2017 NHK Trophy Ladies Preview

Of those, finished competing on the Grand Prix this season, Wakaba Higuchi stands at 24 points, while Elena Radionova has 20.  They will both need some help from other competitors to have a chance at making the Final, so the event is wide open at this point, but a few spots could be filled this weekend.

This is a bit of a rematch of Rostelecom Cup, as Medvedeva, Kostner, Nagasu, and Bell are all competing again here.  Medvedeva and Kostner took the top two spots in Russia, while Bell got the best of Nagasu on the US side.  This will actually be the third time this season that Bell and Nagasu have competed against each other, and both have come out on top once.

Medvedeva has won gold at Skate America, Skate Canada, Trophee de France, Rostelecom Cup, and the Grand Prix Final.  If she wins gold here this weekend, she’ll only need to win gold at Cup of China to have won every single event on the circuit, despite this being just her third season competing.

Both Yuna Shiraiwa and Polina Tsurskaya are making their Grand Prix debuts.  Shiraiwa is the youngest at 15, while Carolina Kostner is the oldest at 30.  Eight of these ladies have scored over 190 points, while three have scored over 200 in their careers.  Medvedeva currently holds World record scores in every category.

Evgenia Medvedeva won the gold medal at Rostelecom Cup.  All of her short program jumps are in the bonus, including her triple flip +triple toe and her triple loop.  She has earned all Level 4s at both of her events this season (including the earlier Ondrej Nepela Trophy) and had positive GOEs on all of her elements.  In Russia, she netted 9 points from GOEs alone.  Her program components were in the mid 9s and she earned three 10.00 marks.  She reworked her free skate layout after Nepela, moving one of the jumping passes out of the bonus.  She still has a triple flip + triple toe and a triple salchow + triple toe.  She earned all Level 4s and all positive GOEs, except for her final double axel which she fell on, extremely unusual for her.  Even with the fall, she still earned 13 points from GOEs and had program components in the mid 9s, including three 10.00 marks, although they were all from the same judge.  She needs a gold or silver medal to guarantee her spot in the Final, while a bronze would keep her in the running.  She has the best short program, best free skate, and best total scores.

Carolina Kostner won the silver medal at Rostelecom Cup, behind Medvedeva.  She hit her triple toe + triple toe combination for the first time this season in her short program and also landed a triple loop.  She earned all Level 4s and had all positive GOEs worth 7 points.  Her program components were in the high 8s to mid 9s, not her best for the season.  Out of three events, she has not landed a triple + triple combination in her free skate, although Rostelecom Cup was her cleanest performance to date with no popped jumps or falls and she did add a double axel + half loop + triple salchow combination.  She received all Level 4s and positive GOEs totaling 11 points.  Her program components were in the high 8s to mid 9s.  She needs a gold medal to guarantee her spot in the Final, while a silver would keep her in contention.  She has the 3rd best short program, 5th best free skate, and 5th best total scores.

Rika Hongo placed 6th at Skate Canada.  Her short program had an under-rotated triple flip + triple toe and a triple lutz.  Her program components were in the low to mid 7s.  Her free skate was riddled with jump problems, including four under-rotation calls, but she does have a triple flip + triple toe and a double axel + triple toe + double toe planned.  Her program components were slightly better in the mid to high 7s.

Mirai Nagasu placed a disappointing 9th at Rostelecom Cup.  In her short program, she has stood up on triple axel at both of her events this season, earning a negative GOE at the US Figure Skating Classic and under-rotating it in Russia.  At Rostelecom Cup, her triple + triple combination was also downgraded and she fell, and she fell on an under-rotated triple lutz, giving her no clean jumping passes in the short program.  Despite that, her program components were still fairly good in the mid to high 7s.  She landed a quality triple axel in the free skate at the US International Figure Skating Classic, and while she stood up on it in Russia, it was under-rotated.  She also under-rotated two other jumps, which was better than the four jumps she had under-rotated at the US Classic.

Mariah Bell finished 6th at Rostelecom Cup and won’t be able to qualify for the Final, but could still compete for a medal here.  She hasn’t hit her triple lutz + triple toe cleanly in the short program this season but twice she has received all positive GOEs on everything else in the program and her program components were much better in Russia, scoring in the mid 7s.  She has hit her triple lutz + triple toe combination in her free skate twice with positive GOEs, and she fully rotated all of her jumps, much better than at the US Figure Skating Classic.  Her program components were what really held her back, scoring in the mid 7s, although this was better than she received earlier in the season.

Satoko Miyahara is competing in her first event of the season.  She won the silver medal right behind Medvedeva at the Grand Prix Final last year, but then had to miss the rest of the season.  It has been 11 months since she has competed, so this will be the first real test if she’ll be competitive for an Olympic medal in a few short months.  If she medals here, she’ll have a chance to qualify for the Final at Skate America.

Polina Tsurskaya is a bit of a wild card at this event.  She won two gold medals on the Junior Grand Prix last season with some of the highest junior marks recorded.  She had to have surgery and missed the Junior Grand Prix Final.  She placed 3rd at Russian nationals as a junior and a disappointing 10th at Junior Worlds, but that likely was not her at her best.  The surgery was on her knee and this will be a better indicator of how well it has healed and whether she can land all of the jumps without an issue.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Evgenia Medvedeva

Silver: Carolina Kostner

Bronze: Satoko Miyahara

 

Bios of the competitors:

Alaine Chartrand, CAN: She placed 11th at Four Continents.  She finished 11th at Skate Canada.  Her personal best is 186.11.  She is 21 years old.

Carolina Kostner, ITA: She finished 6th at Worlds and is the reigning European Bronze Medalist.  She won silver at Rostelecom Cup.  She is the 2014 Olympic Bronze Medalist; 2012 World Champion; 2008 and 2013 World Silver Medalist; 2005, 2011, and 2014 World Bronze Medalist; 2007, 2008, 2010, 2012, and 2013 European Champion; 2009 and 2011 European Silver Medalist; 2006 and 2014 European Bronze Medalist; and 2003 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 216.73.  She is 30 years old.

Rika Hongo, JPN: She placed 16th at Worlds and 10th at Four Continents.  She finished 6th at Skate Canada.  She is the 2015 and 2016 Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 199.15.  She is 21 years old.

Satoko Miyahara, JPN: She won bronze at Skate Canada and silver at NHK Trophy last season to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she won silver.  She is the 2015 World Silver Medalist, 2016 Four Continents Champion, and 2014 and 2015 Four Continents Silver Medalist.  Her personal best is 218.33.  She is 19 years old.

Yuna Shiraiwa, JPN: She finished 5th at Junior Worlds.  She placed 4th at JGP Russia and won silver at JGP Germany last season.  This is her Grand Prix debut.  Her personal best is 186.80.  She is 15 years old.

Soyoun Park, KOR: She placed 8th at Skate America and 5th at Trophee de France last season.  Her personal best is 185.19.  She is 20 years old.

Alena Leonova, RUS: She finished 12th at Trophee de France last season.  She is the 2012 World Silver Medalist and 2009 World Junior Champion.  Her personal best is 191.39.  She is 26 years old.

Evgenia Medvedeva, RUS: She is the reigning World Champion and reigning European Champion.  She won gold at Rostelecom Cup.  She is the 2016 World Champion, 2016 European Champion, 2015 World Junior Champion, and 2014 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 241.31.  She is 17 years old.

Polina Tsurskaya, RUS: She placed 10th at Junior Worlds.  She won gold at JGP Russia and gold at JGP Estonia last season to qualify for the Junior Grand Prix Final, but had to withdraw due to injury.  This is her Grand Prix debut.  Her personal best is 195.28.  She is 16 years old.

