10 scores not competing here include Satoko Miyahara (3rd best short program, 2nd best free skate, 2nd best total scores, 2nd at Grand Prix Final): injury; Elena Radionova (9th best short program, 6th best free skate, 6th best total score, 6th at Grand Prix Final): did not qualify for Russian team; Mirai Nagasu (5th best short program, 9th best free skate, 3rd at Four Continents): did not qualify for the US team.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Evgenia Medvedeva

Silver: Anna Pogorilaya

Bronze: Carolina Kostner

2017 Four Continents Championships Ladies Results

Short Program

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Gabrielle DALEMAN CAN 68.25 36.97 31.28 7.89 7.61 7.96 7.75 7.89 0.00 #22
2 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 68.21 36.42 32.79 8.18 8.00 8.18 8.21 8.43 1.00 #21
3 Elizabet TURSYNBAEVA KAZ 66.87 37.53 29.34 7.32 7.07 7.43 7.39 7.46 0.00 #23
4 Mai MIHARA JPN 66.51 37.31 29.20 7.46 7.18 7.32 7.25 7.29 0.00 #9
5 Mirai NAGASU USA 62.91 32.43 30.48 7.75 7.32 7.68 7.64 7.71 0.00 #20
6 Dabin CHOI KOR 61.62 35.56 26.06 6.57 6.29 6.68 6.54 6.50 0.00 #14
7 Mariah BELL USA 61.21 31.69 29.52 7.32 7.18 7.50 7.32 7.57 0.00 #13
8 Zijun LI CHN 60.37 31.80 28.57 7.11 6.93 7.21 7.14 7.32 0.00 #16
9 Rika HONGO JPN 59.16 29.66 29.50 7.43 7.14 7.39 7.43 7.50 0.00 #18
10 Wakaba HIGUCHI JPN 58.83 31.44 28.39 7.21 6.89 7.14 7.11 7.14 1.00 #12
11 Xiangning LI CHN 55.73 32.70 24.03 6.25 5.79 6.11 6.00 5.89 1.00 #6
12 Karen CHEN USA 55.60 26.32 30.28 7.54 7.54 7.43 7.64 7.71 1.00 #19
13 Kailani CRAINE AUS 54.70 30.67 24.03 5.86 5.68 6.25 6.00 6.25 0.00 #4
14 Alaine CHARTRAND CAN 53.64 26.14 28.50 7.14 6.93 7.14 7.14 7.29 1.00 #17
15 Ziquan ZHAO CHN 49.97 27.15 23.82 6.04 5.68 6.00 5.93 6.14 1.00 #7
16 Brooklee HAN AUS 48.44 26.18 23.26 5.79 5.57 5.75 5.89 6.07 1.00 #5
17 Nahyun KIM KOR 45.95 22.42 24.53 6.14 5.93 6.18 6.18 6.25 1.00 #15
18 Amy LIN TPE 45.40 23.05 23.35 5.82 5.54 5.96 5.82 6.04 1.00 #1
19 Maisy Hiu Ching MA HKG 43.55 22.79 20.76 5.18 4.89 5.29 5.18 5.43 0.00 #3
20 Shuran YU SGP 43.26 22.37 20.89 5.18 5.04 5.32 5.29 5.29 0.00 #2
21 Chloe ING SGP 41.61 21.73 20.88 5.21 4.96 5.29 5.18 5.46 1.00 #11
22 Suh Hyun SON KOR 38.61 19.47 20.14 5.25 4.96 4.96 4.96 5.04 1.00 #8
23 Michaela DU TOIT RSA 33.39 16.79 18.60 4.71 4.50 4.61 4.75 4.68 2.00 #10

