2018 US Nationals Junior Men’s Results

Place Start Name Short Program Free Skate Total Score
Place Score Place Score
1 10 Camden Pulkinen, Broadmoor SC 1 67.88 1 151.41 219.29
2 12 Dinh Tran, SC of San Francisco 2 67.28 2 132.67 199.95
3 11 Maxim Naumov, SC of Boston 3 64.07 4 114.93 179.00
4 3 Ryan Dunk, Baltimore FSC 10 53.43 3 119.25 172.68
5 13 Tony Lu, North Jersey FSC 4 62.43 7 104.14 166.57
6 7 Alex Wellman, Broadmoor SC 8 56.23 6 104.46 160.69
7 2 Paul Yeung, All Year FSC 11 53.30 5 105.41 158.71
8 5 Sasha Lunin, Fort Wayne ISC 9 54.86 8 93.81 148.67
9 9 Peter Liu, SC of Wilmington 5 58.33 11 85.30 143.63
10 1 Patrick Frohling, All Year FSC 12 52.22 10 86.21 138.43
11 8 Kendrick Weston, Salt Lake Figure Skating 6 58.10 12 78.73 136.83
12 4 Justin Wichmann, Dallas FSC 13 48.05 9 87.90 135.95
13 6 Luke Ferrante, SC of Huntsville 7 56.48 13 73.10 129.58

2018 US Nationals Junior Men’s Preview

As a group they’ve won 16 national medals and every single one has qualified for nationals previously.  Camden Pulkinen is the only one to have won medals on the Junior Grand Prix this season, and he won three.  The 2nd, 3rd, 5th, and 7th place junior men from last year will be competing.  The 1st, 3rd, 6th, 8th, and 11th place novice finishers are moving up to compete at this event.  The short program will be held on  Monday, January 1st with the free skate on Wednesday, January 3rd.

What will set these men apart both nationally and internationally is a triple axel and a quad.  The required solo jump in the short program this year is a triple lutz.  Because the juniors have a required solo jump, they are more limited in how they structure their programs, but a triple + triple combination, triple axels, and moving jumps to the bonus will definitely increase their technical score in the jumping category.

To be competitive at Junior Worlds, they’ll need to score above 73 points in the short program, 134 points in the free skate and 206 points overall.  It’s difficult to say how many spots on the Junior Worlds team may be up for grabs, as three US men qualified for the Junior Grand Prix Final, and two of them are competing in seniors.

Camden Pulkinen won a gold and silver medal on the Junior Grand Prix to qualify for the JGP Final where he won silver.  He has the 6th best total score internationally.  He’s also the only competitor in this field that has cleared 200 points this season.  His short program includes a triple axel, triple flip + triple toe, and a triple lutz in the bonus.  At JGP Austria, he fell on the combination and had a time violation, but still earned program components in the mid 6s.  His free skate has a triple lutz + single loop + triple salchow, triple flip + triple toe, triple axel + double toe, and another solo triple axel.  He had a time violation at JGP Austria.  He earned Level 4 on two of his spins and had program components in the mid 6s.  At JGP Poland, he fell on the combination in his short program and had program components in the mid to high 6s.  His free skate at that event was mostly clean with only a tiny negative GOE on a popped loop and a doubled flip in a combination.  He netted over 5 points from GOEs and had program components in the mid  to low 7s.  At the JGP Final, he doubled his combination.  He did earn a Level 4 on one of his spins, however, for the first time all season.  His program components were in the high 6 to low 7s.  He had a great free skate at the Final, with only a doubled flip as an error.  He received all positive GOEs, except for a slight negative on his triple loop, and earned 7 points overall.  He received Level 4 on all of his spins for the first time all season and had program components in the high 6s to low 7s.

Alex Wellman set the top score in qualifying, some 13 points better than the next closest competitor.  His short program includes a triple flip + double toe, double axel, and a triple lutz in the bonus.  He earned Level 4 on one spin and had program components in the mid 6s.  His free skate includes a triple lutz combination (singled at sectionals), triple flip + double toe, and a triple toe + double axel sequence.  He fell on a triple flip near the end of his program. He earned Level 4 on two spins and had program components in the mid 6s.

Ryan Dunk does not have any top 10 scores nationally, but he had better scores at his international outing at JGP Austria.  He has a double axel, triple loop + triple loop (under-rotated), and triple lutz in his short program.  Both the combination and the solo jump are in the bonus.  He earned Level 4 on two of his spins and had program components in the mid to high 5s.  His free skate only had one successful combination jump, but he did earn Level 4 on all of his spins and had program components in the mid 5s to low 6s.  At Sectionals, he went for a triple loop + double loop combination and earned Level 4 on two of his spins.  His program components were in the low to mid 5s.  He added a triple axel attempt to his free skate at sectionals, but he fell and it was under-rotated.  He also fell on a double axel at the end of his program.  He earned Level 4 on one spin and had program components in the mid 5s.

Maxim Naumov has the third best total score from qualifying.  At JGP Latvia he attempted the triple axel but fell.  He also fell on his combination jump and received no credit for the second jump.  He earned Level 4 on one spin and had program components in the mid 5s to low 6s.  He again fell on the triple axel in his free skate and it was under-rotated, netting him only 1.90 points for the jump.  He did land a triple flip + double toe and a triple lutz + double toe + double loop.  He under-rotated a solo loop and fell and also fell on his solo flip in addition to receiving an edge call.  He earned Level 4 for two of his spins but lost 7 points in base value after GOEs were taken into effect.  His program components were in the mid 5s to low 6s.  At Sectionals, he fell on the triple axel in his short program and received an edge call on his flip.  He received Level 4 on all of his spins and had program components in the high 5s to mid 6s.  He fell on his triple axel and received an edge call on his triple flip combination in the free skate and missed points on a combination after repeating too many double toes.  He received Level 4 on all of his spins and had program components in the mid 5s to low 6s.

Paul Yeung has the 2nd best total score from qualifying, but it was set at regionals.  His short program includes a double axel, triple flip + triple toe, and a triple lutz in the bonus.  He earned Level 4 on two of his spins at regionals and had program components in the mid 5s to low 6s.  His free skate has a triple lutz + double toe, triple flip + double toe, and double axel + double toe + double loop.  His program components were in the mid to high 5s.

Dinh Tran only has a top short program score from qualifying, but had better scores at JGP Poland.  His short program includes a triple flip + triple toe, triple lutz, and a double axel in the bonus.  He only earned a very slight negative GOE on his lutz and earned Level 4 on one of his spins.  His program components were in the mid to high 5s.  His free skate included a downgraded triple flip + triple toe attempt, triple lutz + double toe, and a double axel + single loop + double salchow.  He doubled a solo loop as well.  He received Level 4 on two of his spins and had program components in the mid to high 5s.  At sectionals, he earned Level 4 on two of his spins in the short program and had program components in the mid 5s to mid 6s.  His free skate included a fall on an under-rotated triple + triple combination, and an invalid sequence.  He received Level 4 on two spins and had very low program components, in the mid 4s to mid 5s.

The triple axel is a huge competitive advantage as this particular event.  Camden Pulkinen has three planned and his total jump base value for both programs is 83.05 points.  The next highest base value is Maxim Naumov with 71.90 points thanks to two triple axels.  The rest of the field do not have triple axels, and have technical values over 5 points less than Naumov.

Triple axels can do more harm than good if they are not landed, however.  A triple axel is worth 8.50 points.  However, a fall costs a skater 3.00 points in GOE plus a point for the fall, making it worth only 4.50 points.  An under-rotated triple axel is worth 5.90 points in base value before GOEs are taken into effect.  For example, Naumov fell on an under-rotated triple axel attempt at JGP Latvia and netted only 1.90 points, nearly the same value as a -3 GOE double axel.  In contrast, a double axel has a base value of 3.30 points and can be worth up to 4.80 points with +3 GOEs.  It still might be worth the risk, as a +3 GOE is not the easiest to achieve, but it depends on how the jump effects the rest of the program.