Nicole Rajicova, SVK: She finished 17th at Worlds and 6th at Europeans.  She placed 7th at Rostelecom Cup and 11th at NHK Trophy last season.  Her personal best is 179.70.  She is 22 years old.

Mariah Bell, USA: She placed 12th at Worlds and 6th at Four Continents.  She finished 6th at Rostelecom Cup.  Her personal best is 191.59.  She is 21 years old.

Mirai Nagasu, USA: She is the reigning Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  She placed 9th at Rostelecom Cup.  She is the 2016 Four Continents Silver Medalist, 2011 Four Continents Bronze Medalist, 2007 World Junior Silver Medalist, and 2008 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 194.95.  She is 24 years old.

2017 Coupe du Printemps Senior Ladies Results

Short Program

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Deduction
StN.
1 Rika HONGO JPN 59.27 30.21 29.06 7.33 7.00 7.25 7.33 7.42 0.00 #6
2 Ivett TOTH HUN 55.35 28.63 26.72 6.58 6.50 6.83 6.67 6.83 0.00 #5
3 Angelina KUCHVALSKA LAT 51.96 27.56 25.40 6.33 6.25 6.50 6.25 6.42 1.00 #17
4 Alisson Krystie PERTICHETO PHI 48.68 26.26 23.42 6.00 5.42 5.92 5.92 6.00 1.00 #7
5 Guia Maria TAGLIAPIETRA ITA 48.04 26.10 21.94 5.42 5.25 5.50 5.50 5.75 0.00 #3
6 Yasmine Kimiko YAMADA SUI 46.06 24.60 22.46 5.67 5.33 5.75 5.58 5.75 1.00 #9
7 Dasa GRM SLO 44.09 23.09 23.00 5.92 5.58 5.75 5.75 5.75 2.00 #1
8 Nelma HEDE FIN 43.99 21.17 22.82 5.92 5.50 5.67 5.67 5.75 0.00 #2
9 Kerstin FRANK AUT 43.23 21.23 22.00 5.67 5.33 5.50 5.58 5.42 0.00 #15
10 Lea SERNA FRA 41.38 22.30 20.08 5.17 4.75 5.00 5.00 5.17 1.00 #14
11 Charlotte VANDERSARREN BEL 37.85 18.63 20.22 5.33 4.92 4.92 5.17 4.92 1.00 #8
12 Ceciliane HARTMANN SIN 32.54 15.40 19.14 5.17 4.50 4.67 4.83 4.75 2.00 #11
13 Romana KAISER LIE 31.73 15.87 15.86 4.00 3.67 4.00 4.08 4.08 0.00 #12
14 Kristina YNTEMA AUT 31.28 13.94 18.34 4.67 4.42 4.58 4.67 4.58 1.00 #10
15 Linnea STROMBERG SWE 29.62 14.42 16.20 4.08 3.92 4.17 4.00 4.08 1.00 #13
16 Stephanie Yuung-Shuh CHANG TPE 28.24 12.50 17.74 4.92 4.58 4.17 4.50 4.00 2.00 #4

Free Skate

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Deduction
StN.
1 Rika HONGO JPN 103.29 49.69 53.60 6.92 6.33 6.75 6.58 6.92 0.00 #16
2 Angelina KUCHVALSKA LAT 98.11 51.31 48.80 6.25 5.75 6.17 6.08 6.25 2.00 #14
3 Ivett TOTH HUN 94.71 41.38 53.33 6.75 6.42 6.58 6.83 6.75 0.00 #15
4 Alisson Krystie PERTICHETO PHI 87.70 42.23 47.47 6.17 5.50 6.00 5.92 6.08 2.00 #13
5 Yasmine Kimiko YAMADA SUI 87.67 41.79 47.88 6.25 5.67 5.92 5.92 6.17 2.00 #11
6 Dasa GRM SLO 87.57 41.97 47.60 6.17 5.67 5.83 6.08 6.00 2.00 #10
7 Guia Maria TAGLIAPIETRA ITA 86.94 41.81 46.13 5.92 5.42 5.83 5.83 5.83 1.00 #12
8 Charlotte VANDERSARREN BEL 77.98 37.91 41.07 5.25 4.92 5.08 5.25 5.17 1.00 #6
9 Lea SERNA FRA 77.88 37.08 42.80 5.50 5.00 5.42 5.25 5.58 2.00 #7
10 Kerstin FRANK AUT 77.67 38.54 40.13 5.33 4.42 5.17 5.08 5.08 1.00 #8
11 Nelma HEDE FIN 76.95 34.81 42.14 5.50 5.00 5.17 5.25 5.42 0.00 #9
12 Ceciliane HARTMANN SIN 69.65 29.71 40.94 5.17 4.92 5.25 5.08 5.17 1.00 #5
13 Romana KAISER LIE 60.89 29.35 32.54 4.08 3.92 4.17 4.00 4.17 1.00 #4
14 Stephanie Yuung-Shuh CHANG TPE 60.88 26.60 34.28 4.67 4.17 4.00 4.42 4.17 0.00 #1
15 Kristina YNTEMA AUT 59.35 27.01 33.34 4.33 3.92 4.42 4.00 4.17 1.00 #3
16 Linnea STROMBERG SWE 55.89 24.56 31.33 4.00 3.50 4.00 4.00 4.08 0.00 #2

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Rika HONGO JPN 162.56 1 1
2 Angelina KUCHVALSKA LAT 150.07 3 2
3 Ivett TOTH HUN 150.06 2 3
4 Alisson Krystie PERTICHETO PHI 136.38 4 4
5 Guia Maria TAGLIAPIETRA ITA 134.98 5 7
6 Yasmine Kimiko YAMADA SUI 133.73 6 5
7 Dasa GRM SLO 131.66 7 6
8 Nelma HEDE FIN 120.94 8 11
9 Kerstin FRANK AUT 120.90 9 10
10 Lea SERNA FRA 119.26 10 9
11 Charlotte VANDERSARREN BEL 115.83 11 8
12 Ceciliane HARTMANN SIN 102.19 12 12
13 Romana KAISER LIE 92.62 13 13
14 Kristina YNTEMA AUT 90.63 14 15
15 Stephanie Yuung-Shuh CHANG TPE 89.12 16 14
16 Linnea STROMBERG SWE 85.51 15 16
WD Natalie KLOTZ AUT

2017 World Championships Ladies Preview

Evgenia Medvedeva has not lost an event since Rostelecom Cup in 2015.  She is the reigning World Champion, two-time European Champion and two-time Grand Prix Final Champion.  She holds world record scores for the short program, free skate and total.  Her personal best was set at Europeans where she scored 229.71.  She’s as close to a shoe-in as there is at these World Championships.  She has the top four total element scores in the short program, top three program component scores, top two total element scores in the free skate, and top two program component scores.  She is truly the complete package, with top levels, positive Grades of Execution, difficult jumps and top program component scores.  She backloads her short program, putting all the jumps in the bonus.  And while her free skate is not the most difficult technically being attempted at this event, she is so consistent and so good at all of her jumps that she is able to achieve top technical scores.  She has the best short program, best free skate, and best total scores.

Anna Pogorilaya entered this season with a new surge of confidence from her World Bronze medal last season.  She is the reigning European Silver Medalist.  She qualified for the Grand Prix Final with two gold medals and won bronze at the Final.  Her personal best came at the Final this year when she scored 216.47.  What is most striking is how she has developed as an artist this season.  She’s always been known as a strong jumper and flew a bit under the radar in a crowded Russian field.  But she used her consistency to consistently make World and European teams.  But this season, she’s really seen growth in her program component scores as she’s found her voice in her programs and learned to bring an audience in to the performance.  Her free program is slightly more difficult than Medvedeva’s but she isn’t as clean in her jumps and her progam components are still around 4 points less than what Medvedeva is receiving.  She has the 4th best short program, 3rd best free skate, and 3rd best total scores.