Free Skate

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Mai MIHARA JPN 134.34 72.30 62.04 7.89 7.50 7.89 7.71 7.79 0.00 #19
2 Mirai NAGASU USA 132.04 69.81 62.23 7.86 7.46 7.93 7.75 7.89 0.00 #18
3 Gabrielle DALEMAN CAN 128.66 63.71 64.95 8.18 7.89 8.25 8.14 8.14 0.00 #22
4 Dabin CHOI KOR 120.79 62.84 57.95 7.21 7.04 7.32 7.36 7.29 0.00 #20
5 Zijun LI CHN 116.68 61.02 55.66 7.04 6.71 6.96 6.96 7.11 0.00 #17
6 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 115.96 55.25 64.71 8.29 7.93 7.68 8.18 8.36 4.00 #21
7 Mariah BELL USA 115.89 58.03 58.86 7.32 7.18 7.36 7.39 7.54 1.00 #15
8 Alaine CHARTRAND CAN 113.48 59.02 54.46 6.96 6.61 6.96 6.68 6.82 0.00 #7
9 Wakaba HIGUCHI JPN 113.22 57.55 55.67 7.11 6.71 6.86 7.04 7.07 0.00 #13
10 Karen CHEN USA 111.22 51.85 59.37 7.54 7.18 7.39 7.54 7.46 0.00 #14
11 Elizabet TURSYNBAEVA KAZ 109.78 52.13 59.65 7.50 7.29 7.46 7.57 7.46 2.00 #23
12 Xiangning LI CHN 109.12 58.77 50.35 6.46 6.04 6.36 6.29 6.32 0.00 #12
13 Rika HONGO JPN 108.26 50.16 59.10 7.32 7.11 7.43 7.46 7.61 1.00 #16
14 Brooklee HAN AUS 103.61 53.77 49.84 6.29 5.93 6.43 6.18 6.32 0.00 #10
15 Ziquan ZHAO CHN 97.40 52.75 45.65 5.96 5.46 5.71 5.71 5.68 1.00 #8
16 Suh Hyun SON KOR 83.74 44.48 40.26 5.25 4.82 5.07 5.14 4.89 1.00 #5
17 Kailani CRAINE AUS 82.21 37.13 47.08 6.00 5.57 5.89 5.93 6.04 2.00 #9
18 Maisy Hiu Ching MA HKG 81.10 40.41 41.69 5.39 4.96 5.32 5.07 5.32 1.00 #1
19 Amy LIN TPE 79.62 34.56 46.06 5.96 5.54 5.79 5.71 5.79 1.00 #11
20 Chloe ING SGP 78.57 38.35 41.22 5.04 4.93 5.25 5.18 5.36 1.00 #3
21 Shuran YU SGP 75.14 36.71 39.43 5.14 4.68 4.93 4.93 4.96 1.00 #2
WD Nahyun KIM KOR #6
WD Michaela DU TOIT RSA #4

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Mai MIHARA
JPN
200.85 4 1
2 Gabrielle DALEMAN
CAN
196.91 1 3
3 Mirai NAGASU
USA
194.95 5 2
4 Kaetlyn OSMOND
CAN
184.17 2 6
5 Dabin CHOI
KOR
182.41 6 4
6 Mariah BELL
USA
177.10 7 7
7 Zijun LI
CHN
177.05 8 5
8 Elizabet TURSYNBAEVA
KAZ
176.65 3 11
9 Wakaba HIGUCHI
JPN
172.05 10 9
10 Rika HONGO
JPN
167.42 9 13
11 Alaine CHARTRAND
CAN
167.12 14 8
12 Karen CHEN
USA
166.82 12 10
13 Xiangning LI
CHN
164.85 11 12
14 Brooklee HAN
AUS
152.05 16 14
15 Ziquan ZHAO
CHN
147.37 15 15
16 Kailani CRAINE
AUS
136.91 13 17
17 Amy LIN
TPE
125.02 18 19
18 Maisy Hiu Ching MA
HKG
124.65 19 18
19 Suh Hyun SON
KOR
122.35 22 16
20 Chloe ING
SGP
120.18 21 20
21 Shuran YU
SGP
118.40 20 21
WD Nahyun KIM
KOR
17
WD Michaela DU TOIT
RSA
23

2016 Grand Prix Final Ladies Results

Short Program

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Evgenia MEDVEDEVA RUS 79.21 42.55 36.66 9.11 8.93 9.25 9.21 9.32 0.00 #6
2 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 75.54 40.62 34.92 8.75 8.46 8.82 8.75 8.86 0.00 #2
3 Satoko MIYAHARA JPN 74.64 40.99 33.65 8.43 8.18 8.43 8.50 8.54 0.00 #1
4 Anna POGORILAYA RUS 73.29 38.55 34.74 8.68 8.43 8.71 8.75 8.86 0.00 #4
5 Elena RADIONOVA RUS 68.98 35.07 33.91 8.36 8.18 8.57 8.64 8.64 0.00 #5
6 Maria SOTSKOVA RUS 65.74 33.31 32.43 8.07 7.89 8.21 8.11 8.25 0.00 #3