Another big differentiator in the short program is the combination jump.  A triple flip + triple toe is worth 9.60 points, while a triple + double is worth only 6.60 points.  Of the top competitors, only Pulkinen, Tran, and Naumov have attempted the triple + triple.  However, Pulkinen has not landed the combination jump cleanly all season, so his is losing points on this element compared to his base value, bringing it more closely in line to some of the other competitors.

In the free skate, Pulkinen has the most difficult content with two triple + triple combinations.  Dinh Tran is the only other one to have one in his free skate.

Levels and program components will also be important in determining who takes home a medal from this event.  For all of his jump advantages, Pulkinen has been missing his Levels, only scoring one Level 4 element in his short program all season.  None of the top men at this event are consistently hitting Level 4 on everything, and those points could make the difference, especially as many of the jumps have also been inconsistent.  Internationally, Pulkinen has been scoring in the 7s for his program components, and will likely see higher program components nationally.  No one else has hit the 7s yet, and that is where they will need to be if they want to keep pace.

With his huge advantage, Pulkinen has room to make mistakes and still take home the title.  He has a good shot at winning a Junior Worlds medal this year, so this event will likely be more about tweaking his programs and making sure everything is fine tuned for that event.

My podium predictions:

Gold: Camden Pulkinen

Silver: Alex Wellman

Bronze: Maxim Naumov

Pewter: Ryan Dunk

 

Bios of the competitors:

Ryan Dunk: He is 17 years old and represents the Baltimore Skating Club.  He placed 9th at JGP Austria.  He is the reigning Junior Bronze Medalist, finished 5th in novice in 2016, is the 2015 Intermediate Men’s Pewter Medalist and finished 11th in juvenile in 2014.  He won silver at Eastern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 7th best short program, 8th best free skate, and 7th best total scores from qualifying.

Luke Ferrante: He represents the Skating Club of Huntsville.  He finished 10th in intermediate in 2015, 5th in juvenile in 2014, and 10th in juvenile in 2013.  He won bronze at Midwestern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.

Patrick Frohling: He represents the All Year Figure Skating Club.  He finished 8th as a junior last season and 11th in intermediate in 2014.  He won silver at Southwest Pacific Regionals and silver at Pacific Coast Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 3rd best free skate and 5th best total scores from qualifying.

Peter Liu: He is 17 years old and represents the Skating Club of Wilmington.  He placed 7th in juniors last season, is the 2016 Novice Silver Medalist, finished 6th as a novice in 2015, and is the 2014 Intermediate Pewter Medalist.  He won pewter at South Atlantic Regionals and bronze at Eastern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 6th best free skate and 10th best total scores from qualifying.

Tony Lu: He represents the North Jersey Figure Skating Club.  He finished 6th in juniors in 2016, 7th in juniors in 2014, 9th in novice in 2013, and 10th in novice in 2012.  He won pewter at Eastern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.

Sasha Lunin: He is 17 years old and represents the Fort Wayne Ice Skating Club.  He placed 5th in juniors last season 7th in novice in 2016, and is the 2013 Juvenile Bronze Medalist.  He won silver at Midwestern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 9th best short program, 9th best free skate, and 9th best total scores from qualifying.

Maxim Naumov: He is 16 years old and represents the Charter Oak Figure Skating Club.  He placed 8th at JGP Latvia.  He is the reigning Novice Champion, 2016 Novice Bronze Medalist, finished 5th in intermediate in 2014, is the 2013 Juvenile Boys Champion, and finished 7th in juvenile in 2012.  He won gold at Eastern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 5th best short program, 5th best free skate, and 3rd best total scores from qualifying.

Camden Pulkinen: He is 17 years old and represents the Broadmoor Skating Club.  He won gold at JGP Austria and silver at JGP Poland to qualify for the Junior Grand Prix Final where he won silver.  He is the reigning Junior Silver Medalist, finished 11th in juniors in 2016, 5th in juvenile in 2013 and 16th in juvenile in 2012.  He has the 5th best free skate and 6th best total scores internationally.

Dinh Tran: He is 16 years old and represents the Skating Club of San Francisco.  He placed 12th at JGP Poland.  He is the reigning Novice Bronze Medalist, 2015 Intermediate Silver Medalist, finished 6th in intermediate in 2014, and is the 2013 Juvenile Boys Pewter Medalist.  He won bronze at Pacific Coast Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 3rd best short program score from qualifying.

Alex Wellman: He is 17 years old and represents the Broadmoor Skating Club.  He finished 11th in novice last season, is the 2016 Intermediate Silver Medalist and finished 10th in juvenile in 2014.  He won gold at Midwestern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the best short program, best free skate, and best total scores from qualifying.

Kendrick Weston: He is 17 years old and represents Salt Lake Figure Skating.  He is the 2015 Novice Bronze Medalist, finished 7th in intermediate in 2014, is the 2013 Juvenile Boys Silver Medalist and finished 8th in juvenile in 2012.  He won gold at Central Pacific Regionals and pewter at Pacific Coast Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 8th best short program, 2nd best free skate, and 8th best total scores from qualifying.

Justin Wichmann: He is the 2014 Intermediate Bronze Medalist.  He won pewter at Midwestern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.

Paul Yeung: He is 18 years old and represents the All Year Figure Skating Club.  He finished 6th as a novice last season, 10th as a novice in 2016, 9th as an intermediate in 2015 and is the 2014 Juvenile Boys Silver Medalist.  He won gold at Southwest Pacific Regionals and gold at Pacific Coast Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 2nd best short program, 4th best free skate, and 2nd best total scores from qualifying.

2017 JGP Austria Men’s Preview

The junior men’s event is largely separated into the haves and the have nots.  The quad is becoming much more common at the junior level, but you still might only see a small handful of competitors attempt one at each JGP.  It is not allowed in the short program, so it can make a big difference in moving up in the standings in the free skate.  The second distinguishing factor is the triple axel.  There is a large point difference between the double and triple and with one required in the short program and usually two in the free skate, there is a significant technical advantage to having a triple.  For those who have both, a spot on the podium is almost a guarantee, as long as they don’t see downgrades or other serious errors.

Conrad Orzel is the top finisher from Junior Worlds competing at this event.  He finished 13th at that event.  He placed 10th at his JGP debut last season, but won a silver medal at JGP Germany where he set a new personal best score of 196.30.  His score there was 30 points higher than at his first event and was consistent with his performance at Junior Worlds.

Alexey Erokhov has the highest personal best score of anyone at this event, setting a 216.91 at JGP Japan, where he won the bronze medal.  He had to withdraw from his second assignment at JGP Germany and finished just 5th at Russian nationals and didn’t have the chance to compete at Junior Worlds.  He dealt with a lot of injuries and illnesses last year, which impeded his ability to put together a full season.  He is capable of doing a variety of quads, and has been working on the quad lutz.

Sena Miyake is definitely a competitor to watch this season.  He recently won gold at the Asian Open, a B event, where he scored 189.70, 20 points better than his personal best.  He last competed on the Junior Grand Prix in 2015, where he finished 8th at JGP Latvia. He finished 9th in the senior event at Japanese nationals last season.

Ryan Dunk is making his JGP debut, but he recently won gold at the Philadelphia Summer Classic with a score of 178.52.  Jumps have been a bit of a tricky area for him in the past, but he really excels in everything else, picking up valuable points and making up for any deficits.