Carolina Kostner returned to competition after taking some time off after Sochi and then serving a suspension for her role in her former boyfriend’s doping case.  She is the reigning European Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best was sent in Sochi, where she scored 216.73.   Kostner has always been known for her strong artistic presence on the ice, and that hasn’t been lost in her time away.  In her first major competition back, she was keeping pace with Medvedeva on the program components side.  Where Kostner loses ground is on her jump content.  Her short program is worth about two points less than the other top ladies as she attempts the less difficult triple toe + triple toe combination.  She only has one triple+triple in the free skate, no lutz, and only one flip.  Because she is not doing the harder jumps, she’s starting off 5-6 points behind the rest of the top ladies.  She has the 7th best short program, 4th best free skate, and 5th best total scores.

Kaetlyn Osmond is having the best season of her career, winning two silver medals on the Grand Prix and placing 4th at the Grand Prix Final.  She finished 4th at Four Continents, her best career placement.  Her personal best came at the Grand Prix Final, where she scored 212.45.  She credits her success this season, to finally being healthy.  However, she hasn’t been able to put two clean programs together at an event.  She’s a very strong short program skater, and is often near the top of the leaderboard after that segment of competition.  But often she makes a mistake in the free skate and can’t quite seem to recover.  The layout of her programs gives her the technical ability to compete for the podium, it’s just the execution that’s holding her back.  She also has the capability to earn high program components, but when she makes mistakes, the performance side slips as well, so she gives up points on both sides.  She has the 2nd best short program, 5th best free skate, and 4th best total scores.

Maria Sotskova is in her first senior season.  She won a silver and bronze on the Grand Prix to qualify for the Final where she finished 5th.  Her personal best came at Trophee Eric Bompard where she scored 200.35.  She finished 4th at Europeans.  As deep as the Russian field is, just making the team is a huge accomplishment.  With Medvedeva and Pogorilaya the three spots for the next Olympics should be safe, so she’ll just be skating for herself to prove she can handle the pressure and try to secure her place in what is only going to be a deeper Russian pool next season.  Her scores have been bouncing back and forth throughout the season and her outing at Europeans was not the best.  She has a triple lutz + triple toe, giving her a bit of a technical advantage on paper.  She has the 8th best short program, 8th best free skate, and 8th best total scores.

Mai Mihara is also in her first senior season.  She won a bronze medal at Skate America and is the reigning Four Continents Champion.  Her personal best came at Four Continents, where she scored 200.85.  Unlike Sotskova, Mihara still skates very juniorish and her free program and costuming don’t do much to help that image.  In the short program, she’s scoring about 5 points less than Medvedeva in program components and between 10-12 points in the free skate.  She gives up a lot of points on the technical side in the grade of execution as well.  She has very difficult programs, but with the gap on the artistic side she can’t afford to be giving up any points technically with less than perfect landings.  With the withdrawal of Satoko Miyahara, she is the top ranked Japanese lady at this event, and the pressure is on her to place as high as she can to give Japan a chance at keeping three spots at next year’s Olympics.  She has the 7th best free skate and 7th best total scores.

Ashley Wagner ended the US ladies medal drought last season by winning the silver medal at Worlds.  She started her season with a gold medal at Skate America and had a pretty low bar to meet to qualify for the Grand Prix Final for the 5th consecutive season, but she had two disastrous programs and finished 6th overall and had to sit at home come December.  She had decent outings at US Nationals to win the silver medal and chose to sit out of Four Continents.  This is the spot she likes to be in though, coming in as an underdog and having to fight to prove she belongs with the top ladies.  Her personal best is 215.39, which she set last year at Worlds.  Her programs are very different from each other but really showcase her maturity and artistry.  Even in her tough outing at Cup of China, she was still receiving top program component marks.  Exogenesis is such a difficult piece of music to skate to and it almost demands perfection.  If she can skate a clean free skate, I expect her program components to go through the roof.  What you have to watch for with Ashley is two-footing and under-rotating jumps and little mistakes she’ll make toward the end of programs that just give points away here and there.  She has the 10th best short program and 10th best total scores.

Gabrielle Daleman is the reigning Four Continents Silver Medalist.  She set her personal best at that event, scoring 196.91.  She has slightly easier technical content, since she only does a triple toe + triple toe, however, her jump is good that she routinely receives +3 GOE from all the judges, making it worth as much as some of the more difficult combinations.  She has the 6th best short program and 9th best total scores.

Mariah Bell was the surprise silver medalist at Skate America.  She finished 6th at Four Continents.  She has such a sparkling, infectious personality on the ice and it’s hard not to fall in love with her.  Her short program to music from Chicago is absolutely perfect for her, however, where she really shines is in the free skate.  She tends to perform better when she competes alongside her training mate, Wagner, so I expect that this will be a good event for her.  She doesn’t have much international experience and almost no Championship experience.  She has the 10th best free skate score.

Other ladies in contention for the top 10 include Wakaba Higuchi (3rd at Trophee de France), Rika Hongo (10th at Four Continents), Karen Chen (US Champion), Laurine Lecavelier (5th at Europeans), Elizabet Tursynbaeva (8th at Four Continents), Da Bin Choi (5th at Four Continents), and Nicole Rajicova (6th at Europeans).

Those with top 10 scores not competing here include Satoko Miyahara (3rd best short program, 2nd best free skate, 2nd best total scores, 2nd at Grand Prix Final): injury; Elena Radionova (9th best short program, 6th best free skate, 6th best total score, 6th at Grand Prix Final): did not qualify for Russian team; Mirai Nagasu (5th best short program, 9th best free skate, 3rd at Four Continents): did not qualify for the US team.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Evgenia Medvedeva

Silver: Anna Pogorilaya

Bronze: Carolina Kostner

2016 Cup of China Ladies Results

Short Program

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 72.20 38.87 33.33 8.39 8.07 8.39 8.39 8.43 0.00 #2
2 Elena RADIONOVA RUS 70.75 36.81 33.94 8.50 8.14 8.61 8.46 8.71 0.00 #9
3 Mai MIHARA JPN 68.48 37.37 31.11 8.00 7.64 7.75 7.82 7.68 0.00 #11
4 Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA RUS 64.88 33.88 31.00 7.75 7.50 7.89 7.82 7.79 0.00 #7
5 Ashley WAGNER USA 64.36 31.10 33.26 8.36 8.11 8.25 8.39 8.46 0.00 #4
6 Rika HONGO JPN 63.63 33.20 30.43 7.57 7.29 7.79 7.64 7.75 0.00 #6
7 Zijun LI CHN 61.32 31.35 29.97 7.57 7.25 7.68 7.50 7.46 0.00 #3
8 Courtney HICKS USA 59.86 31.48 28.38 7.14 6.89 7.18 7.14 7.14 0.00 #1
9 Karen CHEN USA 58.28 29.48 29.80 7.50 7.32 7.39 7.43 7.61 1.00 #5
10 Ziquan ZHAO CHN 58.20 29.46 28.74 7.14 6.93 7.29 7.29 7.29 0.00 #12
11 Xiangning LI CHN 54.55 27.66 26.89 6.82 6.43 6.86 6.75 6.75 0.00 #10
12 Joshi HELGESSON SWE 49.25 22.01 27.24 6.79 6.61 6.82 6.86 6.96 0.00 #8