Free Skate

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Evgenia MEDVEDEVA RUS 148.45 74.23 74.22 9.14 9.11 9.29 9.39 9.46 0.00 #6
2 Satoko MIYAHARA JPN 143.69 73.24 70.45 8.89 8.68 8.89 8.86 8.71 0.00 #5
3 Anna POGORILAYA RUS 143.18 73.52 69.66 8.71 8.50 8.79 8.75 8.79 0.00 #3
4 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 136.91 66.85 70.06 8.75 8.54 8.82 8.82 8.86 0.00 #4
5 Maria SOTSKOVA RUS 133.05 66.77 66.28 8.25 8.07 8.43 8.29 8.39 0.00 #2
6 Elena RADIONOVA RUS 119.83 55.50 65.33 8.18 7.86 8.14 8.36 8.29 1.00 #1

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Evgenia MEDVEDEVA
RUS
227.66 1 1
2 Satoko MIYAHARA
JPN
218.33 3 2
3 Anna POGORILAYA
RUS
216.47 4 3
4 Kaetlyn OSMOND
CAN
212.45 2 4
5 Maria SOTSKOVA
RUS
198.79 6 5
6 Elena RADIONOVA
RUS
188.81 5 6

2016 Cup of China Ladies Results

Short Program

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 72.20 38.87 33.33 8.39 8.07 8.39 8.39 8.43 0.00 #2
2 Elena RADIONOVA RUS 70.75 36.81 33.94 8.50 8.14 8.61 8.46 8.71 0.00 #9
3 Mai MIHARA JPN 68.48 37.37 31.11 8.00 7.64 7.75 7.82 7.68 0.00 #11
4 Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA RUS 64.88 33.88 31.00 7.75 7.50 7.89 7.82 7.79 0.00 #7
5 Ashley WAGNER USA 64.36 31.10 33.26 8.36 8.11 8.25 8.39 8.46 0.00 #4
6 Rika HONGO JPN 63.63 33.20 30.43 7.57 7.29 7.79 7.64 7.75 0.00 #6
7 Zijun LI CHN 61.32 31.35 29.97 7.57 7.25 7.68 7.50 7.46 0.00 #3
8 Courtney HICKS USA 59.86 31.48 28.38 7.14 6.89 7.18 7.14 7.14 0.00 #1
9 Karen CHEN USA 58.28 29.48 29.80 7.50 7.32 7.39 7.43 7.61 1.00 #5
10 Ziquan ZHAO CHN 58.20 29.46 28.74 7.14 6.93 7.29 7.29 7.29 0.00 #12
11 Xiangning LI CHN 54.55 27.66 26.89 6.82 6.43 6.86 6.75 6.75 0.00 #10
12 Joshi HELGESSON SWE 49.25 22.01 27.24 6.79 6.61 6.82 6.86 6.96 0.00 #8

Free Skate

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Elena RADIONOVA RUS 135.15 65.50 69.65 8.68 8.43 8.82 8.71 8.89 0.00 #10
2 Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA RUS 127.69 63.11 64.58 8.18 7.68 8.25 8.04 8.21 0.00 #7
3 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 123.80 57.27 67.53 8.46 8.32 8.32 8.54 8.57 1.00 #11
4 Mai MIHARA JPN 122.44 59.87 62.57 8.11 7.54 7.82 7.82 7.82 0.00 #12
5 Karen CHEN USA 121.11 61.32 60.79 7.71 7.32 7.61 7.64 7.71 1.00 #6
6 Rika HONGO JPN 118.12 56.51 61.61 7.86 7.36 7.82 7.75 7.71 0.00 #9
7 Ashley WAGNER USA 117.02 48.46 68.56 8.50 8.25 8.57 8.71 8.82 0.00 #8
8 Zijun LI CHN 111.08 53.73 58.35 7.50 7.00 7.25 7.29 7.43 1.00 #5
9 Courtney HICKS USA 103.78 47.03 56.75 7.29 6.86 7.14 7.07 7.11 0.00 #4
10 Xiangning LI CHN 102.72 50.41 53.31 6.82 6.36 6.79 6.64 6.71 1.00 #3
11 Joshi HELGESSON SWE 95.39 43.65 52.74 6.71 6.32 6.54 6.68 6.71 1.00 #1
12 Ziquan ZHAO CHN 90.92 38.61 52.31 6.68 6.18 6.61 6.68 6.54 0.00 #2