Camden Pulkinen competed at JGP Estonia last season and is the reigning US Junior Men’s Silver Medalist.  Pulkinen was not given a spot on the Junior Worlds team, in favor of a skater who competed in the senior men’s event.  It’s looking like he might employ a similar strategy this season, as he competed as a senior at the Philadelphia Summer Classic earlier this summer.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Alexey Erokhov

Silver: Conrad Orzel

Bronze: Sena Miyake

 

Bios of the competitors: 

Luc Maierhofer, AUT: He placed 19th at JGP Slovenia and 21st at JGP Germany last season.  His personal best is 151.78.  He is 15 years old.

Anton Skoficz, AUT: This is his JGP debut.  He is 16 years old.

Conrad Orzel, CAN: He placed 13th at Junior Worlds.  He finished 10th at JGP France and won silver at JGP Germany last season.  His personal best is 196.30.  He is 17 years old.

Charles Henry Katanovic, CRO

Radek Jakubka, CZE: He placed 16th at JGP Czech Republic and 14th at JGP Germany last season.  His personal best is 153.73.  He is 16 years old.

Nikolaj Molgaard Pedersen, DEN: This is his JGP debut.  He is 18 years old.

Luc Economides, FRA: He placed 30th at Junior Worlds.  He finished 11th at JGP France and 10th at JGP Russia last season.  His personal best is 162.06.  He is 18 years old.

Nika Egadze, GEO: He placed 14th at JGP Slovenia last season.  His personal best is 149.29.  He is 15 years old.

Jonathan Hess, GER: He placed 22nd at JGP Germany last season.  His personal best is 129.81.  He is 17 years old.

Mate Borocz, HUN: He placed 21st at JGP Slovenia last season.  His personal best is 121.53.  He is 18 years old.

Mark Gorodnitsky, ISR: He placed 30th at Europeans and 22nd at Junior Worlds.  He finished 10th at JGP Japan and 15th at JGP Germany last season.  His personal best is 170.59.  He is 16 years old.

Nik Folini, ITA: This is his JGP debut.  He is 17 years old.

Sena Miyake, JPN: He finished 11th at JGP Japan last season.  His personal best is 168.73.  He is 15 years old.

Geon Hyeong An, KOR: His personal best is 150.04.  He is 16 years old.

Alexey Erokhov, RUS: He won bronze at JGP Japan last season.  His personal best is 216.91.  He is 17 years old.

Evgeni Semenenko, RUS: This is his international debut.  He is 14 years old.

Nurullah Sahaka, SUI: He placed 34th at Junior Worlds.  He finished 12th at JGP Slovenia last season.  His personal best is 154.55.  He is 17 years old.

Basar Oktar, TUR: He finished 26th at Junior Worlds.  He placed 18th at JGP France and 14th at JGP Estonia last season.  His personal best is 152.77.  He is 15 years old.

Ivan Shmuratko, UKR: This is his JGP debut.  His personal best is 125.78.  He is 15 years old.

Ryan Dunk, USA: This is his JGP debut.  He is 16 years old.

Camden Pulkinen, USA: He placed 9th at JGP Estonia last season.  His personal best is 171.69.  He is 17 years old.

2017 US Nationals Junior Men’s Results

Place Start Name Short Program Free Skate Total Score
Place Score Place Score
1 11 Aleksei Krasnozhon, Dallas FSC 2 66.89 1 144.16 211.05
2 7 Camden Pulkinen, Broadmoor SC 1 73.41 2 124.24 197.65
3 10 Ryan Dunk, Baltimore FSC 4 57.78 3 114.44 172.22
4 6 Eric Sjoberg, Los Angeles FSC 3 60.73 4 109.88 170.61
5 9 Sasha Lunin, Fort Wayne ISC 5 56.60 5 104.79 161.39
6 8 Mathew Graham, Idaho Falls FSC 6 54.57 6 104.39 158.96
7 5 Peter Liu, SC of Wilmington 8 52.47 7 102.35 154.82
8 1 Derek Wagner, Northern Ice SC 7 52.85 8 100.40 153.25
9 2 Kelvin Li, Northern Ice SC 9 50.39 9 97.30 147.69
10 4 Daniil Shamis, All Year FSC 11 40.93 10 94.62 135.55
11 3 TJ Nyman, Space Coast Ice Plex FSC 10 41.51 11 89.02 130.53
WD Kendrick Weston, Salt Lake Figure Skating

2017 US Nationals Junior Men’s Preview

As a group they’ve won 14 national medals and every single competitor at this event has qualified for nationals at least once. Only Alexei Krasnozhon won medals on the Junior Grand Prix, and he won two and qualified for the Final.  The 3rd and 11th place junior men from last year will be competing.  The 1st, 2nd, 4th and 5th place novice finishers are moving up to compete at this event.  The short program will be held on Wednesday, January 18th with the free skate on Friday, January 20th.

What will set these men apart both nationally and internationally is a triple axel and a quad.  The required solo jump in the short program this year is a triple loop.  Because the juniors have a required solo jump, they are more limited in how they structure their programs, but a triple + triple combination, triple axels, and moving jumps to the bonus will definitely increase their technical score in the jumping category.

To be competitive at Junior Worlds, they’ll need to score above 70 points in the short program, 140 points in the free skate and 210 points overall.  It’s difficult to say how many spots on the Junior Worlds team may be up for grabs, as several junior eligible skaters who competed on the Junior Grand Prix this season are competing in the senior event.

Alexei Krasnozhon has the 5th best short program, 5th best free skate and 5th best total scores internationally.  He has medaled at this event each of the last two seasons, taking home a pewter medal and then a bronze medal.  He was one of the only US men to win a medal on the Junior Grand Prix, and he was the only one to qualify for the Junior Grand Prix Final.  He scored above 200 points at every single one of his JGP assignments, and international scores tend to be lower than nationals scores.  No other competitor in this field broke the 200 point mark at either international or national competitions.  He is the closest thing to a shoe-in as there can be in figure skating.  He has the triple + triples, a quad, triple axels and program components significantly higher than the rest of the field.  His advantage is great enough that he can afford to make mistakes and still come out on top.  His best scores of the season came from JGP Czech Republic so I analyzed his free skate from that event.  His jump layout included quad loop (fall, downgraded), triple salchow, triple flip, triple axel + triple toe, triple axel, triple flip + double toe + double loop, triple lutz + triple loop, and a double axel, giving him a base value of 68.08.  His base value for jumps in the free skate is nearly 14 points higher than any other competitor in this field.  He received Level 4, Level 4 and Level 3 on his spins and Level 3 on his steps.  He earned 4 points from GOE and earned between 6.96-7.29 in GOE.  At JGP Slovenia he received full credit for the quad loop but negative GOEs, and at the Final it was under-rotated.  His short program includes a triple flip + triple toe and a triple axel, giving him a base jump value of 23.71.

Eric Sjoberg comes into this event as the reigning Novice Champion.  He also has the best scores from the qualifying events by nearly 7 points.  He trains with Raf Artunian alongside current World Silver Medalist Ashley Wagner and US Champion Adam Rippon.  His free skate includes a triple loop, double axel, triple flip + triple toe (under-rotated at sectionals), triple lutz + double toe + double loop, triple lutz, triple flip, triple salchow + double toe, and double axel + double toe (singled the axel and missed the combo) giving him a base jump value of 50.86.  He received Level 4 on his spins and steps and an impressive 6.5 points from GOEs,  His program components ranged from 5.81-6.25.  His short program includes a triple flip + triple toe, double axel and triple loop for a base value of 19.47.  He isn’t attempting a triple axel and he only has one jump in the bonus, but he has the highest start value of any of the men not attempting the triple axel in the short program.  He received a one point deduction for a time violation at sectionals.