Free Skate

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Elena RADIONOVA RUS 135.15 65.50 69.65 8.68 8.43 8.82 8.71 8.89 0.00 #10
2 Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA RUS 127.69 63.11 64.58 8.18 7.68 8.25 8.04 8.21 0.00 #7
3 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 123.80 57.27 67.53 8.46 8.32 8.32 8.54 8.57 1.00 #11
4 Mai MIHARA JPN 122.44 59.87 62.57 8.11 7.54 7.82 7.82 7.82 0.00 #12
5 Karen CHEN USA 121.11 61.32 60.79 7.71 7.32 7.61 7.64 7.71 1.00 #6
6 Rika HONGO JPN 118.12 56.51 61.61 7.86 7.36 7.82 7.75 7.71 0.00 #9
7 Ashley WAGNER USA 117.02 48.46 68.56 8.50 8.25 8.57 8.71 8.82 0.00 #8
8 Zijun LI CHN 111.08 53.73 58.35 7.50 7.00 7.25 7.29 7.43 1.00 #5
9 Courtney HICKS USA 103.78 47.03 56.75 7.29 6.86 7.14 7.07 7.11 0.00 #4
10 Xiangning LI CHN 102.72 50.41 53.31 6.82 6.36 6.79 6.64 6.71 1.00 #3
11 Joshi HELGESSON SWE 95.39 43.65 52.74 6.71 6.32 6.54 6.68 6.71 1.00 #1
12 Ziquan ZHAO CHN 90.92 38.61 52.31 6.68 6.18 6.61 6.68 6.54 0.00 #2

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Elena RADIONOVA
RUS
205.90 2 1
2 Kaetlyn OSMOND
CAN
196.00 1 3
3 Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA
RUS
192.57 4 2
4 Mai MIHARA
JPN
190.92 3 4
5 Rika HONGO
JPN
181.75 6 6
6 Ashley WAGNER
USA
181.38 5 7
7 Karen CHEN
USA
179.39 9 5
8 Zijun LI
CHN
172.40 7 8
9 Courtney HICKS
USA
163.64 8 9
10 Xiangning LI
CHN
157.27 11 10
11 Ziquan ZHAO
CHN
149.12 10 12
12 Joshi HELGESSON
SWE
144.64 12 11

2016 Skate Canada Ladies Free Skate Results

Free Skate

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Evgenia MEDVEDEVA RUS 144.41 72.86 71.55 8.86 8.71 9.04 9.04 9.07 0.00 #11
2 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 132.12 65.37 67.75 8.39 8.32 8.46 8.54 8.64 1.00 #10
3 Satoko MIYAHARA JPN 126.84 59.42 67.42 8.46 8.21 8.39 8.46 8.61 0.00 #7
4 Alaine CHARTRAND CAN 123.41 59.98 63.43 7.93 7.75 8.11 7.89 7.96 0.00 #8
5 Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA RUS 121.20 60.18 61.02 7.89 7.32 7.54 7.68 7.71 0.00 #9
6 Dabin CHOI KOR 112.49 60.76 51.73 6.50 6.11 6.61 6.54 6.57 0.00 #4
7 Yuka NAGAI JPN 107.17 51.87 55.30 7.07 6.68 6.96 6.89 6.96 0.00 #2
8 Rika HONGO JPN 105.44 47.08 58.36 7.36 7.11 7.14 7.43 7.43 0.00 #6
9 Nahyun KIM KOR 104.02 51.27 52.75 6.57 6.36 6.68 6.57 6.79 0.00 #3
10 Joshi HELGESSON SWE 100.05 47.14 52.91 6.71 6.25 6.71 6.68 6.71 0.00 #1
11 Mirai NAGASU USA 98.23 42.10 56.13 7.29 6.79 6.93 7.11 6.96 0.00 #5

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Evgenia MEDVEDEVA
RUS
220.65 1 1
2 Kaetlyn OSMOND
CAN
206.45 2 2
3 Satoko MIYAHARA
JPN
192.08 5 3
4 Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA
RUS
187.99 3 5
5 Alaine CHARTRAND
CAN
185.56 6 4
6 Rika HONGO
JPN
171.19 4 8
7 Dabin CHOI
KOR
165.78 8 6
8 Nahyun KIM
KOR
164.48 7 9
9 Mirai NAGASU
USA
151.42 9 11
10 Joshi HELGESSON
SWE
149.77 10 10
11 Yuka NAGAI
JPN
147.56 11 7

2016 Skate Canada Ladies Short Program

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CO IN Ded.
StN.
1 Evgenia MEDVEDEVA RUS 76.24 41.22 35.02 8.68 8.43 8.96 8.71 9.00 0.00 #11
2 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 74.33 40.93 33.40 8.18 8.07 8.68 8.29 8.54 0.00 #5
3 Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA RUS 66.79 36.09 30.70 7.82 7.36 7.79 7.57 7.82 0.00 #3
4 Rika HONGO JPN 65.75 36.57 29.18 7.32 7.11 7.39 7.32 7.32 0.00 #1
5 Satoko MIYAHARA JPN 65.24 32.09 33.15 8.32 8.07 8.29 8.32 8.43 0.00 #9
6 Alaine CHARTRAND CAN 62.15 32.34 29.81 7.39 7.29 7.36 7.61 7.61 0.00 #8
7 Nahyun KIM KOR 60.46 34.02 26.44 6.64 6.43 6.64 6.68 6.68 0.00 #7
8 Dabin CHOI KOR 53.29 28.62 24.67 6.25 6.11 6.07 6.29 6.11 0.00 #6
9 Mirai NAGASU USA 53.19 24.85 29.34 7.46 7.11 7.14 7.46 7.50 1.00 #4
10 Joshi HELGESSON SWE 49.72 23.40 27.32 6.86 6.54 6.75 6.93 7.07 1.00 #10
11 Yuka NAGAI JPN 40.39 15.14 25.25 6.57 6.14 6.14 6.46 6.25 0.00 #2

2016 Skate Canada Ladies Preview

Evgenia Medvedeva was the golden girl in her senior debut last season, winning every event she entered, except for Rostelecom Cup, where she won silver.  She set a new personal best at Worlds in the free skate and total score.  She has such a likeable, infectious personality on the ice and has solid technique and triple + triple combinations to match.  The Russian skaters have often suffered sophomore slumps so it will be interesting to see how she fares this season as the favorite.  She has not competed yet this season.

Mirai Nagasu had a comeback year last year, looking more solid and comfortable than she has looked in a long time and finishing in the top 10 at Worlds.  It was the first time she had been to Worlds in six seasons and she made the most of her opportunity as an alternate.  She won bronze at Lombardia Trophy and gold at the Autumn Classic International to start her season.  At the Autumn Classic International, she had her triple+triple combination under-rotated and downgraded in the free skate and had two other jumps judged under-rotated.  This has long been a problem with her jumps and she can lose a lot of points on the review process.  She has the best short program and 6th best total scores.

Satoko Miyara skated great programs at Worlds, but it was not enough to land her on the World podium again, and she finished 5th.  She won gold at the US International Classic to start her season.  She landed a triple lutz + triple toe in her free skate with positive GOEs and a double axel + triple toe in the bonus.  She has the 2nd best short program, best free skate and best total scores.

Elizaveta Tuktamysheva did not make the Russian team for the World Championships last year even though she had won the title just a year earlier.  She seems to have an every other year cycle to her successes, so if she follows that pattern she should have a good season this year.  She won silver at Nebelhorn Trophy and placed 4th at Finlandia Trophy to start her season.  I do think she’s going to need to up her technical content if she wants to be competitive as she’s currently only attempting one triple + triple and it is the easiest with the triple toe + triple toe.  She has the 6th best short program and 10th best free skate scores.

Kaetlyn Osmond looked to be the next big Canadian ladies skater until she missed the entire 2014-2015 season with an ankle injury.  She finished 3rd at Canadian Nationals last year and wasn’t on the Worlds team.  She won gold on Finlandia Trophy to start her season.  She has the 8th best short program, 7th best free skate and 7th best total scores.

Alaine Chartrand won silver at the Autumn Classic International earlier this season.  She was a surprise bronze medalist at Rostelecom Cup in 2014 but did not medal on the Grand Prix last season.  She has the 3rd best free skate and 10th best total scores.