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Elena RADIONOVA
RUS
205.90 2 1
2 Kaetlyn OSMOND
CAN
196.00 1 3
3 Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA
RUS
192.57 4 2
4 Mai MIHARA
JPN
190.92 3 4
5 Rika HONGO
JPN
181.75 6 6
6 Ashley WAGNER
USA
181.38 5 7
7 Karen CHEN
USA
179.39 9 5
8 Zijun LI
CHN
172.40 7 8
9 Courtney HICKS
USA
163.64 8 9
10 Xiangning LI
CHN
157.27 11 10
11 Ziquan ZHAO
CHN
149.12 10 12
12 Joshi HELGESSON
SWE
144.64 12 11

2016 Cup of China Ladies Preview

Only Evgenia Medvedeva has secured her spot in the Grand Prix Final and this event looks to be a bloodbath with five medalists from previous events competing here.

Ashley Wagner won the gold medal at Skate America with a confident performance.  She didn’t cross the 200 point threshold, however, and finished well below her personal best.  She had two jumps marked under-rotated including her triple flip + triple toe.  She singled a jump in combination and received an edge call.  She also only received Level 4 on one of her spins and her program components were good, but not as high as she normally receives.  She needs a gold, silver or bronze to qualify for the Final.   She has the 8th best short program, 9th best free skate, and 6th best total scores.

Kaetlyn Osmond destroyed her personal best and scored above 200 points for the first time in her career to take the silver medal at Skate Canada.  Her only mistake was a fall on an under-rotated triple loop.  She earned Level 4s on all of her elements and mostly positive GOEs.  She needs a gold medal to qualify for the Final.  She has the 2nd best short program, 4th best free skate and 4th best total scores.

Elena Radionova won the silver at Rostelecom Cup.  Her only jump error was a fall on an under-rotated triple loop that did not include a combination.  She also received only a Level 2 on her step sequence.  She needs a gold medal to qualify for the Final.  She has the 6th best short program and 7th best total scores.

Mai Mihara won the bronze medal in her Grand Prix debut at Skate America.  Her free skate gave her a very juniorish feel, and that was reflected in her program components, where she earned 8 points less than Ashley Wagner.  She has two triple lutz + triple toe combinations in her free skate, including one in the bonus, but the second was downgraded at Skate America.  She needs a gold medal to qualify for the Final.  She has the 10th best free skate score.

Courtney Hicks was a surprise bronze medalist at Rostelecom Cup.  She did not have a triple + triple in her free skate at that event and singled one of the jumps in a combination.  She needs a gold medal to qualify for the Final.

Elizaveta Tuktamysheva finished 4th at Skate Canada.  She is skating to Cleopatra for her free skate and while she looks the part and is packaged well, the program itself doesn’t really have a memorable impact.  She didn’t have a triple + triple in her free skate and she doubled an axel.  Her program components were also in the 7s, especially shocking considering she was a World Champion in 2015.  A gold medal will give her a chance to qualify for the Final.

Zijun Li finished 4th at Rostelecom Cup.  A gold medal will keep her in the running for the Final.

The best short program score of the season is 78.52 with the top 10 scoring above 68 points.  The best free skate score is 144.41 with the top 10 scoring above 135.  The best total score is 221.54 with the top 10 scoring above 191.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Ashley Wagner

Silver: Kaetlyn Osmond

Bronze: Elena Radionova

 

Bios of the competitors:

Kaetlyn Osmond, CAN: She placed 6th at Four Continents.  She won silver at Skate Canada.  Her personal best is 206.45.  She is 20 years old.

Xiangning Li, CHN: She finished 20th at Junior Worlds.  She placed 6th at JGP Austria and 6th at JGP Latvia last season.  This is her Grand Prix debut.  Her personal best is 146.55.  She is 16 years old.