Camden Pulkinen is the only skater besides Krasnozhon attempting the triple axel.  He finished 11th at this event last year and only has the 8th best scores from qualifying.  However, I think he was vastly under-scored at sectionals on PCS, which would bring his scores up much higher.  His free skate includes a triple axel, triple lutz + triple toe, triple flip, triple lutz, triple flip + double toe + double loop, triple loop (singled at sectionals), triple salchow and double axel + double toe.  He earned Level 4, Level 4, Level 3 on his spins but only Level 2 on his steps.  He did lose 4 points from GOE and his program components ranged from 4.75-5.75.  At his JGP assignment, his PCS ranged from 5.5-6.11, and more often than not, international PCS tend to be lower than national PCS.  On PCS in the free skate alone, he scored 8 full points higher on the JGP than sectionals.  His short program includes a triple axel (under-rotated), triple lutz + triple toe and triple loop (doubled) which gives him a jump start value of 24.41: the highest for a short program at this event.  Again, his PCS were low, receiving 3 points less than he did on the Junior Grand Prix.  His score at the US Challenge Skate was higher than his JGP score and much higher than his performance at Sectionals, so I definitely expect his score to be much higher than it is currently.

Ryan Dunk has the third best total score from sectional competition and just missed the podium last season as a novice.  His free skate includes a double axel, triple lutz + triple toe (doubled at sectionals), triple lutz, triple loop, triple loop + double loop, double axel + double toe + double loop, triple toe and a triple salchow (fall) for a base value of 48.90.  He earned Level 4 on his spins and steps with program components from 5.35-5.75.  His programs are smartly constructed as he does not have a triple flip.  He uses the loop as the combination in two of his jumps to increase his technical value and goes for the maximum value on the non jumping elements.  He doesn’t attempt a triple + triple in his short program, but he backloads the jumps, putting them all in the bonus.  For his triple loop, triple lutz + double toe and double axel he earns 17.27 in base value, only a little over a point behind Hubbart with the triple + triple combination.

Mathew Graham has the 4th best total score from sectionals and is competing at nationals for the first time since 2013.  His free skate includes triple lutz + double toe, double axel + double toe, triple lutz, triple flip, triple loop + single toe (downgraded at sectionals) + double loop, triple loop, triple salchow and double axel for a base value of 45.31.  He received Level 2, Level 3, and Level 4 on his spins with Level 2 on the steps.  He earned 1.5 points from GOE and 5.50-6.06 on PCS.

Kendrick Weston set the 5th highest score at sectionals, just fractions of a point behind Graham.  He won the bronze medal as a novice last season.  His free skate includes a triple loop, triple lutz + double toe, triple lutz, triple salchow + single loop + double salchow, triple flip + double loop, triple toe, triple salchow, and double axel giving him a base value of 45.06.  He earned Level 4, Level 3, and Level 3 on his spins and Level 3 on his steps.  He earned 3.5 points from GOE but his PCS were all over the board, ranging from 4.81-6.00.  His short program content is the same as Graham’s with the same base value.

Assuming that Krasnozhon does not have a major meltdown, it is going to be the 2nd-4th places on the podium that are contested.  The major question is going to be whether Pulkinen can use the triple axel to his advantage and pull his PCS up to land on the podium.  The difference between a double and a triple axel is 5.2 points, so if another skater were able to show up to nationals with a triple axel, it could be a game changer as landing one in the short and one in the long could be worth over 10 extra points.  The other factor is going to be whether Hubbart can skate a clean program like he did at sectionals with the pressure of having to compete in two events on four consecutive days, not to mention the official practice time and warmups associated with competition.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Alexei Krasnozhon

Silver: Eric Sjoberg

Bronze: Camden Pulkinen

Pewter: Ryan Dunk

 

Bios of the competitors:

Ryan Dunk: He represents the Baltimore Skating Club.  He finished 5th in novice last season, is the 2015 Intermediate Men’s Pewter Medalist and finished 11th in juvenile in 2014.  He won gold at South Atlantic Regionals and silver at Eastern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 2nd best short program, 3rd best free skate and 3rd best total scores.

Mathew Graham: He represents the Idaho Falls Figure Skating Club.  He finished 11th in intermediate in 2013.  He won gold at Northwest Pacific Regionals and silver at Pacific Coast Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 4th best short program, 4th best free skate and 4th best total scores from qualifying.

Alexei Krasnozhon: He is 16 years old and represents the Dallas Figure Skating Club.  He won silver at JGP Czech Republic and gold at JGP Slovenia to qualify for the Junior Grand Prix Final where he placed 5th.  He is the reigning Junior Bronze Medalist and 2015 Junior Pewter Medalist.

Kelvin Li: He represents the Northern Ice Skating Club.  He finished 7th in novice in 2015 and 12th in juvenile in 2012.  He won silver at Midwestern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.

Peter Liu: He is 16 years old and represents the Skating Club of Wilmington.  He placed 16th at JGP Germany.  He is the reigning Novice Silver Medalist, finished 6th as a novice in 2015, and is the 2014 Intermediate Pewter Medalist.  He won bronze at Eastern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 7th best free skate and 9th best total scores.

Sasha Lunin: He is 16 years old and represents the Fort Wayne Ice Skating Club.  He placed 7th in novice last season and is the 2013 Juvenile Bronze Medalist.  He won pewter at Midwestern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.

TJ Nyman: He represents the Space Coast Ice Plex Figure Skating Club.  He is the 2015 Intermediate Champion and 2014 Juvenile Champion.  He won pewter at Eastern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 6th best short program score from qualifying.

Camden Pulkinen: He is 16 years old and represents the Broadmoor Skating Club.  He placed 9th at JGP Estonia.  He finished 11th in juniors last season, 5th in juvenile in 2013 and 16th in juvenile in 2012.  He won gold at Midwestern Sectionals to qualify for Nationals.  He has the 10th best short program, 10th best free skate and 8th best total scores from qualifying.

Eric Sjoberg: He is 15 years old and represents the Los Angeles Figure Skating Club.  He placed 7th at JGP Russia.  He is the reigning Novice Champion, finished 11th as a novice in 2015, is the 2014 Novice Silver Medalist, 2013 Intermediate Men’s Pewter Medalist, 2012 Juvenile Boys Pewter Medalist and finished 11th as a juvenile in 2011.  He won gold at Pacific Coast Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the best short program, best free skate and best total scores from qualifying.

Daniel Shamis: He represents the All Year Figure Skating Club.  He is the 2015 Novice Pewter Medalist.  He won gold at Southwest Pacific Regionals and pewter at Pacific Coast Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 8th best short program, 8th best free skate and 6th best total scores.

Derek Wagner: He is 17 years old and represents the Northern Ice Skating Club.  He finished 6th in novice last season, 6th in intermediate in 2013 and 9th in juvenile in 2012.  He won bronze at Midwestern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.

Kendrick Weston: He is 16 years old and represents Salt Lake Figure Skating.  He is the 2015 Novice Bronze Medalist, finished 7th in intermediate in 2014, is the 2013 Juvenile Boys Silver Medalist and finished 8th in juvenile in 2012.  He won silver at Central Pacific Regionals and bronze at Pacific Coast Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 3rd best short program, 5th best free skate and 5th best total scores.