Rika Hongo hit a bit of a sophomore slump last season, failing to qualify for the Grand Prix Final and dropping two places at Worlds.  She placed 4th at the Autumn Classic International earlier this season.

The top short program of the score this season is 73.40 with the top 10 all scoring above 63 points.  The best free skate score is 136.66 with the top 10 all at 120 or above.  The best total score is 206.75 with the top 10 all above 186.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Evgenia Medvedeva

Silver: Satoko Miyahara

Bronze: Mirai Nagasu

 

Bios of the competitors:

Alaine Chartrand, CAN: She placed 17th at Worlds and 11th at Four Continents.  She placed 12th at Skate Canada and 6th at Rostelecom Cup last season.  Her personal best is 186.11.  She is 20 years old.

Kaetlyn Osmond, CAN: She placed 6th at Four Continents.  She finished 11th at Skate Canada and 6th at NHK Trophy last season.  Her personal best is 187.27.  She is 20 years old.

Rika Hongo, JPN: She placed 8th at Worlds and is the reigning Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  She won silver at Cup of China and placed 5th at Rostelecom Cup last season.  She is the 2015 Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 199.15.  She is 20 years old.

Satoko Miyahara, JPN: She placed 5th at Worlds and is the reigning Four Continents Champion.  She won bronze at Skate America and gold at NHK Trophy last season to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she won silver.  She is the 2015 World Silver Medalist and 2014 and 2015 Four Continents Silver Medalist.  Her personal best is 214.91.  She is 18 years old.

Yuka Nagai, JPN: She won bronze at Skate Canada and finished 8th at Rostelecom Cup last season.  Her personal best is 172.92.  She is 17 years old.

Dabin Choi, KOR: She finished 14th at Worlds and 8th at Four Continents.  She won bronze at JGP Latvia and bronze at JGP Austria last season.  This is her Grand Prix debut.  Her personal best is 173.71.  She is 16 years old.

Nahyun Kim, KOR: She placed 9th at Four Continents.  She finished 8th at JGP USA and 6th at JGP Poland last season.  This is her Grand Prix debut.  Her personal best is 177.27.  She is 16 years old.

Evgenia Medvedeva, RUS: She is the reigning World Champion and European Champion.  She won gold at Skate America and silver at Rostelecom Cup last season to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she won gold.  She is the 2015 World Junior Champion and 2014 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 223.86.  She is 16 years old.

Elizaveta Tuktamysheva, RUS: She won silver at Skate Canada and placed 5th at Trophee Eric Bompard last season.  She is the 2015 World Champion, 2015 European Champion, 2013 European Bronze Medalist, and 2011 Junior World Silver Medalist.  Her personal best is 210.40.  She is 19 years old.

Joshi Helgesson, SWE: She placed 30th at Worlds and 9th at Europeans.  She finished 9th at Skate Canada and 9th at Rostelecom Cup last season.  Her personal best is 169.07.  She is 23 years old.

Mirai Nagasu, USA: She finished 10th at Worlds and is the reigning Four Continents Silver Medalist.  She finished 5th at NHK Trophy last season.  She is the 2011 Four Continents Bronze Medalist, 2007 World Junior Silver Medalist and 2008 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 193.86.  She is 23 years old.

2016 World Championships Ladies Preview

It is hard to stay on top in the world of senior ladies, with 11 different ladies taking the title over the last 20 years and a different champion each of the last five years.  Reigning World Champion Elizaveta Tuktamysheva will not be at this event to defend her title, as she did not do well enough to qualify for the Russian team.  Reigning Olympic Champion Adelina Sotnikova also did not qualify for this event.  Both ladies have scores in the top 10 for the season with Sotnikova in 5th and Tuktamysheva in 8th.

Evgenia Medvedeva is competing in her first World Championships after taking the World Junior title last season.  She set the bar high with her Grand Prix Final performance and while she took home the European title in January, she couldn’t quite match her earlier scores.  She can land triple + triples and has an elegance about her that goes beyond her age.  If she skates her best, no one can touch her as her personal best is 6 points higher than any one else in this field.  In fact, her personal best is the third highest score ever recorded under the IJS.  She has the 2nd best short program, best free skate, and best total scores.

Elena Radionova is the only skater who has been able to defeat Medvedeva this season, and she did it with personal best scores in front of her home crowd.  She is also well known for her triple + triples and she has an effortless spunk to her skating that is infectious.  She has the 6th best short program, 5th best free skate and 4th best total scores.

Satoko Miyahara has been flying under the radar a bit as she doesn’t receive as much attention as the Russians.  However, she’s been quietly assembling medals and racking up points and is very much a contender for the top of the podium.  She won her first Four Continents title last month and finished 2nd and the Grand Prix Final in December.  Her short program has a triple lutz + triple toe while her free skate has two double axel + triple toes in the bonus.  She has been gaining strength as the season progresses, and scored over 200 points at her last three events, setting new personal bests at Four Continents.  She has the 4th best short program, 2nd best free skate, and 2nd best total scores.

Two US ladies are also aiming to break the US medal drought in front of the home crowd.  Both have claimed that this is the year to do so, but both have had trouble living up to expectations in the past.

Gracie Gold has long been known as one of the most technically gifted skaters out there, but she can’t seem to land her jumps when it comes time to compete.  After popping her opening triple lutz + triple toe combination in her short program at US Nationals, she found herself with a near impossible margin to overcome for gold.  She went out and skated the best free skate of her career to more than win the national title.  It was a defining moment for her to be able to come out and deliver when the pressure is on, however, she couldn’t live up to the pressure at Four Continents.  Her short program has a triple lutz + triple toe and her free skate has a triple lutz + triple toe and a double axel + triple toe in the bonus.  She has only scored over 200 points once this season, and that was back at Skate America.  She has the 3rd best short program, 6th best free skate and 6th best total scores of the season.

Ashley Wagner is a fighter but that fight hasn’t given her the same results it has in the past.  She tried to overcome a short program deficit at the Grand Prix Final with a stellar free skate, as she had done before, but she missed out on the podium.  At US nationals, she flubbed her triple + triple combo in the short and popped the final jump in her free skate and couldn’t keep pace with the top two ladies in the event.  However, she is an extremely popular, dynamic skater and won’t give up easily.  She’s admitted that she doesn’t have a lot of chances left in her career and she wants a World medal badly.  She has the 8th best short program, 4th best free skate, and 7th best total scores.

While Miyahara is contending for a medal, the rest of the Japanese contingent is also looking for places in the top 10.

Mao Asada’s comeback has been a bit slow.  After winning gold at Cup of China she fell to bronze at NHK and then 6th at the Grand Prix Final.  She placed just 3rd at Japanese nationals and chose not to compete at Four Continents.  Her free skate has been her biggest nemesis this season and her score doesn’t even rank in the top 10.  Her short program has also been so-so and might not be enough to keep her afloat in this field if she continues to have free skate problems.  She has the 7th best short program and 9th best total scores.

Rika Hongo lacks some of the polish of the top ladies in this field and she has never scored over 200 points, so it will be tough for her to compete for a medal unless others make mistakes.  She has the opposite problem as Asada as her free skate is stronger than her short program.  She has the 8th best free skate and 10th best total scores.

A few wild cards include Anna Pogorilaya, who is not the splashiest of the Russian teenagers, but has been the most consistent and just took home her second European Bronze Medal.  She has the 5th best short program, 3rd best free skate, and 3rd best total scores, however these scores were set at the Mordvian Ornament, which was a heavily overscored event, and she hasn’t been able to come close to replicate the scores.  Elizabet Tursynbaeva has been bouncing back and forth between the junior and senior ranks, but her best outing was a 4th place finish at Skate America.  Mirai Nagasu is having a bit of a resurgence this season with new coaching and won the silver medal at Four Continents with a personal best score.  She received only a week’s notice that she would be competing here.  The last time she competed at Worlds was in 2010 when she won the short program.  She has the 10th best free skate score.