Zijun Li, CHN: She placed 11th at Worlds and 10th at Four Continents.  She placed 4th at Rostelecom Cup.  She is the 2014 Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 184.52.  She is 19 years old.

Ziquan Zhao, CHN: She finished 23rd at Worlds and 16th at Four Continents.  She placed 11th at Cup of China last season.  Her personal best is 147.79.  She is 18 years old.

Rika Hongo, JPN: She placed 8th at Worlds and is the reigning Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  She placed 6th at Skate Canada.  She is the 2015 Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 199.15.  She is 20 years old.

Mai Mihara, JPN: She won bronze at Skate America.  Her personal best is 189.28.  She is 17 years old.

Elena Radionova, RUS: She finished 6th at Worlds and is the reigning European Silver Medalist.  She won silver at Rostelecom Cup.  She is the 2015 World Bronze Medalist, 2015 European Silver Medalist, and 2013 and 2014 World Junior Champion.  Her personal best is 211.32.  She is 17 years old.

Elizaveta Tuktamysheva, RUS: She placed 4th at Skate Canada.  She is the 2015 World Champion, 2015 European Champion, 2013 European Bronze Medalist, and 2011 Junior World Silver Medalist.  Her personal best is 210.40.  She is 19 years old.

Joshi Helgesson, SWE: She placed 30th at Worlds and 9th at Europeans.  She finished 10th at Skate Canada.  Her personal best is 169.07.  She is 23 years old.

Karen Chen, USA: She placed 12th at Four Continents.  She finished 5th at Cup of China and 5th at Skate America last season.  Her personal best is 179.08.  She is 17 years old.

Courtney Hicks, USA: She won bronze at Rostelecom Cup.  Her personal best is 183.12.  She is 20 years old.

Ashley Wagner, USA: She is the reigning World Silver Medalist.  She won gold at Skate America.  She is the 2012 Four Continents Champion and 2007 and 2009 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 215.39.  She is 25 years old.

 

2016 Skate Canada Ladies Free Skate Results

Free Skate

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Evgenia MEDVEDEVA RUS 144.41 72.86 71.55 8.86 8.71 9.04 9.04 9.07 0.00 #11
2 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 132.12 65.37 67.75 8.39 8.32 8.46 8.54 8.64 1.00 #10
3 Satoko MIYAHARA JPN 126.84 59.42 67.42 8.46 8.21 8.39 8.46 8.61 0.00 #7
4 Alaine CHARTRAND CAN 123.41 59.98 63.43 7.93 7.75 8.11 7.89 7.96 0.00 #8
5 Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA RUS 121.20 60.18 61.02 7.89 7.32 7.54 7.68 7.71 0.00 #9
6 Dabin CHOI KOR 112.49 60.76 51.73 6.50 6.11 6.61 6.54 6.57 0.00 #4
7 Yuka NAGAI JPN 107.17 51.87 55.30 7.07 6.68 6.96 6.89 6.96 0.00 #2
8 Rika HONGO JPN 105.44 47.08 58.36 7.36 7.11 7.14 7.43 7.43 0.00 #6
9 Nahyun KIM KOR 104.02 51.27 52.75 6.57 6.36 6.68 6.57 6.79 0.00 #3
10 Joshi HELGESSON SWE 100.05 47.14 52.91 6.71 6.25 6.71 6.68 6.71 0.00 #1
11 Mirai NAGASU USA 98.23 42.10 56.13 7.29 6.79 6.93 7.11 6.96 0.00 #5

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Evgenia MEDVEDEVA
RUS
220.65 1 1
2 Kaetlyn OSMOND
CAN
206.45 2 2
3 Satoko MIYAHARA
JPN
192.08 5 3
4 Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA
RUS
187.99 3 5
5 Alaine CHARTRAND
CAN
185.56 6 4
6 Rika HONGO
JPN
171.19 4 8
7 Dabin CHOI
KOR
165.78 8 6
8 Nahyun KIM
KOR
164.48 7 9
9 Mirai NAGASU
USA
151.42 9 11
10 Joshi HELGESSON
SWE
149.77 10 10
11 Yuka NAGAI
JPN
147.56 11 7