2017 Eastern Sectionals Junior Men’s Results

Place Start Name Short Program Free Skate Total Score
Place Score Place Score
1 4 William Hubbart, Southwest Florida FSC 2 60.32 1 125.61 185.93
2 5 Ryan Dunk, Baltimore FSC 1 62.71 2 114.82 177.53
3 2 Peter Liu, SC of Wilmington 4 49.31 3 110.36 159.67
4 3 TJ Nyman, Space Coast Ice Plex FSC 3 56.82 4 77.22 134.04
WD Nicholas Huff, Gardens FSC of Maryland 5 17.73

2017 South Atlantic Regional Results

Juvenile Girls

Place Start Name Score
1 23 Haley Scott, First Coast FSC 59.18
2 25 Gloria Xia, University of Delaware FSC 57.56
3 22 Olivia Tennant, Frederick FSC 49.87
4 18 Olivia Herman, Panthers FSC 48.79
5 24 Tatiana Johnson, Frederick FSC 47.98
6 8 Isabelle Levy, Washington FSC 47.17
7 15 Deana Torgashev, Panthers FSC 46.99
8 17 Aaliyah Devins, Individual member USFS 46.71
9 26 Lindsey Scurlock, Washington FSC 45.92
10 9 Jordan Scott, First Coast FSC 45.63
11 12 Ryan Layton, IceWorks SC 44.17
12 19 Sasha Reardon, Florida Everblades FSC 44.03
13 3 Heleyna Walton, IceWorks SC 43.88
14 5 Jeslyn Choi, Atlanta FSC 43.72
15 20 Mia Eckels, White Rose FSC 43.26
16 10 Ella Chen, Washington FSC 42.01
17 6 Lotus Shen, SC of Wilmington 41.64
18 16 Alexandra Boyd, Orlando FSC 41.63
19 11 Lillian Erwin, Orlando FSC 40.95
20 21 Mariia Alieva, Washington FSC 40.87
21 4 Kylie Barber, University of Delaware FSC 40.75
22 14 Maria Wrazen, Palm Beach FSC 39.77
23 27 Mealy Cronin, Washington FSC 38.80
24 1 Kaitlyn McGarigle, Atlanta FSC 38.53
25 28 Marilena Kitromilis, Washington FSC 38.34
26 13 Olivia Kaloyannides, Broadmoor SC 37.83
27 2 Kristen Marvel, IceWorks SC 37.72
28 7 Allison Murphy, IceWorks SC 37.56

Intermediate Ladies

Place Start Name Short Program Free Skate Total Score
Place Score Place Score
1 25 Emily Zhang, Richmond FSC 1 46.65 1 84.06 130.71
2 23 Alexa Binder, Panthers FSC 5 34.68 2 73.42 108.10
3 27 Reagan Scott, Hershey FSC 2 38.13 3 66.62 104.75
4 26 Anastasia Russ, Panthers FSC 4 35.10 5 62.26 97.36
5 18 Aleksandra Novoseltsev, Panthers FSC 12 30.99 4 62.82 93.81
6 28 Jill Heiner, FSC Of Southern Maryland 3 37.27 9 56.34 93.61
7 21 Danielle Carvella, Tampa Bay SC 9 31.26 6 58.21 89.47
8 19 Anna Maria Bella, University of Delaware FSC 8 31.44 8 57.52 88.96
9 11 Katelyn Lien, Washington FSC 14 30.24 7 57.67 87.91
10 20 Ashley Easterly, City of Palms FSC 10 31.09 10 55.12 86.21
11 24 Isabella Rongione, Frederick FSC 6 33.23 13 50.80 84.03
12 22 Sydney Horenstein, Philadelphia SC & HS 11 31.01 12 51.16 82.17
13 16 Katherine Xing, Triangle FSC 13 30.47 11 51.69 82.16
14 17 Elicia Wang, First Coast FSC 7 32.57 17 49.17 81.74
15 15 Ashley Merrills, SC of North Carolina 16 29.26 18 49.05 78.31
16 12 Madelyn Jordan, Carolinas FSC 17 27.62 14 49.94 77.56
17 14 Delia Hughes, Washington FSC 18 27.42 16 49.54 76.96
18 6 Mariah Mele, City of Palms FSC 19 26.92 15 49.72 76.64
19 9 Jessica Horner, Washington FSC 21 26.22 19 48.95 75.17
20 13 Lucia Porosnicu Hopinca, Summit FSC of NC 15 30.24 22 44.87 75.11
21 4 Alexis Martyn, Pittsburgh FSC 24 24.77 20 47.42 72.19
22 5 Grace Walton, Philadelphia SC & HS 25 24.65 21 46.67 71.32
23 8 Claudia Mills, IceWorks SC 22 25.76 23 43.94 69.70
24 10 Sara Feminella, Florida Everblades FSC 20 26.81 27 40.57 67.38
25 3 Grace Prince, Panthers FSC 26 23.76 25 43.01 66.77
26 1 Hannah Abercrombie, SC of Mt Lebanon 27 23.24 24 43.06 66.30
27 7 Miabella Lovell, Frederick FSC 23 25.12 28 40.47 65.59
28 2 Joi Cooper, Triangle FSC 28 23.12 26 41.16 64.28

Novice Ladies

Place Start Name Short Program Free Skate Total Score
Place Score Place Score
1 11 Ting Cui, Baltimore FSC 3 40.01 1 79.31 119.32
2 14 Hannah Jo, University of Delaware FSC 5 38.40 2 75.68 114.08
3 16 Sasha Hayes, Washington FSC 4 39.14 4 73.82 112.96
4 6 Paxton James, Panthers FSC 8 35.29 3 75.11 110.40
5 12 Sophia Chouinard, Panthers FSC 6 38.03 5 70.33 108.36
6 13 Joanna Hubbart, Southwest Florida FSC 1 41.20 7 65.71 106.91
7 7 Gabriela Godin, Wissahickon SC 10 31.42 6 70.14 101.56
8 8 Elle Vaske, Southwest Florida FSC 7 37.26 10 61.02 98.28
9 15 Isabella Vanderlaat, Panthers FSC 2 41.08 14 56.01 97.09
10 10 Ivy Liu, Carolinas FSC 9 33.56 9 62.93 96.49
11 3 Grace Stulman, Baltimore FSC 16 24.39 8 64.33 88.72
12 2 Sarah Jung, Columbia FSC (MD) 12 30.87 12 56.52 87.39
13 9 Alexandra Hoethke, Carolinas FSC 11 31.19 13 56.12 87.31
14 5 Hannah Rotman, SC of North Carolina 14 29.80 11 57.37 87.17
15 4 Dallas Ward, Southwest Florida FSC 15 28.72 15 47.60 76.32
WD Krystal Edwards, Washington FSC 13 30.72

Junior Ladies

Place Start Name Short Program Free Skate Total Score
Place Score Place Score
1 23 Julia Biechler, SC of Wilmington 1 44.86 2 84.37 129.23
2 25 Haley Beavers, Washington FSC 2 43.06 1 85.25 128.31
3 15 Mary-Katharine Mulera, Washington FSC 13 32.83 3 82.33 115.16
4 24 Cailey Weaver, Panthers FSC 3 42.10 5 72.35 114.45
5 28 Sarah Godwin, Triangle FSC 4 38.39 6 71.78 110.17
6 18 Lara Annunziata, SC of Florida 8 35.83 4 73.15 108.98
7 26 Gabrielle Carl, Central Florida FSC 6 36.74 11 63.13 99.87
8 21 Lauren Brown, Panthers FSC 7 36.09 10 63.59 99.68
9 27 Jessica Zink, Washington FSC 5 37.85 12 61.34 99.19
10 11 Tambra Wenger, Southwest Florida FSC 16 31.91 7 66.82 98.73
11 14 Ashley Young, Washington FSC 14 32.32 8 65.43 97.75
12 7 Katie Ross, FSC of Charleston 19 31.68 9 63.69 95.37
13 17 Alice Qiao, Atlanta FSC 9 35.29 14 59.17 94.46
14 22 Abigail Colvin, Central Florida FSC 12 34.23 13 59.24 93.47
15 19 Madelyn Crawford, Washington FSC 11 34.65 15 57.47 92.12
16 10 Taylor Aruanno, University of Delaware FSC 20 31.49 16 56.91 88.40
17 20 Mackenzie Garlick, Carolinas FSC 10 34.66 19 52.66 87.32
18 13 Gwyneth Tate Collins, Washington FSC 15 32.09 18 53.50 85.59
19 9 Cara Murphy, Pittsburgh FSC 21 30.61 20 51.59 82.20
20 2 Lauren Salzlechner, Palm Beach FSC 25 25.68 17 56.18 81.86
21 12 Caitlin Colsia, SC of Northern Virginia 17 31.82 22 49.14 80.96
22 16 Janie Wu, Washington FSC 18 31.76 23 47.87 79.63
23 8 Nicole Farinella, Delaware County SC 23 28.16 21 49.58 77.74
24 6 Sydney Rose, Southwest Florida FSC 22 29.12 27 42.11 71.23
25 4 Dominique Mickiewicz, Washington FSC 24 26.12 24 43.81 69.93
26 3 Isabel Torres, FSC of Charleston 26 25.63 26 42.70 68.33
27 5 Elspeth Cunningham, Pittsburgh FSC 27 22.62 25 43.71 66.33
28 1 Christina Hall, SC of Northern Virginia 28 20.21 28 39.74 59.95