Rounding out the top competitors are Gabrielle Daleman and So Youn Park.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Evgenia Medvedeva

Silver: Satoko Miyahara

Bronze: Elena Radionova

 

Bios of the competitors:

Anastasia Galustyan, ARM:  She finished 29th at Worlds last season.  She placed 15th at Europeans and 16th at Junior Worlds.  She placed 11th at JGP USA and 9th at JGP Spain.  Her personal best is 162.68.  She is 16 years old.

Kailani Craine, AUS: She placed 13th at Four Continents.  She finished 12th at JGP USA and 8th at JGP Spain.  Her personal best is 157.82.  She is 17 years old.

Kerstin Frank, AUT: She placed 22nd at Europeans.  Her personal best is 149.57.  She is 27 years old.

Alaine Chartrand, CAN: She placed 11th at Worlds last season.  She placed 11th at Four Continents.  She placed 12th at Skate Canada and 6th at Rostelecom Cup.  Her personal best is 173.42.  She is 20 years old.

Gabrielle Daleman, CAN: She finished 21st at Worlds last season.  She placed 5th at Skate Canada and 6th at Trophee Eric Bompard.  Her personal best is 171.72.  She is 18 years old.

Zijun Li, CHN: She placed 9th at Worlds last season.  She placed 10th at Four Continents.  She placed 9th at Cup of China and 7th at NHK Trophy.  She is the 2014 Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 183.85.  She is 19 years old.

Ziquan Zhao, CHN: She finished 16th at Four Continents.  She placed 11th at Cup of China.  Her personal best is 147.79.  She is 18 years old.

Amy Lin, TPE: She placed 15th at Four Continents and 14th at Junior Worlds.  She placed 10th at JGP USA.  Her personal best is 155.61.  She is 16 years old.

Eliska Brezinova, CZE: She placed 27th at Worlds last season.  She finished 23rd at Europeans.  Her personal best is 145.15.  She is 20 years old.

Viveca Lindfors, FIN: She finished 8th at Europeans and 25th at Junior Worlds.  She placed 11th at JGP Latvia and 9th at JGP Poland.  Her personal best is 157.06.  She is 17 years old.

Laurine Lecavelier, FRA: She placed 10th at Europeans.  She finished 12th at Trophee Eric Bompard.  Her personal best is 152.34.  She is 19 years old.

Mae Berenice Meite, FRA: She placed 10th at Worlds last season.  She finished 6th at Europeans.  She finished 11th at Trophee Eric Bompard.  Her personal best is 174.53.  She is 21 years old.

Nathalie Weinzierl, GER: She finished 7th at Europeans.  Her personal best is 167.72.  She is 21 years old.

Kristen Spours, GBR: She finished 21st at JGP Slovakia.  Her personal best is 116.32.  She is 15 years old.

Ivett Toth, HUN: She finished 26th at Worlds last season.  She placed 11th at Europeans and 8th at Junior Worlds.  She finished 8th at JGP Austria and 6th at JGP Croatia.  Her personal best is 153.70.  She is 17 years old.

Roberta Rodeghiero, ITA: She finished 20th at Worlds last season.  She placed 5th at Europeans.  She won bronze at Trophee Eric Bompard and placed 7th at Rostelecom Cup.  Her personal best is 170.76.  She is 25 years old.

Mao Asada, JPN: She won gold at Cup of China and bronze at NHK Trophy to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she finished 6th.  She is the 2010 Olympic Silver Medalist; 2008, 2010 and 2014 World Champion; 2007 World Silver Medalist; 2013 World Bronze Medalist; 2008, 2010 and 2013 Four Continents Champion; 2011 and 2012 Four Continents Silver Medalist; 2009 Four Continents Bronze Medalist; 2005 World Junior Champion; and 2006 World Junior Silver Medalist.  Her personal best is 216.69.  She is 25 years old.

Rika Hongo, JPN: She placed 6th at Worlds last season and is the reigning Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  She won silver at Cup of China and placed 5th at Rostelecom Cup.  She is the 2015 Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 195.76.  She is 19 years old.

Satoko Miyahara, JPN: She is the reigning World Silver Medalist and Four Continents Champion.  She won bronze at Skate America and gold at NHK Trophy to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she won silver.  She is the 2014 and 2015 Four Continents Silver Medalist.  Her personal best is 214.91.  She is 18 years old.

Elizabet Tursynbaeva, KAZ: She finished 5th at Junior Worlds.  She placed 4th at Skate America and 7th at Skate Canada.  Her personal best is 178.56.  She is 16 years old.

Angelina Kuchvalska, LAT: She finished 16th at Worlds last season.  She placed 4th at Europeans and 7th at Junior Worlds.  She placed 7th at Trophee Eric Bompard.  Her personal best is 176.99.  She is 17 years old.

Aleksandra Golovkina, LTU: She finished 28th at Worlds last season.  She placed 16th at Europeans.  Her personal best is 147.35.  She is 17 years old.

Niki Wories, NED: She finished 32nd at Worlds last season.  She placed 20th at Europeans.  Her personal best is 131.87.  She is 19 years old.

Anne Line Gjersem, NOR: She finished 17th at Worlds last season.  She placed 17th at Europeans.  Her personal best is 156.71.  She is 22 years old.

Da Bin Choi, KOR: She finished 8th at Four Continents.  She won bronze at JGP Latvia and bronze at JGP Austria.  Her personal best is 173.71.  She is 16 years old.

So Youn Park, KOR: She placed 12th at Worlds last season.  She placed 4th at Four Continents.  She finished 9th at Skate America and 8th at Cup of China.  Her personal best is 178.92.  She is 18 years old.

Evgenia Medvedeva, RUS: She is the reigning European Champion.  She won gold at Skate America and silver at Rostelecom Cup to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she won gold.  She is the 2015 World Junior Champion and 2014 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 222.54.  She is 16 years old.

Anna Pogorilaya, RUS: She finished 13th at Worlds last season and is the reigning European Bronze Medalist.  She finished 4th at Cup of China and 9th at NHK Trophy.  She is the 2015 European Bronze Medalist and 2013 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 214.07.  She is 17 years old.

Elena Radionova, RUS: She is the reigning World Bronze Medalist and European Silver Medalist.  She won bronze at Cup of China and gold at Rostelecom Cup to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she won bronze.  She is the 2015 European Silver Medalist and 2013 and 2014 World Junior Champion.  Her personal best is 211.32.  She is 17 years old.

Nicole Rajicova, SVK: She finished 15th at Worlds last season.  She placed 12th at Europeans.  She placed 7th at Skate America and 7th at Cup of China.  Her personal best is 167.32.  She is 20 years old.

Dasa Grm, SLO: She placed 18th at Worlds last season.  She finished 26th at Europeans.  She placed 12th at Rostelecom Cup.  Her personal best is 150.32.  She is 24 years old.

Sonia Lafuente, ESP: She finished 33rd at Europeans.  Her personal best is 152.29.  She is 24 years old.

Joshi Helgesson, SWE: She placed 14th at Worlds last season.  She placed 9th at Europeans.  She finished 9th at Skate Canada and 9th at Rostelecom Cup.  Her personal best is 169.07.  She is 22 years old.

Yasmine Kimiko Yamada, SUI: Her personal best is 110.83.  She is 18 years old.

Anna Khnychenkova, UKR: She finished 21st at Europeans.  Her personal best is 128.80.  She is 21 years old.

Gracie Gold, USA: She placed 4th at Worlds last season.  She placed 5th at Four Continents.  She won silver at Skate America and gold at Trophee Eric Bompard to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she placed 5th.  She is the 2012 World Junior Silver Medalist.  Her personal best is 205.53.  She is 20 years old.