Senior Ladies

Place Start Name Short Program Free Skate Total Score
Place Score Place Score
1 16 Elise Romola, Washington FSC 2 45.35 1 81.54 126.89
2 17 Carly Berrios, Greenville FSC 1 49.84 2 73.12 122.96
3 18 Leslieann Alasagas, Individual member USFS 4 42.15 4 69.52 111.67
4 19 Morgan Leighow, Washington FSC 5 40.08 6 66.39 106.47
5 15 Kristine Levitina, Pines FSC 3 42.20 8 62.97 105.17
6 7 Kendal Buckalew, Carolinas FSC 11 31.39 3 71.26 102.65
7 10 Kathryn Wen, Washington FSC 6 38.88 10 62.56 101.44
8 13 Emily Monaghan, Washington FSC 8 35.90 7 63.79 99.69
9 8 Camilla Zhang, SC of Northern Virginia 12 30.34 5 69.10 99.44
10 5 Naomi Ghebremichael, SC of North Carolina 13 30.17 9 62.88 93.05
11 14 Grace Moyer, Penguin FSC 10 32.08 12 59.85 91.93
12 11 Irina Gonzalez-Sigler, Orlando FSC 7 38.72 15 52.87 91.59
13 6 Victoria Williams, Atlanta FSC 15 27.68 11 61.86 89.54
14 12 Stefanie Page, Washington FSC 9 32.99 14 56.04 89.03
15 4 Danielle Olney, Washington FSC 16 27.06 13 57.79 84.85
16 9 Phuong Dao, Richmond FSC 14 29.83 16 50.93 80.76
17 2 Hana Mahle, SC of Northern Virginia 17 23.44 18 48.60 72.04
18 3 Allison Hall, Washington FSC 18 22.44 17 49.29 71.73
19 1 Rebecca Chan, Washington FSC 19 22.37 19 45.39 67.76
WD Anna Marie Seifert, IceWorks SC

Juvenile Boys

Place Start Name Score
1 2 Ethan Kohn, Pines FSC 46.79
2 3 Luke Wang, Columbia FSC (MD) 36.60
3 1 Haydn Gock, Princeton SC 35.93
4 7 Jon Maravilla, SC of Northern Virginia 33.46
5 6 Andrew Zhang, Washington FSC 31.51
6 5 Stefan Stalker, Summit FSC of NC 26.00
7 4 Robert Polcz, Palm Beach FSC 20.85

Intermediate Men

Place Start Name Short Program Free Skate Total Score
Place Score Place Score
1 12 Ilia Malinin, Washington FSC 1 44.00 1 71.54 115.54
2 11 Nicholas Hsieh, SC of Wilmington 2 38.29 2 68.87 107.16
3 15 Zachary Yaninek, Hershey FSC 3 36.56 3 62.04 98.60
4 13 John Reichard, Panthers FSC 5 30.01 4 58.77 88.78
5 14 Antonio Maravilla, SC of Northern Virginia 4 31.38 5 53.74 85.12
6 7 Jacob Fitzpatrick, University of Delaware FSC 7 25.88 7 44.74 70.62
7 9 Kenneth Thomsen, Tidewater FSC 8 24.06 6 46.15 70.21
8 8 Ian Kang, SC of North Carolina 6 26.76 10 41.59 68.35
9 10 Llewelyn Sannajust, SC of Wilmington 9 23.93 9 42.39 66.32
10 5 Ocean Shen, SC of Wilmington 13 19.96 8 42.79 62.75
11 6 Benjamin McLemore, Pittsburgh FSC 10 22.73 11 34.93 57.66
12 3 Charles Liu, Georgia FSC 11 22.02 14 30.49 52.51
13 4 Seiji Urano, Washington FSC 12 21.41 15 30.34 51.75
14 1 Maxwell Demsky, Penguin FSC 14 16.98 12 31.36 48.34
15 2 Nathan Fehrs, Port City SC 15 15.64 13 31.33 46.97

Novice Men

Place Start Name Short Program Free Skate Total Score
Place Score Place Score
1 7 Joseph Kang, University of Delaware FSC 2 48.91 1 110.96 159.87
2 6 Lucas Altieri, Panthers FSC 1 50.05 2 94.03 144.08
3 2 Jordan Evans, University of Delaware FSC 5 39.21 3 87.97 127.18
4 5 David Shapiro, SC of Wilmington 3 44.38 4 74.89 119.27
5 3 Eric Prober, Panthers FSC 6 38.80 6 69.95 108.75
6 1 Nick Hubbart, Southwest Florida FSC 7 34.85 5 71.19 106.04
7 4 Dylan Varghese, Washington FSC 4 43.63 7 60.47 104.10

Junior Men

Place Start Name Short Program Free Skate Total Score
Place Score Place Score
1 2 Ryan Dunk, Baltimore FSC 1 54.98 1 103.80 158.78
2 1 Nicholas Huff, Gardens FSC of Maryland 2 24.64 2 43.71 68.35

2016 US Nationals Novice Men’s Free Skate

Group 1

Max Lake: 80.51 Total: 122.13 and into 1st place

  • Nice solid opening triple toe
  • Good triple flip
  • Double axel + loop + double flip
  • The opening was a bit of skating between jumps and I’d like to see him work on a few more transitions
  • A little slow on the opening spin
  • Nice sit spin position
  • Triple toe + double toe
  • Triple salchow + double toe
  • Hangs on to the salchow
  • He seems to be skating through his music rather than to it and this piece might be a bit too hard for him to interpret
  • He seems a bit too upright in his step sequence and is looking down at the ice
  • Very nice height on the double axel
  • Good camel position into a donut but just a bit slow
  • His jumps are very nice and he has a lot to work with!

Ryan Dunk: 99.43 Total: 140.94 and into 1st place

  • Love his expression, lines and flow across the ice
  • Nice double axel in the air but brings his chest forward on the landing and two foots it
  • Triple toe + double toe with one arm variation
  • Great donut spin position into a catch foot picking up speed
  • Triple flip + double toe seemed a bit tentative but pulled it off
  • Good speed in the twisted camel spin with a nice change of foot
  • Really nice flow through the step sequence but a bit choppy on some of the one foot turns; arms and upper body complements the movement nicely
  • Nice toe point in the triple loop, a bit forward on the landing
  • Triple lutz, hand down and then fall
  • Triple salchow with a gorgeous landing position
  • Triple flip a bit scratchy on the landing
  • He needs a bit more fire and confidence going into the jumps but his skating is so refined and reminds me of an Abbott or Rippon

Paul Yeung: 78.18 Total: 119.05 and into 3rd place

  • Triple salchow a lot forward on the landing but someone hangs on and adds a double toe
  • A bit slow on the first spin
  • Good speed into the triple lutz but the chest was way down on the landing
  • Double axel + double loop
  • He could use more flexibility though his combination spin positions
  • Triple toe step out
  • A bit slow through the step sequence and some of the edge changes can be smoothed out
  • Double lutz + loop + (feed cut out)
  • Good sit spin position with nice speed
  • He also competes in intermediate pairs, so this is his fourth competitive program in three days