Mirai Nagasu, USA: She is the reigning Four Continents Silver Medalist.  She finished 5th at NHK Trophy.  She is the 2011 Four Continents Bronze Medalist, 2007 World Junior Silver Medalist and 2008 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 193.86.  She is 22 years old.

Ashley Wagner, USA: She finished 5th at Worlds last season.  She won gold at Skate Canada and finished 4th at NHK Trophy to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she finished 4th.  She is the 2012 Four Continents Champion and 2007 and 2009 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 202.52.  She is 24 years old.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mirai Nagasu showed a new side to herself at US Nationals, skating clean programs with secure jump landings and no under-rotation calls.  While she still hasn’t quite found the same spark that catapulted her to the top of podiums and captured the hearts of the audience, her confidence seems to be returning little by little.  She’s also the type of skater that can never be counted out, as she’ll surprise you when you least expect it.

2016 Four Continents Ladies Results

Short Program

Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CH IN Ded.
StN.
1 Satoko MIYAHARA JPN 72.48 39.88 32.60 8.14 7.86 8.32 8.21 8.21 0.00 #19
2 Kanako MURAKAMI JPN 68.51 36.51 32.00 8.00 7.75 8.07 8.04 8.14 0.00 #20
3 Mirai NAGASU USA 66.06 35.05 31.01 7.75 7.61 7.86 7.75 7.79 0.00 #21
4 Rika HONGO JPN 64.27 34.81 29.46 7.43 7.11 7.32 7.43 7.54 0.00 #17
5 So Youn PARK KOR 62.49 35.48 27.01 6.79 6.50 6.86 6.75 6.86 0.00 #15
6 Zijun LI CHN 60.04 32.15 27.89 7.04 6.79 7.04 6.93 7.07 0.00 #16
7 Alaine CHARTRAND CAN 59.71 30.74 28.97 7.21 7.04 7.29 7.39 7.29 0.00 #22
8 Na Hyun KIM KOR 58.40 34.60 23.80 6.21 5.75 6.07 5.96 5.75 0.00 #10
9 Gracie GOLD USA 57.26 27.52 31.74 7.89 7.86 7.64 8.18 8.11 2.00 #18
10 Da Bin CHOI KOR 56.79 32.99 23.80 5.93 5.68 6.07 6.11 5.96 0.00 #14
11 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 56.14 29.92 27.22 6.82 6.68 6.68 6.89 6.96 1.00 #9
12 Karen CHEN USA 53.55 26.69 27.86 7.07 6.86 6.96 6.89 7.04 1.00 #13
13 Ziquan ZHAO CHN 53.24 31.93 21.31 5.68 5.21 5.32 5.39 5.04 0.00 #7
14 Brooklee HAN AUS 52.80 29.29 23.51 5.86 5.75 5.89 6.00 5.89 0.00 #12
15 Veronik MALLET CAN 51.88 27.11 24.77 6.25 5.96 6.18 6.25 6.32 0.00 #11
16 Kailani CRAINE AUS 49.02 25.60 23.42 5.75 5.68 5.89 5.89 6.07 0.00 #8
17 Amy LIN TPE 47.88 25.88 22.00 5.50 5.25 5.61 5.50 5.64 0.00 #5
18 Lu ZHENG CHN 45.72 26.55 19.17 4.93 4.54 4.82 4.93 4.75 0.00 #3
19 Michaela DU TOIT RSA 45.18 25.40 19.78 5.07 4.61 5.00 5.04 5.00 0.00 #6
20 Maisy Hiu Ching MA HKG 42.06 21.52 20.54 5.25 4.93 5.07 5.21 5.21 0.00 #4
21 Thita LAMSAM THA 38.91 21.68 17.23 4.46 4.11 4.39 4.36 4.21 0.00 #1
22 Katie PASFIELD AUS 34.63 15.95 18.68 4.64 4.43 4.64 4.82 4.82 0.00 #2

Free Skate

 Pl. Name Nation TSS
=
TES
+
PCS
+
SS TR PE CH IN Ded.
StN.
1 Satoko MIYAHARA JPN 142.43 74.89 67.54 8.39 8.18 8.54 8.54 8.57 0.00 #21
2 Mirai NAGASU USA 127.80 66.01 61.79 7.68 7.50 7.86 7.86 7.71 0.00 #17
3 Gracie GOLD USA 121.13 57.41 63.72 7.96 7.68 7.93 8.21 8.04 0.00 #11
4 Kaetlyn OSMOND CAN 119.49 59.09 60.40 7.43 7.32 7.68 7.64 7.68 0.00 #16
5 Rika HONGO JPN 117.51 58.00 60.51 7.43 7.32 7.57 7.82 7.68 1.00 #19
6 Da Bin CHOI KOR 116.92 63.65 53.27 6.86 6.50 6.71 6.68 6.54 0.00 #13
7 So Youn PARK KOR 116.43 60.69 56.74 7.11 6.89 7.18 7.07 7.21 1.00 #22
8 Na Hyun KIM KOR 112.30 59.50 52.80 6.86 6.43 6.68 6.64 6.39 0.00 #15
9 Kailani CRAINE AUS 108.80 58.98 49.82 6.21 5.96 6.32 6.18 6.46 0.00 #7
10 Karen CHEN USA 107.97 51.11 58.86 7.29 7.25 7.25 7.50 7.50 2.00 #14
11 Zijun LI CHN 107.84 53.58 55.26 7.04 6.82 6.86 6.93 6.89 1.00 #20
12 Amy LIN TPE 107.73 57.61 50.12 6.29 5.93 6.39 6.29 6.43 0.00 #9
13 Kanako MURAKAMI JPN 106.61 47.42 59.19 7.54 7.25 7.32 7.50 7.39 0.00 #18
14 Alaine CHARTRAND CAN 106.02 50.55 56.47 7.11 6.89 6.93 7.18 7.18 1.00 #12
15 Veronik MALLET CAN 104.10 53.81 50.29 6.39 6.00 6.32 6.36 6.36 0.00 #8
16 Ziquan ZHAO CHN 94.55 50.95 43.60 5.82 5.25 5.43 5.43 5.32 0.00 #10
17 Brooklee HAN AUS 82.95 41.31 43.64 5.64 5.46 5.29 5.57 5.32 2.00 #6
18 Michaela DU TOIT RSA 75.94 39.02 38.92 4.89 4.68 4.86 4.96 4.93 2.00 #5
19 Maisy Hiu Ching MA HKG 73.04 33.89 39.15 5.07 4.79 4.86 4.89 4.86 0.00 #4
20 Lu ZHENG CHN 73.01 39.69 35.32 4.75 4.21 4.29 4.54 4.29 2.00 #3
21 Katie PASFIELD AUS 61.15 27.95 35.20 4.50 4.14 4.36 4.50 4.50 2.00 #1
22 Thita LAMSAM THA 50.65 22.50 31.15 4.14 3.68 3.79 4.00 3.86 3.00 #2

Total

FPl. Name Nation Points SP FS
1 Satoko MIYAHARA
JPN
214.91 1 1
2 Mirai NAGASU
USA
193.86 3 2
3 Rika HONGO
JPN
181.78 4 5
4 So Youn PARK
KOR
178.92 5 7
5 Gracie GOLD
USA
178.39 9 3
6 Kaetlyn OSMOND
CAN
175.63 11 4
7 Kanako MURAKAMI
JPN
175.12 2 13
8 Da Bin CHOI
KOR
173.71 10 6
9 Na Hyun KIM
KOR
170.70 8 8
10 Zijun LI
CHN
167.88 6 11
11 Alaine CHARTRAND
CAN
165.73 7 14
12 Karen CHEN
USA
161.52 12 10
13 Kailani CRAINE
AUS
157.82 16 9
14 Veronik MALLET
CAN
155.98 15 15
15 Amy LIN
TPE
155.61 17 12
16 Ziquan ZHAO
CHN
147.79 13 16
17 Brooklee HAN
AUS
135.75 14 17
18 Michaela DU TOIT
RSA
121.12 19 18
19 Lu ZHENG
CHN
118.73 18 20
20 Maisy Hiu Ching MA
HKG
115.10 20 19
21 Katie PASFIELD
AUS
95.78 22 21
22 Thita LAMSAM
THA
89.56 21 22

2016 Four Continents Ladies Preview

With most of the top skaters coming from Russia this season and Ashley Wagner and Mao Asada choosing not to compete, only three skaters at this event have top 10 total scores for the season.

Satoko Miyahara won silver at this event last season and she won silver at the Grand Prix Final.  Her short program has a triple lutz + triple toe while her free skate has two double axel + triple toes in the bonus.  She earned all positive GOEs at the Final.  She has been gaining strength as the season progresses, and scored over 200 points at her last two events.  She has the 8th best short program, 3rd best free skate and 4th best total scores of the season.

Gracie Gold has long been known as one of the most technically gifted skaters out there, but she can’t seem to land her jumps when it comes time to compete.  After popping her opening triple lutz + triple toe combination in her short program at US Nationals, she found herself with a near impossible margin to overcome for gold.  She went out and skated the best free skate of her career to more than win the national title.  It was a defining moment for her to be able to come out and deliver when the pressure is on but she’ll need to build on that performance.  Her short program has a triple lutz + triple toe and her free skate has a triple lutz + triple toe and a double axel + triple toe in the bonus.  She has only scored over 200 points once this season, and that was back at Skate America.  She has the 3rd best short program, 6th best free skate and 6th best total scores of the season.

Rika Hongo couldn’t quite replicate her success from last season and qualify for a second consecutive Grand Prix Final, but she seems poised to compete for the podium at this event again.  She lacks some of the polish of the top ladies in this field and she has never scored over 200 points, so it will be tough for her to compete for gold unless Miyahara and Gold make mistakes.  She has the 8th best free skate and 10th best total scores of the season.

Alaine Chartrand is likely not a medal threat, but she did put up the 10th best short program score of the season.

Three ladies who do not have any top 10 scores for the season could still make their way on to the podium here.

Mirai Nagasu showed a new side to herself at US Nationals, skating clean programs with secure jump landings and no under-rotation calls.  While she still hasn’t quite found the same spark that catapulted her to the top of podiums and captured the hearts of the audience, her confidence seems to be returning little by little.  She’s also the type of skater that can never be counted out, as she’ll surprise you when you least expect it.

Kanako Murakami is very similar to Nagasu as she seems to have lost her passion for skating and her wonky jump technique often leads to errors.  The difference is, she hasn’t seemed to find a way to correct her issues and find the love for the sport again.  Like Nagasu, she has an impressive resume and is always a threat to the podium, especially if she can land her jumps.

Karen Chen is filling in on short notice for Polina Edmunds.  She had pretty decent results on the Grand Prix, but had trouble on her jumps at US nationals.  She has a great personality on the ice, great spins and nice jumps and was the surprise bronze medal at US nationals last season so she is definitely capable of making a splash.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Satoko Miyahara

Silver: Gracie Gold

Bronze: Rika Hongo

 

Bios of the competitors:

Kailani Craine, AUS: She placed 12th at Four Continents and 16th at Junior Worlds last season.  She finished 12th at JGP USA and 8th at JGP Spain.  Her personal best is 147.25.  She is 17 years old.

Brooklee Han, AUS: She finished 35th at Worlds and 17th at Four Continents last season.  She finished 10th at Trophee Eric Bompard.  Her personal best is 151.90.  She is 20 years old.

Katie Pasfield, AUS: She placed 18th at JGP Austria.  Her personal best is 101.99.  She is 17 years old.

Alaine Chartrand, CAN: She placed 11th at Worlds and 10th at Four Continents last season.  She placed 12th at Skate Canada and 6th at Rostelecom Cup.  Her personal best is 173.42.  She is 19 years old.

Veronik Mallet, CAN: She finished 14th at Four Continents last season.  She placed 10th at Skate Canada.  Her personal best is 159.67.  She is 21 years old.

Kaetlyn Osmond, CAN: She placed 11th at Skate Canada and 6th at NHK Trophy.  Her personal best is 179.41.  She is 20 years old.

Zijun Li, CHN: She placed 19th at Worlds and 5th at Four Continents last season.  She placed 9th at Cup of China and 7th at NHK Trophy.  She is the 2014 Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 183.85.  She is 19 years old.

Ziquan Zhao, CHN: She placed 11th at Cup of China.  Her personal best is 146.22.  She is 18 years old.

Lu Zheng, CHN: She finished 12th at Cup of China.  Her personal best is 130.32.  She is 16 years old.

Amy Lin, TPE: She placed 10th at JGP USA.  Her personal best is 144.62.  She is 16 years old.

Maisy Hiu Ching Ma, HKG: She placed 41st at Junior Worlds last season.  She placed 12th at JGP Poland.  Her personal best is 130.69.  She is 16 years old.

Rika Hongo, JPN: She placed 6th at Worlds last season and is the reigning Four Continents Bronze Medalist.  She won silver at Cup of China and placed 5th at Rostelecom Cup.  Her personal best is 195.76.  She is 19 years old.

Satoko Miyahara, JPN: She is the reigning World Silver Medalist and Four Continents Silver Medalist.  She won bronze at Skate America and gold at NHK Trophy to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she won silver.  She is the 2014 Four Continents Silver Medalist.  Her personal best is 208.85.  She is 17 years old.

Kanako Murakami, JPN: She placed 7th at Worlds last season.  She placed 4th at Skate Canada and 4th at Trophee Eric Bompard.  She is the 2014 Four Continents Champion, 2013 Four Continents Bronze Medalist and 2010 World Junior Champion.  Her personal best is 196.91.  She is 21 years old.

Da Bin Choi, KOR: She finished 9th at Junior Worlds last season.  She won bronze at JGP Latvia and bronze at JGP Austria.  Her personal best is 172.38.  She is 16 years old.

Na Hyun Kim, KOR: She placed 8th at JGP USA and 6th at JGP Poland.  Her personal best is 146.25.  She is 16 years old.

So Youn Park, KOR: She placed 12th at Worlds and 9th at Four Continents last season.  She finished 9th at Skate America and 8th at Cup of China.  Her personal best is 176.61.  She is 18 years old.

Michaela Du Toit, RSA: She placed 37th at Junior Worlds last season.  She finished 18th at JGP Poland and 13th at JGP Spain.  Her personal best is 121.94.  She is 16 years old.

Thita Lamsam, THA: She finished 43rd at Junior Worlds last season.  She finished 27th at JGP Poland and 21st at JGP Croatia.  Her personal best is 106.87.  She is 16 years old.

Karen Chen, USA: She finished 8th at Junior Worlds last season.  She placed 5th at Skate America and 5th at Cup of China.  Her personal best is 179.08.  She is 16 years old.

Gracie Gold, USA: She placed 4th at Worlds and 4th at Four Continents last season.  She won silver at Skate America and gold at Trophee Eric Bompard to qualify for the Grand Prix Final where she placed 5th.  She is the 2012 World Junior Silver Medalist.  Her personal best is 205.53.  She is 20 years old.

Mirai Nagasu, USA: She finished 5th at NHK Trophy.  She is the 2011 Four Continents Bronze Medalist, 2007 World Junior Silver Medalist and 2008 World Junior Bronze Medalist.  Her personal best is 190.15.  She is 22 years old.