Sasha Lunin: 83.25 Total: 127.34 and into 2nd place

  • + loop + triple salchow
  • Triple flip hand down
  • Triple salchow + double toe messy landing
  • Slow and needs more flexibility in the sit spin
  • Hunched forward a bit on the step sequence but I appreciate that he is taking his time and really making the edges clear
  • Popped salchow with a two foot landing
  • Triple loop
  • He has a weird arm position on his jumps where he pulls his one arm and shoulder higher than the other and I think it’s throwing off his air position and ability to land the jumps
  • Double axel hands down + single toe
  • Triple toe chest a little forward but otherwise nice landing
  • Pretty good camel position
  • Poor thing looks really upset and can barely do his ending pose; he put up a great fight though and really went for all of his jumps

Mark Sadusky: 62.41 Total: 103.44 and into 5th place

  • Axel opened up a bit early
  • Triple toe hands down and step out
  • Popped salchow
  • This is not the way he wanted to start his program and you can see the frustration
  • Spread eagle into a double axel with a fall and he has trouble getting up but the fall wasn’t that hard
  • He just doesn’t seem like the same skater at all as yesterday–he was so light and refreshing with great lines and even the performance aspect is not the same today
  • Triple toe + double toe
  • Triple salchow + loop + double toe
  • A bit more life coming back into him in this step sequence
  • Double toe + single toe
  • I hope he doesn’t get discouraged by this performance because I so enjoyed him yesterday!

Derek Wagner: 93.37 Total: 128.24 and into 2nd place

  • Triple toe + double toe
  • Good triple flip with nice landing position
  • Triple flip?  Hard to tell on that jump
  • He is skating much better than yesterday and I even feel like his posture has improved a bit
  • Double axel + loop + double salchow
  • Triple toe
  • Not a bad illusion spin into a sit spin but losing speed through the upright catch foot position
  • Double toe a bit hesitant on the landing
  • Spread eagle into a double axel
  • Good twisted sit spin position

 

Group 2

William Hubbart: 92.07 Total: 139.53 and into 2nd place

  • He qualified for novice pairs as well but had to withdraw due to his sister’s injury
  • Triple flip + triple toe nicely done
  • Triple loop flip out
  • Triple lutz right on the music
  • A tad bit stiff through the upper body in the step sequence but I like the content and the effort to work with the music
  • Nice low sit spin position through the changes of position with good speed throughout
  • Triple flip hand down
  • Triple toe turnout double toe
  • Spread eagle into a double axel + double toe
  • Double axel
  • He doesn’t have the best landings with a lot of them slightly forward on the toe pick, but he’s standing up on all of these jumps

Maxim Naumov: 95.36 Total: 148.73 and into 1st place

  • Hard fall on his opening triple lutz
  • Triple loop a little down on one side on the landing but hangs on
  • Triple salchow + double toe + loop
  • Losing his centering and having a hard time hanging on to his first spin
  • Triple toe + double toe
  • Triple salchow
  • Great camel spin position with nice speed into the upright y spin
  • He’s lacking the personality from his short program but I think this is just a very different type of music that is a bit more difficult to relate to
  • Nice triple toe
  • Losing a bit of speed through the footwork
  • Nice double axel + double axel sequence
  • Good speed through the sit spin

Ryan Van Doren: 69.01 Total: 113.13 and into 8th place

  • The feed got choppy and I missed the opening jumps
  • Triple toe + single toe
  • Now the feed is out entirely 🙁

Jun-Hong Chen: 80.48 Total: 126.64 and into 6th place

  • Feed out for entire program

Peter Liu

  • There was an ice resurfacing which delayed the last two skates.  I won’t be able to watch but will post scores later this evening.

Eric Sjoberg

Place Start Name Short Program Free Skate Total Score
Place Score Place Score
1 12 Eric Sjoberg, Los Angeles FSC 1 54.53 1 117.15 171.68
2 11 Peter Liu, SC of Wilmington 3 52.23 2 99.67 151.90
3 8 Maxim Naumov, Charter Oak FSC 2 53.37 4 95.36 148.73
4 2 Ryan Dunk, Baltimore FSC 9 41.51 3 99.43 140.94
5 7 William Hubbart, Fort Wayne ISC 4 47.46 6 92.07 139.53
6 6 Derek Wagner, Northern Ice SC 12 34.87 5 93.37 128.24
7 4 Sasha Lunin, Fort Wayne ISC 7 44.09 7 83.25 127.34
8 10 Jun-Hong Chen, Broadmoor SC 5 46.16 9 80.48 126.64
9 1 Max Lake, La Jolla FSC 8 41.62 8 80.51 122.13
10 3 Paul Yeung, All Year FSC 11 40.87 10 78.18 119.05
11 9 Ryan VanDoren, Colonial FSC 6 44.12 11 69.01 113.13
12 5 Mark Sadusky, St. Moritz ISC 10 41.03 12 62.41 103.44

2016 US Nationals Novice Men’s Preview

This is an accomplished group with all but one having competed at nationals previously.  As a group, they have won 10 nationals medals.  The 6th, 8th and 11th place finishers from last year’s novice event are returning and the intermediate 4th, 7th, 9th and 12th place finishers will also be competing here.  The short program will be held on Sunday, January 17th with the free skate on Monday, January 18th.

After regionals, Eric Sjoberg seemed like a shoe-in for the national title.  His score of 171.01 was 16 points higher than the next closest competitor.  However, he had some problems at sectionals and scored nearly 20 points less.  He won the novice silver medal in 2014, but despite having some of the top scores from qualifying last year, fell to 11th place at nationals.  His short program has a Triple Lutz + Triple Toe worth 12.30 points base value and a Triple Flip.  This is the most difficult short program layout being attempted by this group.  He received Level 4 on his spins at both regionals and sectionals and upgraded his steps from a Level 2 to a Level 3 between events.  However, his program components were lower at sectionals, only ranging from 4.13-5.13.  His free skate layout changed between events.  His sectionals layout included a Triple Loop, Double Axel + 1/2 Loop + Triple Salchow worth 9.20 points base value, Double Lutz (intended triple), Triple Flip, Triple Flip + Single Toe and a Triple Lutz.  He received Level 3 and 4 on his spins and 4 on his steps.  Again, his sectionals program components were lower, ranging from 4.44-5.25.

William Hubbart has the second best total score from qualifying, set at his regional event.  He scored nearly 15 points lower at Sectionals.  Hubbart is also pulling double duty, competing in the novice pairs event.  With the way the schedule worked out this year, he will have to compete both short programs on the same day and both free skates on the same day.  His short program includes a Triple Flip + Triple Toe worth 11.60 points base value (doubled at sectionals) and a Triple Loop.  He received all Level 4s at regionals on his spins, but some Level 3s at sectionals.  He received Level 3 on his steps at both events.  His program components were slightly lower at sectionals, ranging from 4.00-4.30.  His free skate has a Triple Flip + Triple Toe (worth 11.60 points), Triple Loop, Triple Lutz (edge call at sectionals), Triple Flip and Triple Toe + Double Toe.  At both events he received Level 3s and 4s on his spins and Level 3 on his steps.  His program components were higher at sectionals, scoring between 4.55-5.00.

Maxim Naumov has the third highest score from qualifying, set at sectionals, where he improved his score by 10 points.  His biggest problem is downgrades and under-rotations.  If he rotates his jumps, he’ll score well but he could lose a lot of points if he shorts his landings.  His short program has a Triple Lutz (downgraded at regionals) and a Triple Salchow + Double Toe.  He received Level 3 and 4 on his spins at both events and upgraded his steps from Level 3 to Level 4.  His program components were much higher at sectionals, ranging from 5.25-5.60.  His free skate has a Triple Lutz (under-rotated at both events), Triple Loop (under-rotated at sectionals), Triple Salchow + Double Toe, Triple Toe + Double Toe, Triple Salchow (fall at regionals), and Triple Toe.  He received Level 3 and 4 spins at both events and Level 2 steps.  His program components were again much stronger at sectionals, ranging from 5.30-5.65.  He doesn’t attempt the triple flip and his triple lutz was only landed cleanly once at regionals and sectionals.  He is at a disadvantage on the technical side, but it is easier for him to land clean programs with less challenging content.

Ryan Dunk has the fourth highest score from qualifying, set at regionals.  However, he only saw a 4 point decrease between events.  His short program has a Triple Flip and a Triple Lutz + Double Toe.  He received Level 4 on his spins at both events while his steps only received a Level 2 at sectionals.  His program components were slightly lower at sectionals, ranging from 4.00-4.30.  His free skate has a Triple Flip + Triple Toe worth 11.60 points base value, Triple Loop, Triple Lutz (edge call at sectionals), Triple Flip, and Triple Toe + Double Toe.  He received all Levels 4s on his spins at regionals, but received a Level 3 at sectionals.  His steps received Level 3 at both events.  His program components were better at sectionals, scoring 4.55-5.00.

Sasha Lunin set the fifth highest score of qualifying at sectionals, his only event.  His short program includes a Triple Lutz + Double Toe (worth 8.30 points base value) and a Triple Loop.  He received all Level 4 spins and Level 3 steps.  His program components ranged from 4.45-5.20.  His free skate includes a Double Axel + 1/2 Loop + Triple Flip worth 10.10 points base value, Triple Lutz, Triple Loop + Double Toe, Triple Loop, Triple Toe and a Triple Flip (downgraded double with an edge call at sectionals).  He received Level 4 on his spins and 3 on his steps.  His program components ranged from 5.00-5.50.

Paul Yeung set the 6th highest score of qualifying at his regional event.  Spin problems contributed to his nearly 14 points loss between events.  His short program has a Triple Flip + Double Toe and a Triple Lutz.  At regionals he received Level 2 and 3 on his spins and 3 on his steps.  At sectionals he had one spin that received no level and no points while the other was a Level 4.  His steps were Level 3.  His program components were lower at sectionals, ranging from 4.38-4.81.  His free skate layout changed between events.  His sectionals layout has a Double Salchow + Double Toe, Triple Lutz, Double Axel + Double Loop, Triple Flip, Triple Lutz + 1/2 Loop + Double Flip (worth 9.24 points base value) and a Triple Toe.  At sectionals, he received a Level 2, 4 and no level with no points on his spins.  He also received Level 2 on his steps.  His program components were much lower ranging from 3.88-4.63.

 

My podium predictions:

Gold: Eric Sjoberg

Silver: Sasha Lunin

Bronze: William Hubbart

Pewter: Ryan Dunk

 

Bios of the competitors:

Jun-Hong Chen: He is 14 years old and represents the Broadmoor Skating Club.  He finished 12th as an intermediate last season, 8th in intermediate in 2013, is the 2012 Juvenile Boys Bronze Medalist, placed 9th in juvenile in 2011 and 15th as a juvenile in 2010.  He won silver at Southwestern Regionals and pewter at Midwestern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 10th best free skate and 10th best total scores.

Ryan Dunk: He represents the Baltimore Skating Club.  He is the reigning Intermediate Men’s Pewter Medalist and finished 11th in juvenile in 2014.  He won gold at South Atlantic Regionals and silver at Eastern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 3rd best short program, 4th best free skate and 4th best total scores.

William Hubbart: He is 17 years old and represents the Fort Wayne Ice Skating Club.  He finished 8th as a novice last season, 9th in intermediate in 2014, 9th in intermediate in 2013 and 17th in juvenile in 2012.  He won gold at Eastern Great Lakes Regionals and silver at Midwestern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 3rd best short program, 2nd best free skate and 2nd best total scores.  He is also competing in the Novice Pairs event.

Max Lake: He is 13 years old and represents the La Jolla Figure Skating Club.  He finished 7th as an intermediate last season, is the 2014 Juvenile Boys Bronze Medalist and finished 13th in juvenile in 2012.  He won bronze at Southwest Pacific Regionals and bronze at Pacific Coast Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 7th best short program score.

Peter Liu: He is 15 years old and represents the Skating Club of Wilmington.  He finished 6th as a novice last season, and is the 2014 Intermediate Pewter Medalist.  He won silver at South Atlantic Regionals and bronze at Eastern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 7th best free skate and 7th best total scores.

Sasha Lunin: He is 15 years old and represents the Fort Wayne Ice Skating Club.  He is the 2013 Juvenile Boys Bronze Medalist.  He won gold at Midwestern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 5th best short program, 4th best free skate and 5th best total scores.

Maxim Naumov: He is 14 years old and represents the Charter Oak Figure Skating Club.  He finished 5th in intermediate in 2014, is the 2013 Juvenile Boys Champion, and finished 7th in juvenile in 2012.  He won gold at New England Regionals and gold at Eastern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 2nd best short program, 5th best free skate and 3rd best total scores.

Mark Sadusky He represents the St. Moritz Ice Skating Club.  He won pewter at Pacific Coast Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 10th best short program score.

Eric Sjoberg: He is 14 years old and represents the Los Angeles Figure Skating Club.  He finished 11th as a novice last season, is the 2014 Novice Silver Medalist, 2013 Intermediate Men’s Pewter Medalist, 2012 Juvenile Boys Pewter Medalist and finished 11th as a juvenile in 2011.  He won gold at Southwest Pacific Regionals and gold at Pacific Coast Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the best short program, best free skate and best total scores.

Ryan Van Doren: He is 17 years old and represents the Colonial Figure Skating Club.  He finished 7th in juvenile in 2013.  He won silver at New England Regionals and pewter at Eastern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.

Derek Wagner: He is 16 years old and represents the Northern Ice Skating Club.  He finished 6th in intermediate in 2013 and 9th in juvenile in 2012.  He won gold at Upper Great Lakes Regionals and bronze at Midwestern Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 4th best short program, 9th best free and 8th best total scores.

Paul Yeung: He is 16 years old and represents the All Year Figure Skating Club.  He finished 9th as an intermediate last season and is the 2014 Juvenile Boys Silver Medalist.  He won silver at Southwest Pacific Regionals and silver at Pacific Coast Sectionals to qualify for nationals.  He has the 8th best short program, 6th best free skate and 6th best total scores.  He is also competing in Intermediate Pairs.

Eastern Sectionals Novice Men’s Results

Place Start Name Short Program Free Skate Total Score
Place Score Place Score
1 7 Maxim Naumov, Charter Oak FSC 1 54.28 2 98.35 152.63
2 12 Ryan Dunk, Baltimore FSC 2 47.36 1 100.93 148.29
3 11 Peter Liu, SC of Wilmington 3 43.23 3 72.44 115.67
4 9 Ryan VanDoren, Colonial FSC 5 34.36 4 64.91 99.27
5 10 David Shapiro, SC of Wilmington 4 39.06 5 60.16 99.22
6 8 Seungil ( Rick) Lee, SC of Boston 6 33.08 6 53.57 86.65
7 6 Shiloh Judd, Charlottesville FSC 7 29.99 7 52.54 82.53
8 5 Nathaniel Dennler, Colonial FSC 9 25.13 8 51.01 76.14
9 1 Noah Krupnick, SC of New York 8 26.55 10 47.82 74.37
10 4 Justin Curran, Colonial FSC 11 24.29 9 49.66 73.95
11 2 Alexander Hall, SC of New York 10 24.67 11 43.82 68.49
12 3 Philip Reyman, North Jersey FSC 12 16.89 12 33.33 50.22